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Atyrau vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-86
16-29 16-18 21-22 28-17
Position#4
Record15-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record16-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.9
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau
30 Mar 2026
ATYR81
KASP86
29 Mar 2026
ATYR86
KASP79
08 Dec 2025
ATYR64
KASP78
07 Dec 2025
ATYR68
KASP92
15 Mar 2025
ATYR60
KASP85
14 Mar 2025
ATYR62
KASP71
05 Apr 2024
ATYR95
KASP80
04 Apr 2024
ATYR102
KASP69
22 Oct 2023
ATYR78
KASP60
21 Oct 2023
ATYR88
KASP69
08 Mar 2022
ATYR69
KASP62
07 Mar 2022
ATYR81
KASP56
27 Dec 2021
ATYR92
KASP57
26 Dec 2021
ATYR83
KASP67
23 Jan 2021
ATYR93
KASP83
22 Jan 2021
ATYR99
KASP77
01 Dec 2019
ATYR71
KASP53
30 Nov 2019
ATYR75
KASP60
29 Oct 2018
ATYR84
KASP42
28 Oct 2018
ATYR77
KASP59
23 Mar 2018
ATYR97
KASP94
22 Mar 2018
ATYR76
KASP53
15 Nov 2017
ATYR79
KASP65
21 Apr 2017
ATYR86
KASP82
31 Mar 2017
ATYR95
KASP67
30 Mar 2017
ATYR80
KASP90
27 Nov 2016
ATYR80
KASP62
26 Nov 2016
ATYR86
KASP62
15 Mar 2016
ATYR74
KASP66
14 Mar 2016
ATYR84
KASP79
26 Mar 2014
ATYR83
KASP60
22 Oct 2013
ATYR90
KASP66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
78avg 71
H04/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
85-92
85
92
-7
76avg 71
A13/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
106-76
106
76
+30
104avg 71
A14/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
58avg 71
A25/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 71
A26/02
National League
Almaty
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
54avg 71
A14/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 71
A15/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
97-82
97
82
+15
82avg 71
H23/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
106-66
106
66
+40
105avg 71
H24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 71
H29/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
13-21
18-18
23-9
23-27
18-27
18-24
26-14
26-22
27-17
35-21
18-16
16-23
17-20
15-19
21-23
15-20
10-22
24-16
23-21
22-29
15-17
14-17
18-9
12-22
18-23
18-14
24-15
22-24
26-18
18-20
31-20
30-13
26-18
32-18
18-17
16-21
20-19
29-20
21-19
162.0Avg total
84.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.481.2161.5-0.848%
Season at home (15)80.783.9164.7-3.247%
Season away (16)80.178.6158.6+1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.078.0162.0+6.050%
Last 5 (5)86.074.6160.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.785.8155.5-16.121%
vs Similar (8)84.982.9167.8+2.050%
vs Weaker (8)93.972.0165.9+21.988%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 79
H30/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 79
A08/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
91-66
91
66
+25
85avg 79
A09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
87avg 79
A21/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
83-71
83
71
+12
82avg 79
A22/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
53-75
53
75
-22
47avg 79
H02/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
70avg 79
H03/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-66
105
66
+39
109avg 79
H19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 79
H20/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 79
A29/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-20
24-17
23-21
21-20
18-21
20-16
24-17
22-23
36-19
19-7
14-17
28-18
30-18
16-17
21-26
24-17
28-14
14-15
17-25
17-21
12-25
14-19
10-10
22-12
14-22
20-10
17-24
37-14
31-15
15-18
22-19
20-29
37-16
26-14
16-16
21-16
19-20
20-29
19-21
159.1Avg total
85.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.875.9157.7+5.855%
Season at home (16)81.377.9159.2+3.444%
Season away (13)82.373.5155.8+8.869%
Last 10 (10)85.673.5159.1+12.180%
Last 5 (5)81.874.0155.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.081.0148.0-14.017%
vs Similar (9)80.075.9155.9+4.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.274.2162.4+14.067%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
AtyrauKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H04/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A14/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A25/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A26/02
National League
Almaty
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A15/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H23/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/03
National League
82.6Avg total
39.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.481.6-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.043.783.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.179.4-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.082.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.444.979.2-10.57%-
vs Similar (8)39.944.184.0-4.238%-
vs Weaker (8)46.836.583.2+10.288%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A21/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A22/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H02/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
68-29
68
29
+39
H19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/03
National League
86.2Avg total
48.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.881.7+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.936.981.8+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)42.938.781.6+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)48.537.786.2+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.341.374.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (9)44.036.080.0+8.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.137.485.5+10.787%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.2
48.4%
50.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.0
30.0%
30.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
69.6%13.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.2
54.0%
50.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.0
27.3%
30.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
69.6%14.2
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atyrau
WWWLLLLWLW
Kaspiy Aktau
LWWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-2.9
Net rating
+12.5
101.3
Offensive rating
107.0
104.2
Defensive rating
94.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.0%
3-point %
27.3%
62.5%
Assist %
84.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 107.0Defence104.2 · 94.5Shooting46.9% · 48.7%3-point %30.0% · 27.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Atyrau   ■ Kaspiy Aktau
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atyrau wins
5
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau86-79
12/01/26Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau73-75
11/01/26Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau101-91
08/12/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau64-78
07/12/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau68-92
12/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau78-84
11/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau76-86
15/03/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau60-85
14/03/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau62-71
12/11/24Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau76-78
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HKaspiy Aktau86-79
24/03/26HTobol Kostanay106-66
23/03/26HTobol Kostanay97-82
15/03/26AAlmaty72-74
14/03/26AAlmaty69-72
26/02/26AAstana72-79
25/02/26AAstana69-85
14/02/26ATobol Kostanay106-76
13/02/26ATobol Kostanay85-92
04/02/26HAlmaty78-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AAtyrau79-86
20/03/26HTobol Kostanay99-75
19/03/26HTobol Kostanay105-66
03/03/26HAstana73-68
02/03/26HAstana53-75
22/02/26AAlmaty83-71
21/02/26AAlmaty95-79
09/02/26ATobol Kostanay91-66
08/02/26ATobol Kostanay83-74
30/01/26HAlmaty95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%47%50%
Points / game80.480.780.1
Allowed / game81.283.978.6
Point differential-0.8-3.2+1.5
Avg total161.5164.7158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWLWWW44%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%44%69%
Points / game81.881.382.3
Allowed / game75.977.973.5
Point differential+5.8+3.4+8.8
Avg total157.7159.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%38%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3027390%88.265.4+22.8
2 Kaspiy Aktau29161355%81.875.9+5.8
3 Almaty32161650%81.779.5+2.2
4 Atyrau31151648%80.481.2-0.8
5 Tobol Kostanay323299%67.996.0-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau1616212881
Kaspiy Aktau2918221786
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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