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ASA vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-74
24-20 26-23 17-13 13-18
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game83.1
ASA 🏆
France
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.8
FrancePro BRound 8· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2025-26
Meetings · ASA v Caen
29 Jan 2027
ASA v CAEN
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ASA80
CAEN74
18 Mar 2025
ASA80
CAEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#1
W
83-81
83
81
+2
95avg 89
H11/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
48avg 89
A14/06
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#20
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
83avg 89
A19/09
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
78avg 89
H26/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
82-96
82
96
-14
99avg 89
A30/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
61avg 89
A04/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
45avg 89
H10/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
100-82
100
82
+18
98avg 89
A17/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
91avg 89
A24/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
19-23
23-22
19-21
12-22
10-14
13-20
12-13
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-18
21-11
16-17
24-27
20-17
14-24
25-16
15-21
22-28
25-28
20-19
11-21
24-12
18-24
16-18
23-29
10-19
15-17
25-15
18-22
30-24
25-15
27-21
25-21
23-18
17-19
11-18
159.9Avg total
78.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.383.1166.4+0.143%
Season at home (2)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Season away (5)85.483.6169.0+1.860%
Last 10 (10)78.381.6159.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)84.885.8170.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.474.7144.1-5.329%
vs Similar (16)82.179.1161.1+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.373.3152.7+6.083%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Vichy
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
90avg 87
A02/05
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
79avg 87
A09/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
91avg 87
H13/05
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
A12/09
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
83avg 87
H18/09
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
94avg 87
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 87
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 87
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 87
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 87
H23/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-24
25-17
12-31
15-18
14-16
18-13
22-24
21-25
15-13
20-21
21-23
14-27
24-21
20-25
23-17
19-23
17-14
18-16
14-22
20-17
19-24
26-20
16-16
23-26
13-20
25-18
15-15
22-28
23-27
22-21
18-20
15-13
23-13
11-22
23-27
14-18
19-17
30-19
18-29
158.6Avg total
76.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.280.8158.0-3.717%
Season at home (4)78.882.8161.5-4.025%
Season away (2)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)76.582.1158.6-5.610%
Last 5 (5)79.082.0161.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.785.3161.0-9.611%
vs Similar (7)79.078.4157.4+0.643%
vs Weaker (3)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
ASACaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/06
Pro B
Le Portel
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/06
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/09
Pro B
Roanne
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A30/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A24/10
Pro B
80.1Avg total
38.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.838.377.1+0.562%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.076.3+4.386%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.577.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (9)38.641.680.1-3.044%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.036.170.1-2.143%-
vs Similar (16)40.839.480.1+1.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.338.077.3+1.383%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/05
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A09/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/05
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/09
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/09
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/10
Pro B
77.3Avg total
36.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.880.5-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.642.781.3-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.577.3-3.710%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.642.781.3-4.221%-
vs Similar (7)38.741.380.0-2.643%-
vs Weaker (3)39.734.774.3+5.0100%-
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.2
52.2%
53.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.6
28.3%
32.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
71.4%16.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.6
47.7%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
32.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
71.4%13.6
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
WWLLLLWLLW
Caen
LLLLWLLLLL
#12
League position
#17
-6.3
Net rating
-7.6
109.3
Offensive rating
103.8
115.6
Defensive rating
111.4
48.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.3%
3-point %
31.9%
65.7%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 103.8Defence115.6 · 111.4Shooting48.5% · 47.7%3-point %28.3% · 31.9%Ball care12.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ ASA   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
ASA wins
0
Caen wins
DateGameScore
18/03/25ASA v Caen80-77
10/01/25Caen v ASA69-75
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25AHyeres-Toulon100-96 OT
17/10/25ARouen100-82
10/10/25HAix Maurienne73-80
04/10/25APau-Orthez69-75
30/09/25ASt. Chamond82-96
26/09/25HRoanne83-84
19/09/25ADenain-Voltaire76-69
13/09/25AChalons-Reims70-84
14/06/25ALe Portel47-69
11/06/25HLe Portel83-81
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HDenain-Voltaire81-83
18/10/25AAda Blois72-75
10/10/25HRoanne85-96
03/10/25AEvreux76-79
26/09/25HRouen81-77
18/09/25HVichy68-75
12/09/25ATours81-90
13/05/25HOrleans77-82
09/05/25ARouen69-71
02/05/25AVichy75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%0%60%
Points / game83.378.085.4
Allowed / game83.182.083.6
Point differential+0.1-4.0+1.8
Avg total166.4160.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game77.278.874.0
Allowed / game80.882.877.0
Point differential-3.7-4.0-3.0
Avg total158.0161.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pau-Orthez76186%85.372.6+12.7
2 Orleans76186%82.975.6+7.3
3 Vichy76186%81.374.1+7.1
4 Roanne86275%87.979.4+8.5
5 La Rochelle75271%80.676.3+4.3
6 Ada Blois75271%78.074.0+4.0
7 Denain-Voltaire85362%83.280.4+2.9
8 Antibes74357%84.983.3+1.6
9 Nantes84450%79.582.2-2.8
10 Rouen84450%78.881.9-3.1
11 ASA73443%83.383.1+0.1
12 Chalons-Reims73443%78.382.9-4.6
13 Aix Maurienne73443%80.686.1-5.6
14 Poitiers83538%82.982.6+0.2
15 Quimper62433%74.583.3-8.8
16 St. Chamond82625%89.086.9+2.1
17 Hyeres-Toulon82625%81.585.0-3.5
18 Evreux82625%76.285.9-9.6
19 Caen61517%77.280.8-3.7
20 Challans71614%73.984.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ASA2426171380
Caen2023131874
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