Astana vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 100-32

19-0 30-4 25-15 26-13

Position#1

Record22-1

FormWLLLW

Points / game90.5

Allowed / game54.4

Astana 🏆

Aktobe

Position#3

Record9-14

FormWWLWL

Points / game66.4

Allowed / game73.4

National League

Other2021-22

Meetings · Astana v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

85-41

+44

no box

H24/03

National League

Zenit Petersburg

60-94

-34

58avg 62

H27/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

57-109

109

-52

47avg 62

A30/03

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

49-69

-20

46avg 62

H03/04

VTB United League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-64

+33

no box

A05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

108-52

108

+56

no box

A06/04

National League

CSKA Moscow

48-96

-48

33avg 62

H10/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

65-82

-17

55avg 62

H13/04

VTB United League

Enisey

65-76

-11

59avg 62

A17/04

VTB United League

Aktobe

100-58

100

+42

no box

H20/04

National League

21-11

19-4

19-15

26-11

15-25

19-23

12-23

14-23

11-35

18-28

8-26

20-20

9-9

11-18

18-25

11-17

17-17

31-12

23-22

26-13

23-16

31-15

33-11

21-10

8-23

19-21

13-31

8-21

13-25

14-12

12-26

26-19

14-14

14-18

22-16

15-28

31-17

24-19

20-11

25-11

147.5Avg total

73.4Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	90.5	54.4	144.9	+36.0	96%
Season at home (11)	88.3	52.6	140.9	+35.6	91%
Season away (12)	92.5	56.1	148.6	+36.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	74.1	147.5	-0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	72.8	150.0	+4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	64.6	88.1	152.7	-23.5	9%
vs Similar (3)	69.0	74.0	143.0	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	89.5	54.5	144.0	+35.0	94%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Astana

54-79

-25

no box

H27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

0-20

-20

no box

H11/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

71-59

+12

no box

H12/03

National League

Atyrau

50-72

-22

no box

H23/03

National League

Atyrau

73-70

no box

H24/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

93-82 OT

+11

no box

H07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

71-65

no box

H08/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

74-80

-6

no box

H13/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

56-52

no box

H14/04

National League

Astana

58-100

100

-42

no box

A20/04

National League

13-24

20-18

6-14

15-23

–

16-19

15-12

21-9

19-19

21-10

9-18

7-23

13-21

21-18

24-15

13-23

15-14

18-13

13-15

16-15

22-26

15-18

20-20

16-9

20-18

23-25

14-18

14-16

23-21

23-20

5-14

14-7

14-11

17-31

19-24

11-20

11-25

127.9Avg total

60.0Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	66.4	73.4	139.8	-7.0	39%
Season at home (12)	63.8	67.0	130.8	-3.2	50%
Season away (11)	69.2	80.4	149.5	-11.2	27%
Last 10 (10)	60.0	67.9	127.9	-7.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	75.8	146.2	-5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	68.9	85.0	153.9	-16.1	14%
vs Similar (2)	70.0	63.0	133.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker (14)	71.6	64.3	135.9	+7.4	64%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaAktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	14.9	20.5	35.5	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	24.3	41.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	26.3	15.7	41.9	+10.6	87%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.6	40.3	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.3	23.8	41.1	-6.5	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.2	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.3	20.8	37.1	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.7	15.1	38.8	+8.7	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.9	17.3	33.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.4	17.1	32.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.2	32.4	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	12.5	30.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	16.7	16.7	33.4	+0.0	46%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

40-15

+25

H24/03

National League

Zenit Petersburg

34-48

-14

H27/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

29-63

-34

A30/03

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

20-27

-7

H03/04

VTB United League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-29

+19

A05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

54-31

+23

A06/04

National League

CSKA Moscow

27-44

-17

H10/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

27-37

-10

H13/04

VTB United League

Enisey

28-32

-4

A17/04

VTB United League

Aktobe

55-36

+19

H20/04

National League

72.4Avg total

36.2Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	35.9	76.7	+5.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	35.1	76.6	+6.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	36.9	76.8	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.0	74.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.2	41.4	72.5	-10.2	9%	-
vs Similar (3)	30.3	41.3	71.7	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	50.0	30.7	80.7	+19.3	100%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

