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Freseros vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-129 (OT)
25-27 19-32 27-15 20-17 26-38
Position#13
Record6-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game90.1
Freseros
Mexico
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record10-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game78.1
MexicoLNBPRound 15· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Astros
30 Aug 2026
FRES67
ASTR77
29 Aug 2026
FRES117
ASTR129
08 Aug 2025
FRES82
ASTR102
07 Aug 2025
FRES66
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-99
73
99
-26
54avg 76
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 76
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
99-96
99
96
+3
84avg 76
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
68avg 76
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
94-105
94
105
-11
84avg 76
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
92avg 76
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 76
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 76
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 76
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 76
A26/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
13-25
17-26
23-25
22-30
22-9
22-24
20-19
17-29
22-28
26-25
34-14
22-16
27-22
15-26
19-22
21-25
21-28
24-31
28-21
24-27
20-22
25-19
22-23
19-25
27-24
25-21
22-19
22-21
14-14
17-18
27-23
17-17
20-19
13-19
27-18
22-26
21-28
22-11
19-22
176.3Avg total
86.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.690.1176.7-3.443%
Season at home (6)90.090.2180.2-0.267%
Season away (8)84.190.0174.1-5.925%
Last 10 (10)86.989.4176.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)86.885.2172.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.991.3172.2-10.421%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
73-64
73
64
+9
75avg 88
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 88
H02/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
103avg 88
A06/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
95avg 88
A07/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
103-82
103
82
+21
112avg 88
H12/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
82-57
82
57
+25
79avg 88
H13/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
82avg 88
A16/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 88
A17/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
89-50
89
50
+39
84avg 88
A25/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 88
A26/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
20-28
16-6
17-16
10-22
20-19
18-14
23-24
30-28
29-21
21-17
23-24
22-16
26-22
26-21
21-24
27-28
38-26
20-19
18-9
25-19
25-13
7-13
25-12
29-20
13-26
24-20
22-28
12-27
35-13
20-20
16-29
24-12
17-17
19-7
29-14
23-16
22-18
30-14
13-31
164.2Avg total
87.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.278.1165.3+9.171%
Season at home (6)86.073.7159.7+12.383%
Season away (8)88.181.4169.5+6.862%
Last 10 (10)87.576.7164.2+10.870%
Last 5 (5)86.073.8159.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)91.877.1168.9+14.667%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
FreserosAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A16/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A26/08
LNBP
87.1Avg total
41.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.046.587.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.947.390.2-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.445.885.2-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.887.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.846.487.2-5.625%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A06/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A07/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H12/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H13/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A16/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/08
LNBP
87.2Avg total
46.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.439.186.5+8.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.140.987.0+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)48.537.686.1+10.981%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.587.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.281.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.439.186.5+8.370%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.4
53.7%
54.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.415.9
67.9%
71.7%15.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.3
56.6%
54.1%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.314.8
66.4%
71.7%14.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
LWWWLLLWWL
Astros
WWLLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#2
-0.7
Net rating
+12.5
94.5
Offensive rating
98.3
95.2
Defensive rating
85.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.7%
3-point %
35.9%
47.1%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 98.3Defence95.2 · 85.8Shooting51.9% · 55.7%3-point %32.7% · 35.9%Ball care15.5% · 17.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Freseros   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Freseros wins
6
Astros wins
DateGameScore
09/08/25Freseros v Astros82-102
08/08/25Freseros v Astros66-82
29/09/24Astros v Freseros100-86
28/09/24Astros v Freseros94-89
09/09/23Astros v Freseros97-84
08/09/23Astros v Freseros95-90
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/26AGambusinos84-87
25/08/26AGambusinos77-73
21/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun80-76
20/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun93-89
16/08/26AFuerza Regia100-101 OT
15/08/26AFuerza Regia94-105
12/08/26HCorrecaminos83-86
11/08/26HCorrecaminos99-96
07/08/26ADiablos Rojos86-82
06/08/26ADiablos Rojos73-99
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun88-79
25/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun89-50
17/08/26AMineros83-89
16/08/26AMineros88-94
13/08/26HSantos82-57
12/08/26HSantos103-82
07/08/26AAbejas95-83
06/08/26AAbejas103-90
02/08/26HLobos Plateados71-79
01/08/26HLobos Plateados73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game86.690.084.1
Allowed / game90.190.290.0
Point differential-3.4-0.2-5.9
Avg total176.7180.2174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%83%62%
Points / game87.286.088.1
Allowed / game78.173.781.4
Point differential+9.1+12.3+6.8
Avg total165.3159.7169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles1512380%84.773.9+10.9
2 Astros1410471%87.278.1+9.1
3 Panteras1510567%89.983.9+5.9
4 Dorados1510567%85.782.9+2.8
5 Fuerza Regia1510567%89.388.1+1.3
6 Lobos Plateados148657%83.182.1+1.0
7 Mineros158753%86.183.7+2.3
8 Freseros146843%86.690.1-3.4
9 Diablos Rojos156940%82.382.4-0.1
10 Abejas156940%86.187.3-1.2
11 Gambusinos145936%76.480.9-4.6
12 Santos1551033%81.188.4-7.3
13 El Calor de Cancun1541127%79.286.7-7.5
14 Correcaminos1531220%83.692.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Freseros2519272026117
Astros2732151738129
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