Astana vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	92.0	64.7	156.7	+27.3	100%
Season at home (8)	88.8	67.9	156.6	+20.9	100%
Season away (12)	94.2	62.5	156.7	+31.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	66.6	158.6	+25.4	100%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	65.8	160.4	+28.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	68.5	91.5	160.0	-23.0	10%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	92.0	64.7	156.7	+27.3	100%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtyrau

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

94-72

+22

92avg 73

H22/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

90-72

+18

87avg 73

H23/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

91-101

101

-10

85avg 73

A11/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-73

74avg 73

A12/01

National League

Astana

50-79

-29

38avg 73

H20/01

National League

Astana

68-97

-29

63avg 73

H21/01

National League

Almaty

90-79

+11

84avg 73

H03/02

National League

Almaty

78-75

78avg 73

H04/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

85-92

-7

76avg 73

A13/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

106-76

106

+30

104avg 73

A14/02

National League

26-11

25-25

23-9

20-27

28-22

15-15

23-16

24-19

18-29

21-29

32-22

20-21

31-25

14-18

15-11

15-19

11-22

11-17

17-24

11-16

18-19

13-27

21-25

16-26

25-25

26-22

16-16

23-16

24-27

13-21

18-18

23-9

23-27

18-27

18-24

26-14

26-22

27-17

35-21

18-16

164.3Avg total

82.7Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.0	82.5	162.5	-2.4	50%
Season at home (12)	76.8	86.0	162.8	-9.2	33%
Season away (12)	83.2	78.9	162.2	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	81.6	164.3	+1.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	83.8	169.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	72.7	85.5	158.2	-12.8	29%
vs Similar (10)	78.1	85.0	163.1	-6.9	40%
vs Weaker (6)	91.3	71.3	162.7	+20.0	83%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.5	17.9	41.5	+5.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.2	41.6	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.2	17.1	41.2	+7.1	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	22.2	42.5	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.9	45.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	18.3	42.5	+5.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.0	38.7	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.6	23.7	39.3	-8.1	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	15.5	38.4	+7.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.5	22.4	39.9	-4.9	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.7	33%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

47-36

+11

A02/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-36

-5

A03/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-35

H15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

62-28

+34

H16/12

National League

Almaty

49-32

+17

H22/12

National League

Almaty

40-38

H23/12

National League

Atyrau

39-22

+17

A20/01

National League

Atyrau

46-31

+15

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

59-37

+22

A26/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-38

A27/01

National League

79.3Avg total

46.0Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	37.0	80.2	+6.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.5	38.8	80.2	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.5	35.6	80.1	+8.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	33.3	79.3	+12.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	33.2	79.4	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.4	45.9	81.3	-10.5	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	47.0	32.5	79.6	+14.5	90%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

51-36

+15

H22/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

43-37

H23/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

39-58

-19

A11/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-43

A12/01

National League

Astana

22-39

-17

H20/01

National League

Astana

31-46

-15

H21/01

National League

Almaty

51-47

H03/02

National League

Almaty

37-48

-11

H04/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

41-54

-13

A13/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-39

+14

A14/02

National League

86.0Avg total

41.3Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.2	43.6	81.8	-5.5	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	44.7	86.0	-3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	46.8	89.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.6	44.4	80.9	-7.8	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.3	42.6	81.9	-3.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	83%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	16.1	40.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.8	40.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.5	23.9	39.4	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.1	16.8	39.9	+6.4	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.8	41.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.4	21.6	42.1	-1.2	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	16.8	38.6	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.2	39.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	15.8	41.0	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	21.7	39.3	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	15.3	37.2	+6.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.7	19.5	35.2	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	16.8	37.7	+4.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.6	77.6	+4.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.5	35.2	78.7	+8.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	33.3	79.3	+12.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	32.6	81.0	+15.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.1	45.6	78.7	-12.5	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.0	32.1	77.1	+12.9	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.0	78.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.8	39.9	76.7	-3.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	40.2	81.7	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	36.9	78.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	37.0	79.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.1	41.1	77.3	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.1	41.6	79.7	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.3	34.8	81.2	+11.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 87.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	21.6	56.1%	50.5%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	10.3	32.1%	30.4%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.8	76.7%	69.6%	13.8

They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	13.5	37.5%	50.5%	27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.2	35.0%	30.4%	30.8
🏀 Free throws	20.2	13.2	65.4%	69.6%	13.2

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.5	52.1%	50.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.1	35.6%	30.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.4	72.9%	69.6%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.8	53.8%	50.5%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.8	32.1%	30.4%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	33.0	25.8	78.0%	69.6%	25.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	18.4	52.7%	50.5%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.6	32.0%	30.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.3	72.0%	69.6%	10.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.1	54.0%	50.5%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.7	35.2%	30.4%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.4	75.0%	69.6%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.8	53.8%	50.5%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.8	32.1%	30.4%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	33.0	25.8	78.0%	69.6%	25.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Astana

WWWWWWWWWW

Atyrau

WLWWLLWLWW

League position

+2.8

Net rating

-22.2

112.1

Offensive rating

95.3

109.3

Defensive rating

117.5

52.5%

Effective FG%

44.3%

52.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

9.5%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.31

32.1%

3-point %

35.0%

65.2%

Assist %

86.3%

100%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Astana ■ Atyrau

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
21/01/26	Atyrau v Astana	68-97
20/01/26	Atyrau v Astana	50-79
26/11/25	Astana v Atyrau	96-63
25/11/25	Astana v Atyrau	78-61
19/10/25	Atyrau v Astana	64-99
18/10/25	Atyrau v Astana	61-87
06/05/23	Atyrau v Astana	52-58
02/05/23	Astana v Atyrau	84-46
01/05/23	Astana v Atyrau	110-62
18/04/23	Astana v Atyrau	80-71

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-73
26/01/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	119-64
21/01/26	A	Atyrau	97-68
20/01/26	A	Atyrau	79-50
23/12/25	H	Almaty	90-74
22/12/25	H	Almaty	82-72
16/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	108-67
15/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	85-64
03/12/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-63
02/12/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-71

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	106-76
13/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	85-92
04/02/26	H	Almaty	78-75
03/02/26	H	Almaty	90-79
21/01/26	H	Astana	68-97
20/01/26	H	Astana	50-79
12/01/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-73
11/01/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	91-101
23/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	90-72
22/12/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	8	12
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.0	88.8	94.2
Allowed / game	64.7	67.9	62.5
Point differential	+27.4	+20.9	+31.7
Avg total	156.7	156.6	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	WLLWW	33%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	80.0	76.8	83.2
Allowed / game	82.5	86.0	78.9
Point differential	-2.4	-9.2	+4.3
Avg total	162.5	162.8	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	25%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	20	20	0	100%	92.0	64.7	+27.4
2	Kaspiy Aktau	24	13	11	54%	81.8	76.3	+5.4
3	Atyrau	24	12	12	50%	80.0	82.5	-2.4
4	Almaty	24	11	13	46%	84.6	80.9	+3.7
5	Tobol Kostanay	24	2	22	8%	67.2	96.6	-29.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	23	20	19	23	85
Atyrau	16	17	15	21	69

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Astana vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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