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Auburn vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-64
28-31 44-33
Position#106
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game60.7
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#320
Record5-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Auburn v Georgia State
17 Dec 2024
AUBU100
GEOR59
14 Dec 2022
AUBU72
GEOR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H20/03
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H08/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H19/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A24/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
29-46
31-24
39-28
21-30
46-29
39-26
50-39
29-27
43-29
45-32
40-32
19-19
24-23
36-33
29-27
47-33
46-33
32-38
41-44
134.3Avg total
71.8Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.060.7133.7+12.389%
Season at home (6)76.059.7135.7+16.3100%
Season away (3)67.062.7129.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)71.862.5134.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)71.862.8134.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)71.964.9136.8+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.567.3144.8+10.286%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H18/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H19/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H02/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
39-58
31-23
45-36
26-25
31-34
43-40
34-37
43-28
18-34
30-23
27-30
29-30
45-38
29-31
37-37
38-25
41-28
17-34
29-32
133.7Avg total
67.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.863.4130.2+3.356%
Season at home (8)69.463.1132.5+6.262%
Season away (1)46.066.0112.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)67.366.4133.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)64.461.6126.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.674.8146.4-3.240%
vs Similar (12)60.463.2123.6-2.842%
vs Weaker (13)74.459.7134.1+14.792%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
AuburnGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/03
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
D
19-19
19
19
+0
A24/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A10/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
33.1Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.166.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.330.167.4+7.278%-
Last 30 away (12)34.030.164.1+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)33.129.562.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.066.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.829.462.2+3.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.330.467.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H02/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A04/12
NCAA
61.3Avg total
31.9Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.062.7+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.229.363.5+4.974%-
Last 30 away (11)30.231.361.5-1.155%-
Last 10 (10)31.929.461.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)28.628.657.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.432.868.2+2.640%-
vs Similar (12)29.328.257.6+1.167%-
vs Weaker (13)34.830.565.4+4.377%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Auburn wins
0
Georgia State wins
No previous meetings.
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AMemphis73-82
03/12/22HColgate93-66
27/11/22HSt. Louis Billikens65-60
24/11/22ANorthwestern43-42
22/11/22ABradley85-64
19/11/22HTexas Southern72-56
16/11/22HWinthrop89-65
12/11/22HSouth Florida67-59
08/11/22HGeorge Mason70-52
20/03/22HMiami (FL)61-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ANortheastern46-66
02/12/22HMiddle Georgia State79-53
27/11/22HBelmont66-68
20/11/22HUNC Asheville74-68
19/11/22HTX A&M Commerce57-53
18/11/22HEastern Kentucky61-62
16/11/22HMercer85-83 OT
13/11/22HGeorgia Tech57-59
08/11/22HCoastal Georgia76-59
17/03/22AGonzaga72-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game73.076.067.0
Allowed / game60.759.762.7
Point differential+12.3+16.3+4.3
Avg total133.7135.7129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %56%62%0%
Points / game66.869.446.0
Allowed / game63.463.166.0
Point differential+3.3+6.2-20.0
Avg total130.2132.5112.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %11%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee109190%74.051.4+22.6
2 Arkansas109190%79.263.5+15.7
3 Mississippi St.109190%68.052.6+15.4
4 Missouri109190%90.475.9+14.5
5 Alabama109190%83.070.1+12.9
6 LSU109190%71.561.8+9.7
7 Texas98189%81.860.0+21.8
8 Auburn98189%73.060.7+12.3
9 Kentucky97278%80.664.1+16.4
10 Ole Miss107370%71.264.1+7.1
11 Oklahoma107370%67.960.9+7.0
12 Georgia107370%70.063.3+6.7
13 Texas A&M96367%77.069.3+7.7
14 Florida117464%78.667.6+11.0
15 Vanderbilt105550%67.967.0+0.9
16 South Carolina105550%64.871.2-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1110191%79.958.9+21.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette109190%85.169.7+15.4
3 Marshall119282%80.767.7+13.0
4 James Madison118373%90.561.8+28.7
5 Troy117464%79.764.7+15.0
6 Old Dominion117464%67.664.0+3.6
7 Coastal Carolina95456%78.863.1+15.7
8 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
9 Appalachian State116555%77.866.5+11.3
10 Georgia Southern116555%70.565.1+5.5
11 Texas State116555%66.566.3+0.3
12 Arkansas State105550%67.963.5+4.4
13 South Alabama104640%71.369.8+1.5
14 Louisiana Monroe113827%72.372.3+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn284472
Georgia State313364
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