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Astros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 82-67
14-13 20-20 31-20 17-14
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.4
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.9
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2024-25
Meetings · Astros v Dorados
20 Sep 2026
ASTR77
DORA79
19 Sep 2026
ASTR87
DORA80
16 Aug 2025
ASTR81
DORA76
15 Aug 2025
ASTR103
DORA68
04 Aug 2024
ASTR94
DORA83
03 Aug 2024
ASTR82
DORA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
89avg 90
A27/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
89-107
89
107
-18
82avg 90
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
H14/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
A19/07
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
102-54
102
54
+48
no box
H27/07
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H28/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
99-89
99
89
+10
no box
A31/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A01/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
21-12
21-24
21-16
25-33
15-24
26-26
23-24
24-23
19-17
14-14
21-20
14-25
20-30
23-15
17-14
25-30
22-24
21-9
16-17
24-25
16-9
21-22
19-23
24-14
26-11
28-9
24-20
23-15
20-27
25-20
8-11
27-23
23-18
36-23
13-25
18-14
17-17
26-16
16-23
165.9Avg total
85.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.875.4159.1+8.488%
Season at home (4)82.571.2153.8+11.275%
Season away (4)85.079.5164.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.380.6165.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)86.873.0159.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.879.5164.3+5.380%
vs Weaker (20)100.795.5196.2+5.265%
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Freseros
#13
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
no box
A04/11
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A05/11
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A12/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
A13/07
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H20/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A27/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A27/07
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H31/07
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
H01/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
29-27
24-21
19-26
27-16
23-29
11-24
26-21
31-24
16-28
33-34
24-23
31-13
17-35
33-22
23-23
23-20
23-14
18-26
22-20
13-26
22-20
20-28
28-14
21-14
25-25
18-29
24-27
17-25
15-15
15-36
20-12
28-22
23-23
17-19
27-16
25-16
30-27
21-11
15-32
182.5Avg total
91.0Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.889.9179.6-0.150%
Season at home (4)88.883.5172.2+5.275%
Season away (4)90.896.2187.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)91.091.5182.5-0.540%
Last 5 (5)84.887.4172.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.888.5164.2-12.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.483.0165.4-0.643%
vs Weaker (12)91.786.7178.3+5.058%
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
AstrosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H14/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/07
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H27/07
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H28/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A31/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A01/08
LNBP
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.490.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.546.191.7-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)45.444.790.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.678.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.742.384.0-0.670%-
vs Weaker (20)47.447.094.3+0.445%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A04/11
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/11
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A12/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A13/07
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H20/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A27/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A27/07
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H31/07
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H01/08
LNBP
90.2Avg total
46.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.887.4-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.342.487.7+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.045.187.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.244.090.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.048.287.2-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.542.483.9-0.957%-
vs Weaker (12)47.444.191.5+3.358%-
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.425.8
52.2%
53.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
72.1%15.6
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astros wins
2
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
02/09/23Dorados v Astros88-95
01/09/23Dorados v Astros87-94
30/07/22Dorados v Astros85-81
29/07/22Dorados v Astros83-79
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24AEl Calor de Cancun77-70
31/07/24AEl Calor de Cancun99-89
28/07/24HSoles76-73
27/07/24HSoles102-54
19/07/24AHalcones de Xalapa80-79
19/07/24AHalcones de Xalapa84-80
14/07/24HDiablos Rojos74-84
13/07/24HDiablos Rojos78-74
28/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo89-107
27/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo94-96 OT
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24HHalcones Rojos91-86
31/07/24HHalcones Rojos95-80
27/07/24AFuerza Regia67-88
27/07/24AFuerza Regia88-95
20/07/24HMineros83-88
19/07/24HMineros86-80
13/07/24ALobos Plateados104-93
12/07/24ALobos Plateados104-109
05/11/23AFreseros87-90
04/11/23AFreseros105-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game83.882.585.0
Allowed / game75.471.279.5
Point differential+8.4+11.2+5.5
Avg total159.1153.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dorados
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game89.888.890.8
Allowed / game89.983.596.2
Point differential-0.1+5.2-5.5
Avg total179.6172.2187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia98189%88.674.7+13.9
2 Astros87188%83.875.4+8.4
3 Mineros86275%80.577.6+2.9
4 Halcones de Xalapa75271%86.982.6+4.3
5 Diablos Rojos96367%88.782.7+6.0
6 Panteras85362%97.186.0+11.1
7 El Calor de Cancun84450%83.078.6+4.4
8 Santos84450%86.085.2+0.8
9 Dorados84450%89.889.9-0.1
10 Lobos Plateados84450%89.091.9-2.9
11 Plateros94544%78.876.7+2.1
12 Soles82625%76.189.2-13.1
13 Halcones Rojos61517%80.590.0-9.5
14 Freseros61517%82.793.8-11.2
15 Correcaminos81712%79.696.1-16.5
16 Abejas6060%85.796.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1420311782
Dorados1320201467
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