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Auburn vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-58
37-27 34-31
Position#11
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game65.5
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#4
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H13/11
NCAA
South Florida
#332
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A25/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H02/12
NCAA
Yale
#122
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H11/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H15/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
56-26
26-33
32-19
34-45
49-38
34-32
28-21
43-33
46-35
39-36
46-32
47-30
39-34
45-28
54-40
32-27
38-17
35-27
39-43
149.2Avg total
82.5Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.065.5147.5+16.591%
Season at home (8)88.568.2156.8+20.288%
Season away (3)64.758.3123.0+6.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.566.7149.2+15.890%
Last 5 (5)82.862.8145.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.683.8159.3-8.211%
vs Similar (12)77.875.8153.6+2.158%
vs Weaker (9)85.163.2148.3+21.9100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#132
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
80-43
80
43
+37
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
118-48
118
48
+70
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
49-33
41-25
36-40
29-32
29-34
43-16
37-27
25-30
49-32
49-29
49-32
44-40
49-47
26-40
48-32
53-25
65-23
34-37
53-39
147.6Avg total
83.7Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.065.1151.1+20.991%
Season at home (8)89.467.0156.4+22.488%
Season away (3)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.763.9147.6+19.890%
Last 5 (5)94.068.8162.8+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.574.0144.5-3.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.363.0139.3+13.473%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +12.2+12.22nd half: +12.5+12.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +12.2+12.22nd half: +12.5+12.5
AuburnMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/11
NCAA
South Florida
#332
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Yale
#122
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H11/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H15/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A19/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.669.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.234.570.8+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)33.934.868.7-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.070.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.669.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.938.273.1-3.333%-
vs Similar (12)31.133.664.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker (9)41.132.473.6+8.778%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#132
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
43-16
43
16
+27
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
37.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.467.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.8+7.365%-
Last 30 away (13)34.729.964.6+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.330.067.3+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.229.165.3+7.168%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Auburn wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21ASt. Louis Billikens74-70
15/12/21HNorth Alabama70-44
11/12/21HNebraska99-68
04/12/21HYale86-64
02/12/21HUCF Knights85-68
26/11/21HSyracuse89-68
25/11/21ALoyola Chicago62-53
24/11/21HUconn109-115 OT
20/11/21ASouth Florida58-52
13/11/21HLouisiana Monroe93-65
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HChattanooga Mocs87-76
16/12/21HWesleyan Univ.118-48
11/12/21AMemphis74-72
05/12/21HMiddle Tenn. St.93-87
30/11/21HCampbellsville98-61
24/11/21HJames Madison74-62
23/11/21ALong Beach State80-43
22/11/21HEast Tennessee St58-66
17/11/21AIllinois State77-65
14/11/21HBellarmine78-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game82.088.564.7
Allowed / game65.568.258.3
Point differential+16.5+20.2+6.3
Avg total147.5156.8123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game86.089.477.0
Allowed / game65.167.060.0
Point differential+20.9+22.4+17.0
Avg total151.1156.4137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU11110100%78.253.5+24.6
2 Auburn1110191%82.065.5+16.5
3 Arkansas1210283%81.569.8+11.8
4 Texas119282%71.553.0+18.5
5 Oklahoma119282%75.060.4+14.6
6 Texas A&M119282%73.162.1+11.0
7 Tennessee108280%78.557.9+20.6
8 Kentucky108280%82.162.2+19.9
9 Florida129375%74.059.9+14.1
10 Mississippi St.129375%74.261.4+12.8
11 Alabama129375%82.973.3+9.6
12 South Carolina129375%75.366.1+9.2
13 Ole Miss128467%70.463.4+7.0
14 Vanderbilt106460%70.260.7+9.5
15 Missouri116555%67.968.0-0.1
16 Georgia115645%69.570.8-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1110191%86.065.1+20.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake128467%75.766.8+8.9
4 Illinois State138562%80.476.8+3.5
5 Southern Illinois127558%64.258.9+5.3
6 Valparaiso137654%74.266.5+7.7
7 Bradley126650%71.966.3+5.6
8 Indiana State126650%73.271.9+1.3
9 Northern Iowa104640%71.668.7+2.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%67.769.1-1.4
11 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn373471
Murray State273158
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