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Astros vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 99-95
24-29 15-22 38-28 22-16
Position#2
Record9-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game88.7
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#1
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game84.4
MexicoCIBACOPA
Other2023
Meetings · Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo
18 May 2025
ASTR76
RAYO69
17 May 2025
ASTR104
RAYO83
23 Jun 2024
ASTR91
RAYO98
22 Jun 2024
ASTR75
RAYO96
23 Mar 2024
ASTR92
RAYO67
22 Mar 2024
ASTR73
RAYO88
23 Jun 2023
ASTR100
RAYO93
21 Jun 2023
ASTR82
RAYO100
20 Jun 2023
ASTR104
RAYO102
01 Apr 2023
ASTR99
RAYO95
31 Mar 2023
ASTR89
RAYO97
12 Jul 2022
ASTR91
RAYO87
04 Jul 2022
ASTR101
RAYO104
03 Jul 2022
ASTR89
RAYO86
28 May 2022
ASTR100
RAYO92
27 May 2022
ASTR114
RAYO107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
102-100
102
100
+2
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H18/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
107-77
107
77
+30
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A25/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H01/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
21-24
25-21
24-27
24-28
16-21
22-20
28-27
22-23
23-15
27-17
28-19
25-23
19-18
31-14
32-22
23-24
19-18
22-22
29-18
22-25
24-17
22-27
23-27
22-19
20-22
21-31
39-20
31-24
15-23
15-33
30-18
21-20
22-13
19-18
22-31
20-23
15-24
28-27
26-23
184.3Avg total
94.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)95.688.7184.3+6.964%
Season at home (8)96.283.9180.1+12.475%
Season away (6)94.795.2189.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)94.989.4184.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)91.493.0184.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.484.9171.2+1.538%
vs Weaker (22)95.587.9183.5+7.659%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#8
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H18/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A25/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
108-85
108
85
+23
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#3
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A01/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-20
25-18
14-20
22-20
15-20
24-11
18-21
22-23
29-22
27-10
16-23
16-17
24-12
22-21
26-22
24-24
16-19
18-14
18-22
27-26
15-17
24-24
25-20
31-13
22-30
23-26
32-16
16-15
24-20
32-25
24-25
17-19
20-14
24-26
28-18
23-20
24-15
27-28
23-26
169.3Avg total
89.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.184.4176.5+7.777%
Season at home (5)87.477.2164.6+10.2100%
Season away (8)95.088.9183.9+6.162%
Last 10 (10)89.779.6169.3+10.190%
Last 5 (5)96.284.6180.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.087.7172.7-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.579.6162.1+2.967%
vs Weaker (12)91.784.0175.7+7.775%
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
AstrosRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H18/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A25/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H01/04
CIBACOPA
86.8Avg total
43.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.988.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.942.288.1+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.443.888.2+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.441.485.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (22)45.543.589.0+2.059%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H18/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A01/04
CIBACOPA
80.7Avg total
42.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.079.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.175.9-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.939.881.8+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.080.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.881.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.044.281.2-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.337.377.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (12)41.238.179.3+3.267%-
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HRayos de Hermosillo89-97
30/03/23ACaballeros de Culiacan84-82
29/03/23ACaballeros de Culiacan91-98
26/03/23APioneros de Los Mochis102-92
25/03/23APioneros de Los Mochis91-96
23/03/23HOstioneros de Guaymas93-82
22/03/23HOstioneros de Guaymas107-77
19/03/23HHalcones de Obregon100-74
18/03/23HHalcones de Obregon90-96
16/03/23AVenados de Mazatlan102-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23AAstros97-89
30/03/23HZonkeys de Tijuana89-77
29/03/23HZonkeys de Tijuana96-85
26/03/23AVenados de Mazatlan108-85
25/03/23AVenados de Mazatlan91-87
23/03/23ACaballeros de Culiacan76-79
22/03/23ACaballeros de Culiacan88-72
19/03/23HPioneros de Los Mochis94-78
18/03/23HPioneros de Los Mochis79-72
16/03/23AHalcones de Obregon79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game95.696.294.7
Allowed / game88.783.995.2
Point differential+6.9+12.4-0.5
Avg total184.3180.1189.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %77%100%62%
Points / game92.187.495.0
Allowed / game84.477.288.9
Point differential+7.7+10.2+6.1
Avg total176.5164.6183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rayos de Hermosillo1310377%92.184.4+7.7
2 Caballeros de Culiacan139469%87.684.6+3.0
3 Astros149564%95.688.7+6.9
4 Ostioneros de Guaymas136746%89.188.9+0.2
5 Venados de Mazatlan136746%88.792.7-4.0
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis135838%88.290.5-2.3
7 Zonkeys de Tijuana145936%82.187.7-5.6
8 Halcones de Obregon1331023%84.890.6-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2415382299
Rayos de Hermosillo2922281695
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