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Astana vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-71
30-16 21-20 24-17 14-18
Position#1
Record8-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game74.6
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#5
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.9
KazakhstanNational League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Aktobe
18 Jan 2023
AST89
AKTO71
17 Jan 2023
AST88
AKTO78
21 Apr 2022
AST100
AKTO32
20 Apr 2022
AST100
AKTO58
24 Dec 2021
AST104
AKTO58
23 Dec 2021
AST98
AKTO59
10 Nov 2020
AST106
AKTO55
09 Nov 2020
AST100
AKTO62
18 Apr 2020
AST v AKTO
upcoming
12 Nov 2019
AST116
AKTO50
11 Nov 2019
AST92
AKTO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
41-79
41
79
-38
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A25/12
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
95-45
95
45
+50
H28/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
51-99
51
99
-48
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-26
16-18
15-27
11-21
8-12
9-24
13-22
20-15
22-19
18-15
16-16
39-11
20-16
20-8
16-10
28-15
25-17
23-11
38-13
15-21
13-27
11-27
12-24
15-30
18-16
22-23
20-24
20-13
18-5
16-18
23-12
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
152.0Avg total
76.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.074.6158.6+9.462%
Season at home (7)92.465.0157.4+27.4100%
Season away (6)74.285.8160.0-11.717%
Last 10 (10)76.375.7152.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)72.683.6156.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)63.488.7152.2-25.311%
vs Similar (2)76.556.5133.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.176.8160.9+7.350%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H21/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
103-71
103
71
+32
H24/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H25/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H07/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H08/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A23/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A17/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-31
27-22
17-19
32-20
22-12
26-20
23-19
23-19
16-7
20-15
15-12
12-14
19-21
20-10
16-29
20-19
15-21
13-15
31-16
15-19
16-18
18-18
20-22
12-16
13-31
18-3
13-16
12-20
12-16
20-13
10-21
25-14
11-23
22-22
8-13
25-22
23-33
8-14
22-19
146.3Avg total
72.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.176.9151.1-2.826%
Season at home (10)75.477.1152.5-1.730%
Season away (9)72.776.8149.4-4.122%
Last 10 (10)72.673.7146.3-1.130%
Last 5 (5)64.674.6139.2-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.976.4143.2-9.521%
vs Similar (10)75.381.4156.7-6.120%
vs Weaker (6)69.867.3137.2+2.567%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
AstanaAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/12
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H28/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
80.1Avg total
40.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.480.2-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.178.1-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.846.282.1-10.419%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.580.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.082.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.446.077.4-14.66%-
vs Similar (2)40.026.066.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.942.288.1+3.760%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H24/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H08/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A23/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A17/01
National League
75.8Avg total
35.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.276.2-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.941.577.3-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.975.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.475.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.540.975.4-6.429%-
vs Similar (10)38.742.481.1-3.740%-
vs Weaker (6)35.235.070.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
50.5%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
30.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
69.6%7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Astana wins
2
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
17/01/23Astana v Aktobe88-78
25/11/22Aktobe v Astana74-53
24/11/22Aktobe v Astana103-71
21/04/22Astana v Aktobe100-32
20/04/22Astana v Aktobe100-58
27/12/21Aktobe v Astana54-79
26/12/21Aktobe v Astana61-77
24/12/21Astana v Aktobe104-58
23/12/21Astana v Aktobe98-59
07/02/21Aktobe v Astana80-102
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100
11/01/23HMinsk77-48
07/01/23HZenit Petersburg75-93
04/01/23HSamara51-99
29/12/22HTobol Kostanay114-56
28/12/22HTobol Kostanay95-45
25/12/22AMinsk76-65
22/12/22HUnics Kazan41-79
17/12/22AParma Perm74-94
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/23AAstana78-88
24/12/22AAtyrau66-72
23/12/22AAtyrau54-70
08/12/22HAtyrau56-66
07/12/22HAtyrau69-77
01/12/22AIrbis Almaty79-71
30/11/22AIrbis Almaty67-74
25/11/22HAstana74-53
24/11/22HAstana103-71
21/11/22HIrbis Almaty80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
National League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%100%17%
Points / game84.092.474.2
Allowed / game74.665.085.8
Point differential+9.4+27.4-11.7
Avg total158.6157.4160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%86%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Aktobe
National League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWWLL30%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%30%22%
Points / game74.175.472.7
Allowed / game76.977.176.8
Point differential-2.8-1.7-4.1
Avg total151.1152.5149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1610662%78.773.1+5.6
2 Astana138562%84.074.6+9.4
3 Tobol Kostanay2012860%79.785.2-5.5
4 Irbis Almaty1881044%78.280.9-2.7
5 Aktobe1951426%74.176.9-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana3021241489
Aktobe1620171871
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