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Astros vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-96
25-23 20-29 19-21 11-23
Position#2
Record35-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#3
Record31-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game86.2
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Final· Arena Astros
Other2024
Meetings · Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo
18 May 2025
ASTR76
RAYO69
17 May 2025
ASTR104
RAYO83
23 Jun 2024
ASTR91
RAYO98
22 Jun 2024
ASTR75
RAYO96
23 Mar 2024
ASTR92
RAYO67
22 Mar 2024
ASTR73
RAYO88
23 Jun 2023
ASTR100
RAYO93
21 Jun 2023
ASTR82
RAYO100
20 Jun 2023
ASTR104
RAYO102
01 Apr 2023
ASTR99
RAYO95
31 Mar 2023
ASTR89
RAYO97
12 Jul 2022
ASTR91
RAYO87
04 Jul 2022
ASTR101
RAYO104
03 Jul 2022
ASTR89
RAYO86
28 May 2022
ASTR100
RAYO92
27 May 2022
ASTR114
RAYO107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
101-105
101
105
-4
89avg 91
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
107-91
107
91
+16
101avg 91
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 91
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
114-82
114
82
+32
111avg 91
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 91
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 91
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
77avg 91
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
99-92
99
92
+7
85avg 91
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
78avg 91
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
108-98
108
98
+10
106avg 91
H19/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
25-29
21-21
31-28
22-25
20-20
33-20
32-26
22-24
24-18
33-23
21-29
26-17
28-18
30-22
30-25
38-23
22-24
32-17
16-15
19-27
25-18
28-26
29-24
19-33
31-33
19-29
21-19
19-18
29-25
19-20
32-29
23-21
19-28
33-16
13-31
31-19
24-23
31-35
22-21
196.2Avg total
101.6Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)97.488.5185.9+9.074%
Season at home (23)98.787.0185.7+11.887%
Season away (24)96.289.9186.1+6.362%
Last 10 (10)101.694.6196.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)97.299.0196.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)88.094.7182.7-6.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)102.192.9195.0+9.174%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
95-105
95
105
-10
88avg 84
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
87-101
87
101
-14
84avg 84
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 84
H05/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 84
H06/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 84
A09/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
65avg 84
A10/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
99-79
99
79
+20
106avg 84
H13/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
68avg 84
H14/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
107avg 84
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
80avg 84
A18/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
17-25
22-30
27-23
25-28
19-23
21-24
22-26
26-20
17-19
18-26
26-18
23-22
22-10
22-24
17-16
22-29
36-20
17-26
30-27
16-22
16-31
15-20
30-25
25-11
31-24
20-18
23-26
23-27
15-18
13-21
20-11
26-23
24-15
30-18
18-32
16-21
22-24
17-15
24-10
175.7Avg total
88.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)88.886.2175.0+2.663%
Season at home (25)87.382.8170.1+4.468%
Season away (24)90.389.7180.0+0.658%
Last 10 (10)88.287.5175.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)84.882.4167.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)100.092.0192.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (19)89.188.8177.9+0.353%
vs Weaker (10)90.782.3173.0+8.480%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
AstrosRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H19/06
CIBACOPA
96.0Avg total
49.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.891.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.743.090.7+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)45.846.291.9-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)49.047.096.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.849.096.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.346.383.7-9.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.644.692.3+3.056%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H06/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A10/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H13/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/06
CIBACOPA
88.9Avg total
45.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.184.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.336.381.6+8.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.987.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.988.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)50.042.092.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (19)44.341.986.2+2.358%-
vs Weaker (10)44.036.480.4+7.680%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.326.5
53.8%
52.6%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.0
40.3%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.114.6
72.6%
72.4%14.6
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
72.4%16.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WLWLWWWWWL
Rayos de Hermosillo
WWLWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#3
+7.6
Net rating
+0.1
119.6
Offensive rating
107.9
112.0
Defensive rating
107.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
12.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.3%
3-point %
38.8%
50.4%
Assist %
69.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 107.9Defence112.0 · 107.7Shooting56.1% · 55.2%3-point %40.3% · 38.8%Ball care12.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 22.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Astros   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/24HAngeles CDMX108-98
16/06/24AAngeles CDMX88-96
14/06/24AAngeles CDMX99-92
13/06/24AAngeles CDMX90-114
09/06/24HAngeles CDMX101-95
09/06/24HAngeles CDMX108-79
31/05/24APioneros de Los Mochis114-82
29/05/24APioneros de Los Mochis100-94
28/05/24APioneros de Los Mochis107-91
25/05/24HPioneros de Los Mochis101-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana79-70
16/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana98-88
14/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana71-77
13/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana99-79
10/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana77-98
09/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana105-102
06/06/24HHalcones de Obregon84-72
05/06/24HHalcones de Obregon87-83
31/05/24AHalcones de Obregon87-101
29/05/24AHalcones de Obregon95-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %74%87%62%
Points / game97.498.796.2
Allowed / game88.587.089.9
Point differential+9.0+11.8+6.3
Avg total185.9185.7186.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%61%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game88.887.390.3
Allowed / game86.282.889.7
Point differential+2.6+4.4+0.6
Avg total175.0170.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)57% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros47351274%97.488.5+9.0
2 Zonkeys de Tijuana47341372%91.184.8+6.3
3 Rayos de Hermosillo49311863%88.886.2+2.6
4 Angeles CDMX48272156%94.193.5+0.6
5 Venados de Mazatlan42202248%90.491.5-1.1
6 Halcones de Obregon43202347%90.390.1+0.2
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas41162539%90.993.5-2.6
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis41152637%88.893.6-4.8
9 Caballeros de Culiacan3692725%85.992.6-6.7
10 Frayles de Guasave3682822%92.7100.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2520191175
Rayos de Hermosillo2329212396
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