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Astros vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 92-67
22-18 15-20 20-17 35-12
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game84.8
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Rayos de Hermosillo
Mexico
Position#3
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game82.7
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2024
Meetings · Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo
18 May 2025
ASTR76
RAYO69
17 May 2025
ASTR104
RAYO83
23 Jun 2024
ASTR91
RAYO98
22 Jun 2024
ASTR75
RAYO96
23 Mar 2024
ASTR92
RAYO67
22 Mar 2024
ASTR73
RAYO88
23 Jun 2023
ASTR100
RAYO93
21 Jun 2023
ASTR82
RAYO100
20 Jun 2023
ASTR104
RAYO102
01 Apr 2023
ASTR99
RAYO95
31 Mar 2023
ASTR89
RAYO97
12 Jul 2022
ASTR91
RAYO87
04 Jul 2022
ASTR101
RAYO104
03 Jul 2022
ASTR89
RAYO86
28 May 2022
ASTR100
RAYO92
27 May 2022
ASTR114
RAYO107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
106-83
106
83
+23
107avg 82
H03/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
79avg 82
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
110-102 OT
110
102
+8
no box
H07/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 82
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
73avg 82
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 82
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 82
A14/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
88avg 82
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 82
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 82
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
30-17
32-16
17-24
28-20
19-14
19-27
23-15
27-21
31-27
16-20
21-27
25-27
29-30
18-17
14-8
29-27
17-13
18-15
22-20
16-24
19-20
33-34
23-15
25-28
25-17
16-25
25-29
17-24
28-19
20-19
29-14
26-20
38-17
23-28
27-22
18-22
15-27
23-23
17-16
180.1Avg total
94.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.584.8177.3+7.673%
Season at home (7)94.783.4178.1+11.386%
Season away (4)88.587.2175.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)94.086.1180.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)92.688.6181.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)87.588.5176.0-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.282.9177.1+11.384%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
77avg 87
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 87
A06/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
92-90
92
90
+2
92avg 87
A07/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
109-91
109
91
+18
114avg 87
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 87
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 87
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
90-67
90
67
+23
94avg 87
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
101avg 87
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 87
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
79avg 87
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
22-24
19-22
20-23
25-22
23-14
16-28
19-17
19-24
22-17
28-25
23-24
19-25
31-12
37-28
22-26
21-19
21-20
18-26
19-21
25-15
21-20
20-28
17-16
28-26
21-15
29-10
12-16
27-15
23-17
21-28
29-29
22-13
22-27
17-23
26-18
22-18
27-15
23-23
16-17
172.7Avg total
90.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.482.7173.1+7.691%
Season at home (5)90.280.4170.6+9.8100%
Season away (6)90.584.7175.2+5.883%
Last 10 (10)90.382.4172.7+7.990%
Last 5 (5)89.677.8167.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (8)94.690.8185.4+3.950%
vs Weaker (21)88.883.8172.6+5.081%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
AstrosRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H03/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H07/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A14/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H23/03
CIBACOPA
92.9Avg total
48.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.142.889.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.441.290.6+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)43.745.288.8-1.542%-
Last 10 (10)48.944.092.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.689.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.545.788.3-3.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)49.741.190.8+8.674%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A03/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A23/03
CIBACOPA
84.8Avg total
47.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.182.4+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.635.777.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)46.339.986.2+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)47.237.684.8+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)47.636.283.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)49.033.082.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (8)44.139.583.6+4.650%-
vs Weaker (21)44.137.881.9+6.376%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.3
50.6%
52.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.6
37.9%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
72.4%13.8
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.1
56.9%
52.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
72.4%15.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
LWWLLWWWWW
Rayos de Hermosillo
WWWWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+9.4
Net rating
+9.2
112.7
Offensive rating
112.2
103.3
Defensive rating
103.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
33.3%
50.8%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 112.2Defence103.3 · 103.0Shooting53.0% · 54.1%3-point %37.9% · 33.3%Ball care13.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Astros   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Astros wins
5
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo73-88
27/06/23Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros86-93
24/06/23Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo100-93
22/06/23Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo82-100
21/06/23Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo104-102
18/06/23Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros94-87
17/06/23Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros109-114 OT
30/04/23Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros89-81
29/04/23Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros101-98
02/04/23Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo99-95
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo73-88
17/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas114-87
16/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas94-76
14/03/24AHalcones de Obregon91-99
13/03/24AHalcones de Obregon91-93
10/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-75
09/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-82
07/03/24HAngeles CDMX110-102 OT
06/03/24HAngeles CDMX89-76
03/03/24HFrayles de Guasave106-83
Rayos de Hermosillolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AAstros88-73
21/03/24HCaballeros de Culiacan87-81
20/03/24HCaballeros de Culiacan100-89
17/03/24HHalcones de Obregon90-67
16/03/24HHalcones de Obregon83-79
10/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan79-86
09/03/24AVenados de Mazatlan109-91
07/03/24AFrayles de Guasave92-90
06/03/24AFrayles de Guasave83-81
03/03/24AOstioneros de Guaymas92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL73%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game92.594.788.5
Allowed / game84.883.487.2
Point differential+7.6+11.3+1.2
Avg total177.3178.1175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game90.490.290.5
Allowed / game82.780.484.7
Point differential+7.6+9.8+5.8
Avg total173.1170.6175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rayos de Hermosillo1110191%90.482.7+7.6
2 Astros118373%92.584.8+7.6
3 Zonkeys de Tijuana118373%90.083.5+6.5
4 Angeles CDMX117464%93.588.0+5.5
5 Halcones de Obregon116555%85.888.2-2.4
6 Ostioneros de Guaymas115645%89.692.8-3.2
7 Venados de Mazatlan114736%87.990.9-3.0
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis114736%88.592.6-4.1
9 Frayles de Guasave112918%87.895.1-7.3
10 Caballeros de Culiacan111109%82.089.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2215203592
Rayos de Hermosillo1820171267
← all games of the day
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