PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 87-80 (OT)
23-3 22-20 14-19 10-27 18-11
Position#2
Record14-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game81.0
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Dorados
Mexico
Position#6
Record13-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.8
MexicoLNBPRound 21· Arena Astros
Other2026-27
Meetings · Astros v Dorados
20 Sep 2026
ASTR77
DORA79
19 Sep 2026
ASTR87
DORA80
16 Aug 2025
ASTR81
DORA76
15 Aug 2025
ASTR103
DORA68
04 Aug 2024
ASTR94
DORA83
03 Aug 2024
ASTR82
DORA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Mineros
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
82avg 87
A16/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 87
A17/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
89-50
89
50
+39
84avg 87
A25/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 87
A26/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
129-117 OT
129
117
+12
129avg 87
A30/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 87
A31/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
58avg 87
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 87
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 87
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
98-83
98
83
+15
96avg 87
A18/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
13-26
24-20
22-28
12-27
35-13
20-20
16-29
24-12
17-17
19-7
29-14
23-16
22-18
30-14
13-31
27-25
32-19
15-27
17-20
22-13
15-20
15-15
25-19
24-24
19-22
16-26
17-18
21-18
15-25
22-19
23-12
15-25
25-23
27-23
16-24
26-21
25-23
20-17
27-22
173.0Avg total
89.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.281.0169.2+7.370%
Season at home (8)84.175.8159.9+8.475%
Season away (12)91.084.4175.4+6.667%
Last 10 (10)89.283.8173.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)83.081.8164.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.579.4172.9+14.068%
This opponent (Dorados) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
97-81
97
81
+16
100avg 80
H20/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
87-106
87
106
-19
80avg 80
H21/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
63-87
63
87
-24
49avg 80
A25/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
102-94
102
94
+8
93avg 80
A26/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
95-71
95
71
+24
91avg 80
H30/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 80
H30/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
73avg 80
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 80
A12/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 80
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
83avg 80
H17/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
19-8
34-18
22-25
24-32
17-29
13-25
33-20
15-23
20-22
15-21
13-21
23-27
31-15
25-21
23-31
35-10
14-22
18-23
28-16
13-26
24-20
19-26
26-20
24-28
19-18
19-19
24-14
29-16
22-31
20-19
12-19
29-17
21-25
21-30
20-17
22-28
29-26
22-19
24-13
175.3Avg total
88.3Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.283.8170.0+2.565%
Season at home (12)87.983.2171.2+4.775%
Season away (8)83.884.5168.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)88.387.0175.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.886.2174.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)84.483.6168.0+0.745%
vs Weaker (19)88.783.2171.9+5.568%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
AstrosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A16/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A30/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A31/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/09
LNBP
84.8Avg total
44.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.340.387.6+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.541.887.3+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)48.939.187.9+9.881%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.784.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.940.087.9+7.871%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
41-61
41
61
-20
H21/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A25/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A26/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H30/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H30/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H17/09
LNBP
90.5Avg total
45.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.889.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.542.088.5+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)46.343.990.2+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.390.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)44.642.386.9+2.455%-
vs Weaker (19)47.443.290.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.525.1
55.2%
54.1%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
34.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.5
69.8%
71.7%15.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.5
51.3%
54.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.5
37.8%
34.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
71.7%13.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WLWLWWWWLL
Dorados
WWLWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#6
+7.9
Net rating
+0.6
99.1
Offensive rating
100.3
91.2
Defensive rating
99.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
37.8%
56.4%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 100.3Defence91.2 · 99.8Shooting52.7% · 53.3%3-point %32.1% · 37.8%Ball care13.1% · 12.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Astros   ■ Dorados
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
2
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
17/08/25Astros v Dorados81-76
16/08/25Astros v Dorados103-68
04/08/24Astros v Dorados94-83
04/08/24Astros v Dorados82-67
02/09/23Dorados v Astros88-95
01/09/23Dorados v Astros87-94
30/07/22Dorados v Astros85-81
29/07/22Dorados v Astros83-79
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/26APanteras98-83
17/09/26APanteras83-95
13/09/26HSoles81-74
12/09/26HSoles76-90
31/08/26AFreseros77-67
30/08/26AFreseros129-117 OT
26/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun88-79
25/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun89-50
17/08/26AMineros83-89
16/08/26AMineros88-94
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun97-86
16/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun91-89
12/09/26ACorrecaminos83-85
11/09/26ACorrecaminos86-79
30/08/26HMineros82-92
30/08/26HMineros95-71
26/08/26ASantos102-94
25/08/26ASantos63-87
21/08/26HAbejas87-106
20/08/26HAbejas97-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game88.284.191.0
Allowed / game81.075.884.4
Point differential+7.3+8.4+6.6
Avg total169.2159.9175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %5%0%8%
Dorados
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%75%50%
Points / game86.287.983.8
Allowed / game83.883.284.5
Point differential+2.5+4.7-0.8
Avg total170.0171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2016480%85.074.3+10.7
2 Astros2014670%88.281.0+7.3
3 Panteras2013765%90.085.7+4.3
4 Fuerza Regia2013765%90.387.2+3.0
5 Dorados2013765%86.283.8+2.5
6 Lobos Plateados2012860%82.880.8+2.0
7 Mineros2011955%87.084.5+2.5
8 Diablos Rojos2091145%84.383.7+0.6
9 Gambusinos2081240%77.582.0-4.5
10 Freseros2081240%85.290.0-4.8
11 Abejas2071335%84.086.5-2.5
12 Santos2071335%83.089.0-6.0
13 El Calor de Cancun2051525%81.787.6-5.9
14 Correcaminos2041620%83.893.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astros232214101887
Dorados32019271180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.