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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 74-105
21-25 19-25 17-27 17-28
Position#7
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game85.4
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Sonora
Other2025
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros
26 Mar 2025
RAYO76
ASTR86
25 Mar 2025
RAYO74
ASTR105
27 Jun 2024
RAYO107
ASTR89
26 Jun 2024
RAYO96
ASTR94
09 Apr 2024
RAYO100
ASTR92
08 Apr 2024
RAYO76
ASTR102
26 Jun 2023
RAYO86
ASTR93
17 Jun 2023
RAYO94
ASTR87
16 Jun 2023
RAYO109
ASTR114
29 Apr 2023
RAYO89
ASTR81
28 Apr 2023
RAYO101
ASTR98
09 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR84
08 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR80
07 Jul 2022
RAYO89
ASTR81
20 Apr 2022
RAYO71
ASTR61
19 Apr 2022
RAYO73
ASTR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
91avg 83
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
107-89
107
89
+18
113avg 83
H28/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
74-102
74
102
-28
53avg 83
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 83
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 83
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 83
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 83
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
58-90
58
90
-32
45avg 83
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 83
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
91avg 83
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
12-21
24-21
16-21
33-25
24-15
26-26
24-23
20-32
8-28
23-14
23-28
25-27
20-24
20-20
17-25
19-14
8-24
21-17
17-22
21-18
29-19
21-26
15-29
23-19
19-25
25-25
32-16
9-20
22-13
13-35
14-22
18-28
25-26
22-26
34-22
24-31
27-19
20-22
25-14
177.5Avg total
86.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.491.2173.6-8.925%
Season at home (4)86.589.2175.8-2.825%
Season away (4)78.293.2171.5-15.025%
Last 10 (10)86.291.3177.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)87.691.0178.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)98.789.5188.2+9.283%
vs Similar (19)84.287.3171.5-3.147%
vs Weaker (5)92.282.6174.8+9.680%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
46avg 90
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 90
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
73avg 90
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 90
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
108-81
108
81
+27
78avg 90
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 90
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
110-88
110
88
+22
109avg 90
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
97-68
97
68
+29
93avg 90
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 90
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
104-116
104
116
-12
86avg 90
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
15-24
24-29
29-20
26-21
23-13
25-22
11-17
18-29
25-18
28-7
19-30
21-29
27-15
21-10
22-27
29-18
28-21
29-15
22-27
24-19
19-23
27-23
22-19
32-25
22-19
25-21
31-23
20-19
21-16
25-18
31-15
21-22
30-21
29-28
23-27
23-31
25-25
29-35
27-25
181.7Avg total
96.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)96.385.4181.7+10.990%
Season at home (4)101.880.2182.0+21.5100%
Season away (6)92.788.8181.5+3.883%
Last 10 (10)96.385.4181.7+10.990%
Last 5 (5)101.290.8192.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)79.891.0170.8-11.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.684.2177.8+9.586%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
Rayos de HermosilloAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H28/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
85.9Avg total
41.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.885.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.338.984.3+6.480%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.687.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.585.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.687.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.244.393.5+4.883%-
vs Similar (19)42.342.184.3+0.247%-
vs Weaker (5)44.637.682.2+7.080%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A23/03
CIBACOPA
88.0Avg total
46.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.788.8+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.085.7+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)47.444.191.6+3.356%-
Last 10 (10)46.441.688.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.091.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.247.190.4-3.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.241.088.3+6.268%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.5
34.4%
35.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.410.7
69.5%
73.3%10.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.0
55.6%
53.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.8
38.2%
35.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
73.3%16.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
WLLWLLLLWW
Astros
LWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-4.2
Net rating
+13.4
103.9
Offensive rating
119.5
108.1
Defensive rating
106.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
38.2%
61.3%
Assist %
48.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 119.5Defence108.1 · 106.0Shooting52.1% · 56.2%3-point %34.4% · 38.2%Ball care15.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
4
Astros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HAngeles CDMX96-86
22/03/25HAngeles CDMX99-102
20/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana58-90
19/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-85
16/03/25HCaballeros de Culiacan86-92
15/03/25HCaballeros de Culiacan65-77
13/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas82-96
12/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas74-102
28/06/24HAstros107-89
27/06/24HAstros96-94 OT
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas104-116
22/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas103-98
20/03/25HFrayles de Guasave97-68
19/03/25HFrayles de Guasave110-88
16/03/25HHalcones de Obregon92-84
16/03/25HHalcones de Obregon108-81
13/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan91-81
12/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan90-84
09/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan85-73
08/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game82.486.578.2
Allowed / game91.289.293.2
Point differential-8.9-2.8-15.0
Avg total173.6175.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game96.3101.892.7
Allowed / game85.480.288.8
Point differential+10.9+21.5+3.8
Avg total181.7182.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros109190%96.385.4+10.9
2 Angeles CDMX108280%105.895.7+10.1
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis86275%90.886.2+4.5
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana105550%88.485.0+3.4
5 Caballeros de Culiacan84450%88.187.5+0.6
6 Ostioneros de Guaymas104640%90.788.8+1.9
7 Frayles de Guasave104640%85.196.9-11.8
8 Halcones de Obregon82625%89.697.6-8.0
9 Rayos de Hermosillo82625%82.491.2-8.9
10 Venados de Mazatlan102820%84.289.3-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo2119171774
Astros25252728105
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