33-42

-9

H27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

31-31

H12/03

National League

Atyrau

30-28

H23/03

National League

Atyrau

45-33

+12

H24/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

31-28

H07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-38

-3

H08/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

37-43

-6

H13/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

28-34

-6

H14/04

National League

Astana

36-55

-19

A20/04

National League

70.9Avg total

34.0Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.4	38.8	75.3	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.2	37.1	71.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	40.6	79.5	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.0	36.9	70.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	39.6	73.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.5	44.0	80.5	-7.5	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	28.5	61.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	37.0	34.8	71.8	+2.2	38%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.5	21.9	37.4	-6.5	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	15.7	35.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.5	13.3	35.8	+9.1	93%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	15.1	32.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.1	15.1	28.2	-2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	13.4	27.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	14.9	19.9	34.8	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	14.5	34.0	+4.9	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	16.5	36.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.7	21.9	37.6	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.0	12.7	35.7	+10.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	18.7	36.2	-1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.8	17.3	36.2	+1.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	33.1	72.2	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	33.0	70.4	+4.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.3	33.3	74.7	+8.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	37.9	75.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.2	43.8	75.0	-12.6	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	29.3	65.0	+6.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.5	26.1	71.5	+19.4	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.9	35.9	70.8	-1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.9	33.6	68.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	38.4	73.4	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	30.0	34.9	64.9	-4.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	33.6	65.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.4	39.9	71.3	-8.4	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.5	34.5	72.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.3	31.8	70.2	+6.5	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	13.8	45.2%	50.5%	27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.8	30.4%	30.4%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	12.0	7.7	64.2%	69.6%	7.7

They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.2	56.8%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.6	36.4%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.4	73.8%	69.6%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	50.5%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.4	33.7%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.5	69.4%	69.6%	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.8%	50.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.3	35.5%	30.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	69.6%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/22	Astana v Aktobe	100-58
27/12/21	Aktobe v Astana	54-79
26/12/21	Aktobe v Astana	61-77
24/12/21	Astana v Aktobe	104-58
23/12/21	Astana v Aktobe	98-59
07/02/21	Aktobe v Astana	80-102
06/02/21	Aktobe v Astana	68-109
10/11/20	Astana v Aktobe	106-55
09/11/20	Astana v Aktobe	100-62
02/12/19	Aktobe v Astana	59-95

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/22	H	Aktobe	100-58
17/04/22	A	Enisey	65-76
13/04/22	H	Parma Perm	65-82
10/04/22	H	CSKA Moscow	48-96
06/04/22	A	Kaspiy Aktau	108-52
05/04/22	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-64
03/04/22	H	Nizhny Novgorod	49-69
30/03/22	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	57-109
27/03/22	H	Zenit Petersburg	60-94
24/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	85-41

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/22	A	Astana	58-100
14/04/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	56-52
13/04/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	74-80
08/04/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	71-65
07/04/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	93-82 OT
24/03/22	H	Atyrau	73-70
23/03/22	H	Atyrau	50-72
12/03/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	71-59
11/03/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	0-20
27/12/21	H	Astana	54-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WLWWW	91%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	96%	91%	100%
Points / game	90.5	88.3	92.5
Allowed / game	54.4	52.6	56.1
Point differential	+36.0	+35.6	+36.4
Avg total	144.9	140.9	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	96%	91%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aktobe

National League 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	39%
Home	WWWLW	50%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	39%	50%	27%
Points / game	66.4	63.8	69.2
Allowed / game	73.4	67.0	80.4
Point differential	-7.0	-3.2	-11.2
Avg total	139.8	130.8	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	23	22	1	96%	90.5	54.4	+36.0
2	Atyrau	24	17	7	71%	76.3	71.1	+5.2
3	Aktobe	23	9	14	39%	66.4	73.4	-7.0
4	Tobol Kostanay	24	6	18	25%	69.4	84.9	-15.5
5	Kaspiy Aktau	24	5	19	21%	63.5	81.1	-17.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	19	30	25	26	100
Aktobe	0	4	15	13	32

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Astana vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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