Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 71-65

15-18 20-20 16-9 20-18

Position#3

Record7-12

FormLWLWW

Points / game66.7

Allowed / game73.2

Aktobe 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#4

Record6-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game69.6

Allowed / game85.5

National League

Other2021-22

Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

65-63

A09/12

National League

Astana

59-98

-39

A23/12

National League

Astana

58-104

104

-46

A24/12

National League

Astana

61-77

-16

H26/12

National League

Astana

54-79

-25

H27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

0-20

-20

H11/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

71-59

+12

H12/03

National League

Atyrau

50-72

-22

H23/03

National League

Atyrau

73-70

H24/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

93-82 OT

+11

H07/04

National League

24-7

15-24

18-17

8-15

16-29

22-24

13-25

8-20

14-30

18-22

10-23

16-29

11-24

15-15

20-20

15-18

13-24

20-18

6-14

15-23

–

16-19

15-12

21-9

19-19

21-10

9-18

7-23

13-21

21-18

24-15

13-23

15-14

18-13

13-15

16-15

22-26

130.8Avg total

58.4Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	66.7	73.2	139.9	-6.5	37%
Season at home (9)	62.8	67.4	130.2	-4.7	44%
Season away (10)	70.3	78.4	148.7	-8.1	30%
Last 10 (10)	58.4	72.4	130.8	-14.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	57.4	60.6	118.0	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	71.7	86.3	158.0	-14.5	13%
vs Similar (2)	70.0	63.0	133.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	76.3	66.1	142.4	+10.2	69%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

50-105

105

-55

H20/01

National League

Aktobe

20-0

+20

A11/03

National League

Aktobe

59-71

-12

A12/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

76-81

-5

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

77-54

+23

H20/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

92-86

H27/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-84

-6

H28/03

National League

Atyrau

78-92

-14

A03/04

National League

Atyrau

90-98

-8

A04/04

National League

Aktobe

82-93 OT

-11

A07/04

National League

13-34

10-14

9-25

18-32

–

19-16

12-15

9-21

19-19

20-17

18-24

20-15

18-25

27-18

17-2

18-23

15-11

24-18

22-13

25-23

21-32

18-25

20-12

21-20

19-27

23-26

18-19

12-30

25-17

24-30

16-17

14-22

36-29

13-18

15-13

15-16

26-22

146.6Avg total

70.2Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	69.6	85.5	155.1	-15.9	26%
Season at home (12)	71.3	87.4	158.8	-16.1	33%
Season away (11)	67.7	83.4	151.1	-15.6	18%
Last 10 (10)	70.2	76.4	146.6	-6.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	90.6	174.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	67.2	88.8	156.1	-21.5	15%
vs Similar (6)	79.8	77.5	157.3	+2.3	50%
vs Weaker (4)	80.8	74.0	154.8	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	19.9	37.2	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	22.8	41.7	-3.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.1	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	22.4	42.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.6	24.8	42.4	-7.2	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	18.8	41.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.6	17.9	34.5	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.6	31.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	12.5	30.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	14.3	30.8	+2.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.3	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	14.2	33.8	+5.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	75%	-

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

39-31

A09/12

National League

Astana

38-53

-15

A23/12

National League

Astana

32-52

-20

A24/12

National League

Astana

26-39

-13

H26/12

National League

Astana

33-42

-9

H27/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

31-31

H12/03

National League

Atyrau

30-28

H23/03

National League

Atyrau

45-33

+12

H24/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

31-28

H07/04

National League

71.3Avg total

33.9Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.9	40.1	78.0	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.8	37.8	71.7	-4.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	41.9	83.2	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.9	37.4	71.3	-3.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	32.4	66.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.9	45.0	81.9	-8.1	20%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	28.5	61.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.2	50%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

23-48

-25

H20/01

National League

Aktobe

31-31

A12/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-41

-3

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-20

+24

H20/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-31

+15

H27/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-37

H28/03

National League

Atyrau

41-45

-4

A03/04

National League

Atyrau

40-47

-7

A04/04

National League

Aktobe

28-31

-3

A07/04

National League

73.3Avg total

36.6Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.5	42.4	78.9	-5.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	43.3	78.1	-8.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.6	36.8	73.3	-0.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.5	46.0	79.5	-12.5	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	33.5	73.5	+6.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.5	75%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	17.8	36.7	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	56%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.8	18.8	32.6	-5.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	16.8	29.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	20.9	37.8	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	22.1	39.9	-4.3	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.9	21.7	37.6	-5.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.4	23.7	40.1	-7.4	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	18.6	36.3	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	14.6	20.6	35.1	-6.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	19.3	36.3	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	22.0	40.3	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	23.3	40.2	-6.3	13%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	23.8	45.7	-1.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.4	50.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.2	22.5	41.6	-3.3	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	22.7	40.8	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.8	18.8	33.5	-4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	36.8	73.7	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.5	36.5	73.0	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	37.1	74.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	28.3	39.3	67.7	-11.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	37.4	66.8	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	33.9	40.2	74.1	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.5	34.5	72.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.6	32.9	73.5	+7.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.4	44.2	80.7	-7.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	45.7	80.9	-10.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	42.7	80.4	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.8	45.4	83.2	-7.7	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	47.6	90.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.5	46.2	81.7	-10.7	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	44.0	83.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.5	35.2	70.8	+0.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	93-82 OT
12/03/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	71-59
11/03/22	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	0-20
11/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	92-90
10/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	77-74
22/03/21	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	67-77
21/03/21	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	101-103 OT
02/02/21	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	92-72
01/02/21	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	104-84
04/11/20	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	77-79

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	93-82 OT
24/03/22	H	Atyrau	73-70
23/03/22	H	Atyrau	50-72
12/03/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	71-59
11/03/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	0-20
27/12/21	H	Astana	54-79
26/12/21	H	Astana	61-77
24/12/21	A	Astana	58-104
23/12/21	A	Astana	59-98
09/12/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	65-63

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/22	A	Aktobe	82-93 OT
04/04/22	A	Atyrau	90-98
03/04/22	A	Atyrau	78-92
28/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	78-84
27/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	92-86
20/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	77-54
19/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	76-81
12/03/22	A	Aktobe	59-71
11/03/22	A	Aktobe	20-0
20/01/22	H	Astana	50-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

National League 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	37%
Home	LWLWW	44%
Away	WLWLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	44%	30%
Points / game	66.7	62.8	70.3
Allowed / game	73.2	67.4	78.4
Point differential	-6.5	-4.7	-8.1
Avg total	139.9	130.2	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	26%
Home	LLWWL	33%
Away	WLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	33%	18%
Points / game	69.6	71.3	67.7
Allowed / game	85.5	87.4	83.4
Point differential	-15.9	-16.1	-15.6
Avg total	155.1	158.8	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	8%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	22	21	1	95%	90.0	54.3	+35.8
2	Atyrau	24	17	7	71%	76.3	71.1	+5.2
3	Aktobe	19	7	12	37%	66.7	73.2	-6.5
4	Tobol Kostanay	23	6	17	26%	69.6	85.5	-15.9
5	Kaspiy Aktau	22	4	18	18%	63.3	82.5	-19.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	15	20	16	20	71
Tobol Kostanay	18	20	9	18	65

← all games of the day

Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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