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ASA vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-77
18-18 22-18 25-19 15-22
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game81.2
ASA 🏆
France
vs
Caen
France
Position#15
Record14-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.5
FrancePro BRound 27· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2024-25
Meetings · ASA v Caen
29 Jan 2027
ASA v CAEN
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ASA80
CAEN74
18 Mar 2025
ASA80
CAEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
86avg 96
A10/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
102avg 96
H17/01
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
67-97
67
97
-30
76avg 96
A24/01
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
90avg 96
H31/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
95avg 96
A04/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
100avg 96
A07/02
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
L
64-65
64
65
-1
46avg 96
H12/02
French Cup
Roanne
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
96avg 96
H28/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
86avg 96
A08/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
86-80
86
80
+6
107avg 96
H14/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-17
13-21
27-9
19-20
25-17
19-17
19-12
14-20
32-20
15-29
6-28
12-19
28-22
16-11
23-22
23-25
15-12
23-20
20-19
16-23
23-17
23-18
27-16
22-9
13-22
16-14
13-20
29-19
16-21
18-21
20-13
15-17
24-34
19-16
17-13
15-20
25-19
27-20
19-21
153.6Avg total
78.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.381.2166.5+4.159%
Season at home (13)86.881.2168.0+5.569%
Season away (14)83.981.2165.1+2.750%
Last 10 (10)78.175.5153.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)79.474.6154.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.082.7161.7-3.70%
vs Similar (14)84.782.5167.2+2.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.275.2161.5+11.075%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
76-84
76
84
-8
92avg 88
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
93avg 88
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
72avg 88
H10/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
97avg 88
A17/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
64-98
64
98
-34
66avg 88
H24/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
63avg 88
A01/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
93avg 88
H04/02
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
79-82
79
82
-3
97avg 88
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
77-67
77
67
+10
94avg 88
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
84-72
84
72
+12
100avg 88
H14/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-25
20-26
23-17
20-16
18-18
16-17
25-22
22-19
17-16
21-13
9-27
20-18
21-13
12-24
19-17
22-28
18-21
12-26
12-23
12-20
15-20
15-21
17-18
23-29
21-32
26-12
10-23
20-20
18-27
15-13
26-22
19-10
20-25
19-10
19-22
15-13
21-18
30-19
18-22
154.5Avg total
74.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.779.5156.2-2.954%
Season at home (14)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
Season away (12)75.077.8152.8-2.858%
Last 10 (10)74.580.0154.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.879.2155.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.883.7159.5-7.941%
vs Similar (6)76.572.8149.3+3.767%
vs Weaker (3)82.069.3151.3+12.7100%
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
ASACaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caen
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/01
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/01
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/01
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/02
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
French Cup
Roanne
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A08/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/03
Pro B
79.6Avg total
40.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.782.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.585.3+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.579.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.749.390.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (14)41.741.683.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.338.682.9+5.883%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A17/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A01/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H04/02
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/03
Pro B
77.9Avg total
37.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.476.8-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.640.779.3-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.438.274.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.477.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.842.179.9-4.235%-
vs Similar (6)37.734.572.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (3)41.332.073.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.5
52.8%
52.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.4
30.0%
33.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
73.2%18.9
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
52.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
73.2%13.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
WLWLWWWLWW
Caen
WWLLLLWLWL
#5
League position
#15
+3.3
Net rating
-7.3
106.7
Offensive rating
100.9
103.4
Defensive rating
108.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
46.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.0%
3-point %
29.7%
62.5%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 100.9Defence103.4 · 108.2Shooting50.0% · 46.2%3-point %30.0% · 29.7%Ball care20.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.42 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ ASA   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
ASA wins
0
Caen wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Caen v ASA69-75
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HFos-sur-Mer86-80
08/03/25AAda Blois75-80
28/02/25HRoanne83-74
12/02/25HJL Bourg64-65
07/02/25APoitiers89-74
04/02/25ASt. Chamond81-76
31/01/25HEvreux79-74
24/01/25AVichy67-97
17/01/25HRouen82-66
10/01/25ACaen75-69
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HChartres84-72
28/02/25AHyeres-Toulon77-67
08/02/25HEvreux79-82
04/02/25HAda Blois80-96
01/02/25ABoulazac59-79
24/01/25HPau-Orthez64-98
17/01/25APoitiers78-74 OT
10/01/25HASA69-75
27/12/24AFos-sur-Mer79-73
21/12/24HChalons-Reims76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game85.386.883.9
Allowed / game81.281.281.2
Point differential+4.1+5.5+2.7
Avg total166.5168.0165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)43% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Caen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %54%50%58%
Points / game76.778.175.0
Allowed / game79.581.077.8
Point differential-2.9-2.9-2.8
Avg total156.2159.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %12%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois2820871%87.480.5+6.9
2 Boulazac2820871%80.073.2+6.8
3 Orleans2820871%83.878.9+4.9
4 Roanne28171161%86.783.3+3.4
5 Aix Maurienne28171161%89.486.2+3.2
6 ASA27161159%85.381.2+4.1
7 Caen26141254%76.779.5-2.9
8 Rouen28151354%83.879.8+4.0
9 Pau-Orthez28151354%82.380.5+1.8
10 Poitiers28151354%83.982.6+1.3
11 St. Chamond27141352%85.984.5+1.4
12 Denain-Voltaire28141450%81.980.1+1.8
13 Antibes28141450%79.780.1-0.5
14 Vichy28131546%79.879.0+0.8
15 Chalons-Reims28121643%80.584.6-4.1
16 Nantes28111739%81.984.5-2.6
17 Hyeres-Toulon2891932%74.080.2-6.2
18 Evreux2882029%80.084.7-4.7
19 Fos-sur-Mer2872125%74.482.0-7.6
20 Chartres2872125%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ASA1822251580
Caen1818192277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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