PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tennessee vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-80
42-31 36-49
Position#67
Record12-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game68.1
Tennessee
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record11-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee v Kentucky
17 Jan 2026
TENN78
KENT80
28 Mar 2025
TENN78
KENT65
28 Jan 2025
TENN73
KENT78
09 Mar 2024
TENN81
KENT85
14 Jan 2023
TENN56
KENT63
12 Mar 2022
TENN69
KENT62
15 Feb 2022
TENN76
KENT63
20 Feb 2021
TENN55
KENT70
08 Feb 2020
TENN64
KENT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H21/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
35-47
30-32
30-30
34-32
28-43
34-27
49-35
52-19
42-33
41-25
64-29
36-37
39-49
48-33
37-38
28-41
39-50
30-34
41-37
151.0Avg total
79.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.668.1150.8+14.571%
Season at home (13)86.765.1151.8+21.685%
Season away (4)69.578.0147.5-8.525%
Last 10 (10)79.471.6151.0+7.850%
Last 5 (5)83.876.8160.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.478.8145.2-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.068.6148.6+11.483%
vs Weaker (13)82.264.7146.8+17.585%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
25-32
53-34
46-38
53-47
34-50
40-39
32-33
36-40
44-39
48-29
22-38
53-36
152.7Avg total
78.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.169.7152.8+13.465%
Season at home (14)84.066.1150.1+17.971%
Season away (3)79.086.3165.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)78.474.3152.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)81.677.8159.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.675.9152.5+0.859%
vs Weaker (9)96.060.8156.8+35.2100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
TennesseeKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H21/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H07/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
37.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.668.7+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.230.170.3+10.280%-
Last 30 away (10)30.934.665.5-3.730%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.468.8+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.070.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.437.065.4-8.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.530.569.0+8.067%-
vs Weaker (13)39.230.569.7+8.877%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A15/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
33.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.273.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (21)38.332.070.4+6.367%-
Last 30 away (9)36.742.679.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.471.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.736.971.6-2.247%-
vs Weaker (9)46.426.673.0+19.9100%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tennessee wins
6
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
28/03/25Tennessee v Kentucky78-65
12/02/25Kentucky v Tennessee75-64
29/01/25Tennessee v Kentucky73-78
09/03/24Tennessee v Kentucky81-85
04/02/24Kentucky v Tennessee92-103
18/02/23Kentucky v Tennessee66-54
14/01/23Tennessee v Kentucky56-63
12/03/22Tennessee v Kentucky69-62
16/02/22Tennessee v Kentucky76-63
15/01/22Kentucky v Tennessee107-79
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HTexas A&M87-82 OT
10/01/26AFlorida67-91
07/01/26HTexas85-71
03/01/26AArkansas75-86
31/12/25HSouth Carolina St105-54
21/12/25HGardner Webb94-52
17/12/25HLouisville83-62
07/12/25HIllinois62-75
03/12/25ASyracuse60-62
27/11/25HKansas76-81
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ALSU75-74
11/01/26HMississippi St.92-68
08/01/26HMissouri68-73
03/01/26AAlabama74-89
23/12/25HBellarmine99-85
20/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-66
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %71%85%25%
Points / game82.686.769.5
Allowed / game68.165.178.0
Point differential+14.5+21.6-8.5
Avg total150.8151.8147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %65%71%33%
Points / game83.184.079.0
Allowed / game69.766.186.3
Point differential+13.4+17.9-7.3
Avg total152.8150.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt1716194%91.372.5+18.8
2 Georgia1714382%96.476.2+20.2
3 Texas A&M1713476%93.078.0+15.0
4 Arkansas1713476%90.576.7+13.8
5 Missouri1713476%81.871.8+10.0
6 Tennessee1712571%82.668.1+14.5
7 Florida1712571%85.871.4+14.4
8 LSU1712571%84.972.6+12.3
9 Alabama1712571%93.782.6+11.1
10 Kentucky1711665%83.169.7+13.4
11 Texas1711665%87.374.4+12.9
12 Oklahoma1711665%84.174.2+9.9
13 Mississippi St.1711665%81.177.1+4.0
14 Auburn1710759%86.779.4+7.4
15 South Carolina1710759%79.271.8+7.4
16 Ole Miss1710759%76.571.1+5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee423678
Kentucky314980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.