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Astros vs Venados de Mazatlan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 109-90
19-19 38-16 26-30 26-25
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game86.7
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#9
Record9-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game86.6
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Venados de Mazatlan
16 Apr 2025
ASTR102
VENA79
15 Apr 2025
ASTR109
VENA90
02 Apr 2024
ASTR102
VENA78
01 Apr 2024
ASTR88
VENA78
09 May 2023
ASTR87
VENA86
08 May 2023
ASTR85
VENA91
15 Apr 2023
ASTR98
VENA103
14 Apr 2023
ASTR113
VENA84
29 Jun 2022
ASTR111
VENA93
21 Jun 2022
ASTR83
VENA86
20 Jun 2022
ASTR115
VENA88
06 Apr 2022
ASTR87
VENA81
05 Apr 2022
ASTR106
VENA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venados de Mazatlan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
103avg 91
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
75avg 91
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
117-78
117
78
+39
116avg 91
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 91
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 91
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 91
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
112-90
112
90
+22
105avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
84avg 91
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-82
99
82
+17
93avg 91
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 91
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-19
27-17
28-17
17-19
19-16
27-15
23-26
29-13
28-15
35-25
25-25
31-27
28-27
30-23
17-17
27-30
29-26
17-29
35-32
21-14
17-14
25-16
27-26
26-19
28-26
33-17
25-28
23-23
29-42
26-25
18-28
32-21
23-19
28-29
16-13
17-22
27-22
21-18
24-18
188.7Avg total
100.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)98.586.7185.2+11.985%
Season at home (8)103.585.0188.5+18.588%
Season away (12)95.287.8183.0+7.583%
Last 10 (10)100.887.9188.7+12.980%
Last 5 (5)97.288.0185.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.997.4186.3-8.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)97.385.4182.7+11.987%
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazatlan
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
78avg 80
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 80
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 80
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 80
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
95-88
95
88
+7
89avg 80
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
84avg 80
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
71avg 80
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
61avg 80
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 80
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
69avg 80
H14/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-14
22-19
20-23
16-19
28-24
18-13
26-22
19-23
21-22
27-27
20-21
27-29
22-21
22-16
25-26
21-19
23-19
26-30
25-20
13-16
18-19
17-25
30-18
18-22
19-14
30-24
12-18
12-28
23-14
20-24
21-16
18-24
19-18
21-31
29-25
17-16
16-16
20-22
22-15
169.9Avg total
86.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.186.6171.7-1.545%
Season at home (12)85.385.9171.2-0.650%
Season away (8)84.887.6172.4-2.938%
Last 10 (10)86.083.9169.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)81.883.4165.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
vs Similar (20)87.788.4176.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (4)109.099.2208.2+9.875%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
AstrosVenados de Mazatlan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
CIBACOPA
93.6Avg total
50.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.644.391.9+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.441.890.2+6.569%-
Last 30 away (17)46.946.293.2+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)50.143.593.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.493.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)46.452.799.1-6.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.941.889.7+6.170%-
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H14/04
CIBACOPA
78.5Avg total
39.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.385.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.841.982.7-1.253%-
Last 30 away (13)44.345.189.4-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.278.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.472.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.241.883.0-0.750%-
vs Similar (20)41.443.985.2-2.540%-
vs Weaker (4)48.842.591.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.825.0
57.1%
53.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
35.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
73.3%16.9
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Venados de Mazatlantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venados de Mazatlan: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.4
51.1%
53.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.5
33.6%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.518.1
77.0%
73.3%18.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWLWWLWWWW
Venados de Mazatlan
WLLWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#9
+15.6
Net rating
+3.2
124.5
Offensive rating
108.2
108.9
Defensive rating
105.0
56.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.9%
3-point %
33.6%
53.8%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence124.5 · 108.2Defence108.9 · 105.0Shooting56.4% · 50.9%3-point %36.9% · 33.6%Ball care13.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds36.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Astros   ■ Venados de Mazatlan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Venados de Mazatlan wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana89-80
12/04/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-82
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX96-118
06/04/25AAngeles CDMX112-90
03/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-70
02/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana108-117
30/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis106-94
29/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis117-78
27/03/25ARayos de Hermosillo86-76
26/03/25ARayos de Hermosillo105-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan75-69
13/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan87-98
10/04/25ACaballeros de Culiacan76-82
09/04/25ACaballeros de Culiacan79-78
06/04/25HFrayles de Guasave92-90 OT
05/04/25HFrayles de Guasave95-88
03/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis96-92
02/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis87-93
30/03/25HRayos de Hermosillo88-78
29/03/25HRayos de Hermosillo85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %85%88%83%
Points / game98.5103.595.2
Allowed / game86.785.087.8
Point differential+11.9+18.5+7.5
Avg total185.2188.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venados de Mazatlan
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%50%38%
Points / game85.185.384.8
Allowed / game86.685.987.6
Point differential-1.5-0.6-2.9
Avg total171.7171.2172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2017385%98.586.7+11.9
2 Angeles CDMX2014670%107.899.2+8.7
3 Halcones de Obregon21111052%87.484.8+2.6
4 Caballeros de Culiacan20101050%86.887.0-0.2
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana20101050%88.188.7-0.6
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis21101148%90.994.0-3.1
7 Venados de Mazatlan2091145%85.186.6-1.5
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas2081240%92.392.0+0.3
9 Rayos de Hermosillo2071335%82.088.7-6.6
10 Frayles de Guasave2051525%86.297.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros19382626109
Venados de Mazatlan1916302590
← all games of the day
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