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Astros vs Venados de Mazatlan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 88-78
18-22 25-18 21-26 24-12
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Venados de Mazatlan
Mexico
Position#5
Record7-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game90.4
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2024
Meetings · Astros v Venados de Mazatlan
16 Apr 2025
ASTR102
VENA79
15 Apr 2025
ASTR109
VENA90
02 Apr 2024
ASTR102
VENA78
01 Apr 2024
ASTR88
VENA78
09 May 2023
ASTR87
VENA86
08 May 2023
ASTR85
VENA91
15 Apr 2023
ASTR98
VENA103
14 Apr 2023
ASTR113
VENA84
29 Jun 2022
ASTR111
VENA93
21 Jun 2022
ASTR83
VENA86
20 Jun 2022
ASTR115
VENA88
06 Apr 2022
ASTR87
VENA81
05 Apr 2022
ASTR106
VENA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venados de Mazatlan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 83
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
73avg 83
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 83
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 83
A14/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
88avg 83
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 83
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 83
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
92-67
92
67
+25
87avg 83
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 83
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 83
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
29-30
18-17
14-8
29-27
17-13
18-15
22-20
16-24
19-20
33-34
23-15
25-28
25-17
16-25
25-29
17-24
28-19
20-19
29-14
26-20
38-17
23-28
27-22
18-22
15-27
23-23
17-16
22-18
15-20
20-17
35-12
30-15
21-25
16-22
26-11
14-17
18-20
24-17
24-15
170.9Avg total
90.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.681.6173.1+10.079%
Season at home (8)94.481.4175.8+13.088%
Season away (6)87.881.8169.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)90.080.9170.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)90.476.8167.2+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)87.588.5176.0-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.281.5173.7+10.784%
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazatlan
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
91-109
91
109
-18
75avg 82
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 82
H10/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 82
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 82
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
97-107
97
107
-10
91avg 82
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 82
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
86-100
86
100
-14
72avg 82
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
103-88
103
88
+15
95avg 82
A24/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
87avg 82
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
87avg 82
H28/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
12-31
28-37
26-22
19-21
20-21
26-18
21-19
30-18
12-19
26-26
23-22
11-28
21-21
13-16
25-22
21-36
25-27
21-19
30-25
21-23
15-20
21-27
26-23
22-21
22-24
25-33
17-22
20-17
25-24
26-22
32-25
19-32
30-21
25-22
23-17
15-16
28-25
28-27
24-18
182.5Avg total
89.9Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.190.4180.6-0.350%
Season at home (9)89.090.2179.2-1.256%
Season away (5)92.290.8183.0+1.440%
Last 10 (10)89.992.6182.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.891.8184.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)88.288.9177.1-0.650%
vs Similar (18)94.295.8190.1-1.639%
vs Weaker (4)88.883.8172.5+5.075%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
AstrosVenados de Mazatlan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A14/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/03
CIBACOPA
87.7Avg total
44.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.188.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.189.4+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.287.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.087.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.283.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.545.788.3-3.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.241.588.7+5.763%-
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A24/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H28/03
CIBACOPA
87.7Avg total
41.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.190.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.446.492.8+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)43.943.687.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.487.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.688.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.143.985.0-2.838%-
vs Similar (18)47.046.593.5+0.556%-
vs Weaker (4)45.841.287.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.7
50.4%
52.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.1
69.3%
72.4%13.1
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Venados de Mazatlantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venados de Mazatlan: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.3
52.6%
52.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.317.5
78.5%
72.4%17.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWLWWLLWW
Venados de Mazatlan
WWWLLLLWWL
#2
League position
#5
+10.7
Net rating
-3.4
111.1
Offensive rating
116.4
100.4
Defensive rating
119.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
11.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
36.4%
53.2%
Assist %
54.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 116.4Defence100.4 · 119.8Shooting52.9% · 53.3%3-point %38.1% · 36.4%Ball care13.2% · 11.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Astros   ■ Venados de Mazatlan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Venados de Mazatlan wins
DateGameScore
10/05/23Astros v Venados de Mazatlan87-86
09/05/23Astros v Venados de Mazatlan85-91
16/04/23Astros v Venados de Mazatlan98-103 OT
15/04/23Astros v Venados de Mazatlan113-84
16/03/23Venados de Mazatlan v Astros100-102
15/03/23Venados de Mazatlan v Astros103-98
30/06/22Astros v Venados de Mazatlan111-93
27/06/22Venados de Mazatlan v Astros91-97
26/06/22Venados de Mazatlan v Astros95-89
25/06/22Venados de Mazatlan v Astros71-106
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-69
27/03/24ACaballeros de Culiacan93-73
24/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo92-67
23/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo73-88
17/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas114-87
16/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas94-76
14/03/24AHalcones de Obregon91-99
13/03/24AHalcones de Obregon91-93
10/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-75
09/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis86-82
Venados de Mazatlanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HFrayles de Guasave95-86
27/03/24HFrayles de Guasave97-92
24/03/24AHalcones de Obregon103-88
23/03/24AHalcones de Obregon86-100
21/03/24HAngeles CDMX83-93
20/03/24HAngeles CDMX97-107
17/03/24HZonkeys de Tijuana70-87
16/03/24HZonkeys de Tijuana91-85
10/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo86-79
09/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo91-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game91.694.487.8
Allowed / game81.681.481.8
Point differential+10.0+13.0+6.0
Avg total173.1175.8169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Venados de Mazatlan
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game90.189.092.2
Allowed / game90.490.290.8
Point differential-0.3-1.2+1.4
Avg total180.6179.2183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1411379%91.681.6+10.0
2 Zonkeys de Tijuana1411379%91.582.5+9.0
3 Rayos de Hermosillo1410471%86.683.9+2.8
4 Angeles CDMX149564%91.188.0+3.1
5 Venados de Mazatlan147750%90.190.4-0.3
6 Halcones de Obregon147750%84.387.0-2.7
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas146843%88.491.9-3.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis145936%86.189.9-3.8
9 Frayles de Guasave1421214%89.096.1-7.1
10 Caballeros de Culiacan1421214%82.289.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1825212488
Venados de Mazatlan2218261278
← all games of the day
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