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Auburn vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-62
46-25 36-37
Position#22
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game67.1
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#281
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Auburn v Alabama State
13 Dec 2026
AUBU v ALAB
upcoming
20 Mar 2025
AUBU83
ALAB63
22 Dec 2023
AUBU82
ALAB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
83-59
83
59
+24
A17/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H30/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
104-76
104
76
+28
A09/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
39-54
39-28
47-43
39-33
44-26
48-28
29-32
49-15
35-39
33-24
41-33
31-33
33-36
52-34
52-42
39-27
48-35
49-35
42-40
150.3Avg total
83.2Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.267.1150.3+16.180%
Season at home (5)84.463.8148.2+20.6100%
Season away (5)82.070.4152.4+11.660%
Last 10 (10)83.267.1150.3+16.180%
Last 5 (5)84.067.8151.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.072.8140.8-4.820%
vs Similar (10)72.272.6144.8-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.366.9149.3+15.487%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
115-51
115
51
+64
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
A25/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H03/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
29-34
37-49
30-49
50-32
65-19
36-47
39-45
27-41
40-58
49-45
39-28
20-21
36-35
38-32
42-28
34-30
22-44
18-39
41-40
148.7Avg total
73.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.275.5148.7-2.340%
Season at home (3)84.763.3148.0+21.367%
Season away (7)68.380.7149.0-12.429%
Last 10 (10)73.275.5148.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)69.869.2139.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.073.6138.6-8.638%
vs Similar (8)58.968.2127.1-9.40%
vs Weaker (4)77.067.5144.5+9.575%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +0.3+0.3
AuburnAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
49-15
49
15
+34
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
42.2Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.367.1+6.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.028.966.9+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)35.631.667.2+4.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.229.171.3+13.190%-
Last 5 (5)40.830.671.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.431.665.0+1.840%-
vs Similar (10)33.032.865.8+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.328.368.6+12.187%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A25/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H20/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
33.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.035.667.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.633.566.2-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)31.537.268.8-5.724%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.171.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.465.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.136.767.8-5.625%-
vs Similar (8)26.633.860.4-7.112%-
vs Weaker (4)36.835.572.2+1.275%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Auburn wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HUSC91-75
14/12/23HUNC Asheville87-62
09/12/23AIndiana104-76
03/12/23AAppalachian State64-69
30/11/23HVirginia Tech74-57
22/11/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-54
18/11/23ASt. Bonaventure77-60
17/11/23ANotre Dame83-59
11/11/23HSE Louisiana86-71
08/11/23ABaylor82-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HUSC59-79
14/12/23ALSU56-74
03/12/23HMUW Owls80-60
25/11/23AMerrimack Warriors66-60 OT
24/11/23AN. Carolina A&T88-73
23/11/23ASamford67-99
18/11/23AMemphis75-92
15/11/23HOglethorpe115-51
11/11/23AIowa67-98
07/11/23AOle Miss59-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game83.284.482.0
Allowed / game67.163.870.4
Point differential+16.1+20.6+11.6
Avg total150.3148.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%67%29%
Points / game73.284.768.3
Allowed / game75.563.380.7
Point differential-2.3+21.3-12.4
Avg total148.7148.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss11110100%74.766.5+8.3
2 South Carolina1211192%73.963.2+10.8
3 Oklahoma1110191%83.063.1+19.9
4 Kentucky119282%90.673.7+16.9
5 Mississippi St.119282%76.063.0+13.0
6 Texas119282%79.867.0+12.8
7 Auburn108280%83.267.1+16.1
8 Florida129375%85.473.8+11.6
9 Tennessee129375%77.165.5+11.6
10 Georgia129375%73.969.1+4.8
11 Arkansas128467%80.375.2+5.1
12 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
13 Missouri117464%75.570.1+5.4
14 LSU127558%75.270.2+5.0
15 Alabama116555%90.578.5+12.0
16 Vanderbilt114736%67.872.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman115645%75.170.9+4.2
2 Prairie View A&M115645%71.276.9-5.7
3 Southern Univ.125742%72.977.8-4.8
4 Alabama State104640%73.275.5-2.3
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff135838%86.989.3-2.4
6 Jackson State124833%69.281.2-12.0
7 Florida A&M102820%65.682.5-16.9
8 Grambling St.1221017%63.777.9-14.2
9 Alabama A&M Bulldogs1321115%72.985.6-12.7
10 Texas Southern101910%61.479.0-17.6
11 Alcorn State131128%68.387.9-19.6
12 Miss. Valley St.120120%48.884.2-35.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn463682
Alabama State253762
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