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Auburn vs Alabama State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#157
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#289
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Auburn v Alabama State
13 Dec 2026
AUBU v ALAB
upcoming
20 Mar 2025
AUBU83
ALAB63
22 Dec 2023
AUBU82
ALAB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#204
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
40-35
42-51
37-40
37-38
42-47
41-34
47-40
31-50
53-46
30-33
49-28
32-25
30-47
42-25
50-34
38-36
37-17
32-36
37-44
152.7Avg total
78.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season at home (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.274.5152.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)75.465.0140.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.086.0164.0-8.023%
vs Similar (12)83.278.5161.8+4.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.466.2146.6+14.280%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H17/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A20/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#11
L
66-97
66
97
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Georgia Gwinnett Grizzlies
#80
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Panhandle St
#348
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
50-30
39-52
32-30
31-40
32-36
50-44
39-44
34-28
30-43
36-27
27-38
31-32
34-45
29-44
37-53
34-32
43-47
32-28
34-32
146.6Avg total
71.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.778.7148.3-9.033%
Season at home (2)71.569.5141.0+2.050%
Season away (1)66.097.0163.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)71.675.0146.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)67.475.6143.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.278.4146.5-10.29%
vs Similar (12)72.680.2152.8-7.733%
vs Weaker (5)78.268.4146.6+9.860%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
AuburnAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#204
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.874.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.336.174.3+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)34.340.374.7-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.772.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.065.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.240.875.9-5.631%-
vs Similar (12)39.236.375.6+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.633.468.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H17/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Georgia Gwinnett Grizzlies
#80
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Panhandle St
#348
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.972.5-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.232.067.2+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)36.040.676.6-4.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.271.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.665.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.035.971.9+0.173%-
vs Similar (12)35.740.676.2-4.925%-
vs Weaker (5)35.832.868.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Auburn wins
0
Alabama State wins
DateGameScore
20/03/25Auburn v Alabama State83-63
23/12/23Auburn v Alabama State82-62
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HArizona69-80
10/11/26HAppalachian State75-53
05/11/26HSE Louisiana92-59
12/03/26ATennessee62-72
11/03/26HMississippi St.79-61
08/03/26AAlabama84-96
04/03/26HLSU88-74
01/03/26HOle Miss79-85
25/02/26AOklahoma79-91
22/02/26HKentucky75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HPanhandle St66-60
10/11/26HGeorgia Gwinnett Grizzlies77-79
04/11/26ATexas A&M66-97
09/03/26HAlcorn State65-77
06/03/26HGrambling St.63-65
04/03/26HSouthern Univ.64-71
28/02/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs89-88
21/02/26AFlorida A&M63-76
20/02/26ABethune-Cookman71-82
17/02/26HMiss. Valley St.92-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+14.7+14.7-
Avg total142.7142.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alabama State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.771.566.0
Allowed / game78.769.597.0
Point differential-9.0+2.0-31.0
Avg total148.3141.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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