PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga A· Polideportivo Carlos Cerutti
Atenas and Instituto de Cordoba clash on 20 November 2026 in the Liga A, with Atenas arriving on a 5-2 run while Instituto de Cordoba comes off a 6-2 season; Atenas has averaged 84.4 points per game and allowed 79.0, while Instituto de Cordoba averages 77.9 and allows 76.5, placing the former fifth and the latter fourth in the league. Atenas is 4-1 at home, scoring 84.6 and conceding 76.6, but has lost four of its last five, including a 83-105 defeat to Penarol and a 71-99 loss to Goes; Instituto de Cordoba is 3-1 on the road, averaging 79.8 points and allowing 79.0, and has won four of its last five, with recent victories over Olimpico, Quimsa and Racing de Chivilcoy. Historically, Instituto de Cordoba has dominated the series 9-1, most recently beating Atenas 85-73 on 27 March 2026. Pythia rates Instituto de Cordoba as the favourite with a 69% chance of winning versus 31% for Atenas, projecting a 75-80 score and a total of 154.7 points, and assigns a 5% probability that the game will go into overtime. The model also estimates a 5% chance that Atenas will cover the spread. The contest will hinge on whether Atenas can reverse its recent slump and keep the margin within the projected five-point differential.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 84.4 | 79.0 | 163.4 | +5.4 | 71% |
| Season at home (5) | 84.6 | 76.6 | 161.2 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Season away (2) | 84.0 | 85.0 | 169.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.5 | 85.7 | 163.2 | -8.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.8 | 89.4 | 166.2 | -12.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 78.2 | 88.4 | 166.6 | -10.2 | 22% |
| vs Similar (3) | 76.3 | 73.3 | 149.7 | +3.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 82.4 | 79.7 | 162.1 | +2.8 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.9 | 76.5 | 154.4 | +1.4 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 76.0 | 74.0 | 150.0 | +2.0 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 79.8 | 79.0 | 158.8 | +0.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.7 | 76.7 | 154.4 | +1.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 74.4 | 150.8 | +2.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 74.6 | 80.4 | 155.0 | -5.9 | 33% |
| vs Similar (16) | 77.1 | 75.3 | 152.4 | +1.8 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 84.8 | 75.6 | 160.4 | +9.2 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 42.7 | 82.9 | -2.6 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.6 | 42.2 | 81.8 | -2.7 | 25% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.8 | 43.3 | 84.1 | -2.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 45.6 | 84.4 | -6.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 47.2 | 84.8 | -9.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 40.3 | 45.1 | 85.3 | -4.8 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 36.0 | 36.3 | 72.3 | -0.3 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 41.2 | 40.2 | 81.4 | +1.0 | 44% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.8 | 38.3 | 77.1 | +0.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.9 | 37.8 | 77.6 | +2.1 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.9 | 38.8 | 76.7 | -0.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.8 | 39.4 | 76.2 | -2.6 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 41.2 | 78.0 | -4.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 36.3 | 42.2 | 78.6 | -5.9 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 40.2 | 35.9 | 76.2 | +4.3 | 75% | - |
| vs Weaker (5) | 38.8 | 38.8 | 77.6 | +0.0 | 40% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.2 | 20.6 | 54.4% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.7 | 32.6% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 10.4 | 72.7% | 10.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.4 | 17.7 | 54.4% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 8.7 | 32.6% | 26.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.0 | 13.5 | 72.7% | 13.5 |
Atenas
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 73-85 |
| 27/12/25 | Instituto de Cordoba v Atenas | 68-57 |
| 21/03/25 | Instituto de Cordoba v Atenas | 84-73 |
| 22/10/24 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 74-87 |
| 19/04/23 | Instituto de Cordoba v Atenas | 90-70 |
| 03/03/23 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 72-84 |
| 19/04/22 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 84-95 |
| 11/01/22 | Instituto de Cordoba v Atenas | 91-63 |
| 13/10/21 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 87-78 |
| 20/03/21 | Atenas v Instituto de Cordoba | 73-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Penarol | 83-105 |
| 13/11/26 | H | San Lorenzo | 81-55 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Goes | 71-99 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Gimnasia | 76-79 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Larranaga | 73-109 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 95-94 OT |
| 31/10/26 | H | Aguada | 57-84 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Union Atletica | 82-73 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Lanus | 80-69 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Nacional | 77-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Olimpico | 83-82 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Quimsa | 92-88 OT |
| 04/11/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 75-71 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Gimnasia | 57-58 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Lanus | 75-73 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ferro | 97-94 OT |
| 03/10/26 | A | Regatas | 63-73 |
| 01/10/26 | A | San Martin | 81-73 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Quimsa | 71-75 |
| 16/05/26 | H | Quimsa | 83-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 71% |
| Home | WWWLW | 80% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 71% | 80% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.4 | 84.6 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | 76.6 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +5.4 | +8.0 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 163.4 | 161.2 | 169.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 67% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 75% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Points / game | 77.9 | 76.0 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 76.5 | 74.0 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | +1.4 | +2.0 | +0.8 |
| Avg total | 154.4 | 150.0 | 158.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 83% (6) | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 |
| 2 |  Penarol | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 82.1 | 74.8 | +7.4 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 77.2 | 74.0 | +3.2 |
| 4 | Instituto de Cordoba | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 76.5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | Atenas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.4 | 79.0 | +5.4 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 83.2 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Independiente de Oliva | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 99.5 | 89.0 | +10.5 |
| 8 |  Olimpico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.4 | +1.4 |
| 9 |  Argentino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.9 | 79.5 | -1.6 |
| 10 |  Obera TC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 83.1 | -3.1 |
| 11 |  Platense | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.9 | 78.6 | -1.8 |
| 12 |  Lanus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 78.5 | 79.3 | -0.7 |
| 13 |  Racing de Chivilcoy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 |
| 14 |  La Union | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.2 | 83.2 | -5.0 |
| 15 |  Regatas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.3 | 75.7 | -2.4 |
| 16 |  Ferro | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.5 | 85.6 | -4.1 |
| 17 |  San Lorenzo | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 70.1 | 83.2 | -13.1 |
| 18 |  San Martin | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.6 | 87.4 | -5.9 |
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