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Kentucky vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-54
40-29 46-25
Position#86
Record19-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#106
Record19-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kentucky v Auburn
01 Mar 2025
KENT78
AUBU94
25 Feb 2023
KENT86
AUBU54
13 Feb 2021
KENT82
AUBU80
29 Feb 2020
KENT73
AUBU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
47-36
36-27
33-26
34-41
34-36
32-32
43-34
33-22
39-45
40-41
33-47
32-42
36-33
36-35
35-33
39-19
27-35
36-37
46-37
140.9Avg total
72.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.667.7142.3+6.968%
Season at home (18)76.964.6141.6+12.378%
Season away (10)70.473.3143.7-2.950%
Last 10 (10)72.068.9140.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)72.071.8143.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.566.3128.8-3.850%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.373.3146.5+0.055%
vs Weaker (13)80.765.1145.8+15.677%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H26/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-22
42-44
30-45
33-34
29-45
48-35
42-24
52-49
19-23
24-23
36-37
42-46
37-37
32-40
45-18
44-38
27-31
38-36
40-33
38-41
143.8Avg total
73.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.765.1137.9+7.668%
Season at home (15)74.964.1138.9+10.887%
Season away (13)70.266.4136.6+3.846%
Last 10 (10)73.770.1143.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.871.4147.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.061.5117.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.165.6137.6+6.564%
vs Weaker (14)75.465.9141.4+9.579%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
KentuckyAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.767.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.631.368.9+6.358%-
Last 30 away (11)30.935.166.0-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)34.732.767.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.871.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.230.560.7-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.534.267.7-0.636%-
vs Weaker (13)38.832.571.3+6.454%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A21/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H26/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.4Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.763.0+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.429.163.5+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)31.730.662.3+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.565.9+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.268.2+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.030.058.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.130.965.0+3.357%-
vs Weaker (14)33.128.661.6+4.557%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kentucky wins
3
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22Auburn v Kentucky80-71
13/02/21Kentucky v Auburn82-80
16/01/21Auburn v Kentucky66-59
29/02/20Kentucky v Auburn73-66
01/02/20Auburn v Kentucky75-66
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AFlorida82-74
18/02/23HTennessee66-54
16/02/23AMississippi St.71-68
11/02/23AGeorgia68-75
08/02/23HArkansas73-88
05/02/23HFlorida72-67
01/02/23AOle Miss75-66
29/01/23HKansas68-77
25/01/23AVanderbilt69-53
21/01/23HTexas A&M76-67
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23HOle Miss78-74
19/02/23AVanderbilt65-67
15/02/23HMissouri89-56
11/02/23HAlabama69-77
08/02/23ATexas A&M78-83
04/02/23ATennessee43-46
02/02/23HGeorgia94-73
28/01/23AWest Virginia77-80
26/01/23HTexas A&M63-79
21/01/23ASouth Carolina81-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW68%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %68%78%50%
Points / game74.676.970.4
Allowed / game67.764.673.3
Point differential+6.9+12.3-2.9
Avg total142.3141.6143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Auburn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW68%
HomeLWLWW87%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %68%87%46%
Points / game72.774.970.2
Allowed / game65.164.166.4
Point differential+7.6+10.8+3.8
Avg total137.9138.9136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2925486%83.369.1+14.2
2 Texas2922776%79.268.8+10.4
3 Texas A&M2921872%73.765.9+7.8
4 Missouri2921872%80.074.7+5.3
5 Tennessee2820871%71.457.1+14.2
6 Auburn2819968%72.765.1+7.6
7 Kentucky2819968%74.667.7+6.9
8 Arkansas29191066%75.366.2+9.0
9 Mississippi St.29181162%65.260.2+5.0
10 Georgia29161355%69.171.7-2.6
11 Vanderbilt28151354%71.471.9-0.5
12 Florida28141450%71.668.1+3.6
13 Oklahoma29141548%68.067.6+0.5
14 LSU28131546%67.169.6-2.5
15 Ole Miss28101836%67.368.9-1.5
16 South Carolina28101836%65.173.0-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky404686
Auburn292554
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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