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Appalachian State vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-64
33-31 36-33
Position#14
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#22
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-81 OT
71
81
-10
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
36-27
29-29
35-44
37-34
24-34
44-21
43-28
36-48
42-43
32-43
31-20
33-34
53-22
33-28
34-29
44-24
34-34
42-22
30-39
138.8Avg total
74.2Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.064.7141.7+12.371%
Season at home (3)79.056.0135.0+23.0100%
Season away (4)75.571.2146.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)74.264.6138.8+9.660%
Last 5 (5)74.862.6137.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.867.5127.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.165.2129.3-1.122%
vs Weaker (17)75.561.2136.8+14.376%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A16/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A18/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
83-59
83
59
+24
A17/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
49-36
33-37
40-39
31-26
52-49
41-31
23-50
43-34
39-54
39-28
47-43
39-33
44-26
48-28
29-32
49-15
35-39
33-24
41-33
147.6Avg total
78.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.064.8145.8+16.283%
Season at home (3)81.360.7142.0+20.7100%
Season away (3)80.769.0149.7+11.767%
Last 10 (10)78.569.1147.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)80.860.2141.0+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.072.8140.8-4.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.871.7143.5+0.145%
vs Weaker (14)78.666.3144.9+12.479%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
Appalachian StateAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H29/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.2Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.629.263.8+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.326.161.4+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.932.366.1+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.868.0+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.267.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.530.057.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.330.962.2+0.456%-
vs Weaker (17)37.928.166.1+9.888%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A16/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
49-15
49
15
+34
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
38.6Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.165.2+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.928.364.2+7.662%-
Last 30 away (17)34.531.465.9+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)38.629.067.6+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.625.667.2+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.431.665.0+1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.832.465.2+0.545%-
vs Weaker (14)37.627.765.3+9.979%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Appalachian State wins
1
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
22/12/20Auburn v Appalachian State67-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HEast Tennessee St72-61
26/11/23HAustin Peay78-58
22/11/23AMurray State67-57
21/11/23ANC Wilmington86-56
15/11/23AOregon State71-81 OT
11/11/23ANorthern Illinois78-91
07/11/23HOakland City87-49
02/03/23ASouth Alabama61-68
25/02/23AGeorgia Southern64-73
23/02/23AGeorgia State78-52
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HVirginia Tech74-57
22/11/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-54
18/11/23ASt. Bonaventure77-60
17/11/23ANotre Dame83-59
11/11/23HSE Louisiana86-71
08/11/23ABaylor82-88
18/03/23AHouston64-81
16/03/23AIowa83-75
10/03/23HArkansas73-76
04/03/23HTennessee79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game77.079.075.5
Allowed / game64.756.071.2
Point differential+12.3+23.0+4.2
Avg total141.7135.0146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%25%
Auburn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game81.081.380.7
Allowed / game64.860.769.0
Point differential+16.2+20.7+11.7
Avg total145.8142.0149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison770100%90.478.4+12.0
2 Appalachian State75271%77.064.7+12.3
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Troy84450%84.869.2+15.5
5 Southern Miss84450%69.466.4+3.0
6 Louisiana Monroe63350%67.072.5-5.5
7 South Alabama94544%70.776.9-6.2
8 Georgia State73443%77.678.4-0.9
9 Old Dominion73443%68.171.7-3.6
10 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
11 Coastal Carolina72529%76.381.6-5.3
12 Marshall72529%74.080.9-6.9
13 Arkansas State82625%74.280.1-5.9
14 Georgia Southern8080%69.584.6-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma770100%87.463.6+23.9
2 South Carolina770100%76.764.3+12.4
3 Ole Miss770100%73.366.3+7.0
4 Texas76186%81.365.9+15.4
5 Mississippi St.76186%73.460.3+13.1
6 Auburn65183%81.064.8+16.2
7 Kentucky86275%91.873.2+18.5
8 Missouri86275%74.666.6+8.0
9 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
10 Alabama75271%94.976.3+18.6
11 LSU85362%74.568.6+5.9
12 Arkansas85362%80.675.2+5.4
13 Georgia85362%71.670.9+0.8
14 Tennessee74357%76.367.0+9.3
15 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
16 Vanderbilt84450%71.272.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State333669
Auburn313364
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