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Auburn vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 73-79
46-38 27-41
Position#12
Record32-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game69.2
Auburn
USA
vs
Florida 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record34-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals· Alamodome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Auburn v Florida
05 Apr 2025
AUBU73
FLOR79
08 Feb 2025
AUBU81
FLOR90
17 Mar 2024
AUBU86
FLOR67
28 Dec 2022
AUBU61
FLOR58
08 Jan 2022
AUBU85
FLOR73
23 Feb 2021
AUBU57
FLOR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H30/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-40
56-36
49-34
45-44
34-40
38-43
42-45
37-34
29-22
33-35
33-32
32-38
41-31
42-32
35-37
47-33
30-29
48-36
33-24
37-40
152.2Avg total
80.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.269.2152.4+14.186%
Season at home (23)83.666.5150.1+17.187%
Season away (14)82.673.6156.2+9.186%
Last 10 (10)80.371.9152.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)75.666.4142.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.668.6139.2+2.060%
vs Weaker (24)85.169.4154.5+15.792%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H15/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H16/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
44-36
41-40
58-54
38-31
52-40
50-37
45-44
47-45
57-37
39-30
47-47
53-32
42-37
31-31
46-44
40-38
47-33
40-37
44-42
167.5Avg total
90.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.469.7155.1+15.889%
Season at home (27)87.467.0154.4+20.496%
Season away (11)80.676.2156.8+4.573%
Last 10 (10)90.676.9167.5+13.7100%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker (27)85.070.4155.4+14.685%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +6.8+6.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +6.8+6.8
AuburnFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H20/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
37.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.831.570.3+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.431.169.4+7.383%-
Last 30 away (12)39.432.271.6+7.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.471.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.665.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.231.465.6+2.880%-
vs Weaker (24)39.931.070.9+8.883%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H16/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/03
NCAA
77.9Avg total
42.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.773.4+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.132.174.2+10.085%-
Last 30 away (10)34.936.971.8-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.577.9+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.674.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.737.780.3+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)39.433.372.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Auburn wins
5
Florida wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Auburn v Florida81-90
17/03/24Auburn v Florida86-67
10/02/24Florida v Auburn81-65
29/12/22Auburn v Florida61-58
19/02/22Florida v Auburn63-62
09/01/22Auburn v Florida85-73
24/02/21Auburn v Florida57-74
18/01/20Florida v Auburn69-47
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HMichigan State70-64
29/03/25HMichigan78-65
22/03/25HCreighton82-70
20/03/25HAlabama State83-63
15/03/25HTennessee65-70
14/03/25HOle Miss62-57
08/03/25HAlabama91-93 OT
05/03/25ATexas A&M72-83
01/03/25AKentucky94-78
27/02/25HOle Miss106-76
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HTexas Tech84-79
27/03/25HMaryland87-71
23/03/25HUconn77-75
21/03/25HNorfolk State95-69
16/03/25HTennessee86-77
15/03/25HAlabama104-82
14/03/25HMissouri95-81
08/03/25HOle Miss90-71
06/03/25AAlabama99-94
02/03/25HTexas A&M89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %86%87%86%
Points / game83.283.682.6
Allowed / game69.266.573.6
Point differential+14.1+17.1+9.1
Avg total152.4150.1156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%65%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %3%4%0%
Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW96%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382711
Win %89%96%73%
Points / game85.487.480.6
Allowed / game69.767.076.2
Point differential+15.8+20.4+4.5
Avg total155.1154.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%81%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3834489%85.469.7+15.8
2 Auburn3732586%83.269.2+14.1
3 Tennessee3830879%74.063.1+10.9
4 Alabama3728976%90.781.3+9.4
5 Texas A&M34231168%74.668.7+5.9
6 Kentucky36241267%84.477.2+7.2
7 Ole Miss36241267%77.271.7+5.5
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
10 Arkansas36221461%76.871.4+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma34201459%78.374.6+3.6
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn462773
Florida384179
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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