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Murray State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 93-87
44-40 49-47
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game61.9
vs
Position#65
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game60.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Middle Tenn. St.
30 Dec 2023
MURR75
MIDD54
04 Dec 2021
MURR93
MIDD87
07 Dec 2019
MURR85
MIDD52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#77
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
80-43
80
43
+37
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
44-44
31-34
30-37
31-29
26-28
55-45
54-32
29-26
49-33
41-25
36-40
29-32
29-34
43-16
37-27
25-30
49-32
49-29
49-32
143.3Avg total
77.4Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.061.9143.9+20.186%
Season at home (5)83.465.0148.4+18.480%
Season away (2)78.554.0132.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.465.9143.3+11.560%
Last 5 (5)77.459.4136.8+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.574.0144.5-3.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)73.661.5135.1+12.264%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#151
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Brescia
#527
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H09/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H13/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H17/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A20/11
NCAA
Rider
#248
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
82-58
82
58
+24
A24/11
NCAA
Bryan
#600
W
96-48
96
48
+48
H27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-41
32-22
36-45
20-31
49-22
49-37
35-23
36-28
33-36
43-29
34-44
40-43
24-33
36-21
38-27
44-31
42-16
54-32
34-27
39-34
136.2Avg total
74.0Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.860.4139.1+18.488%
Season at home (5)82.856.8139.6+26.0100%
Season away (3)72.066.3138.3+5.767%
Last 10 (10)74.062.2136.2+11.870%
Last 5 (5)77.061.6138.6+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)61.571.9133.4-10.419%
vs Similar (2)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (5)72.456.2128.6+16.2100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +8.5+8.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +8.5+8.5
Murray StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#77
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
43-16
43
16
+27
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H30/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.429.766.0+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.229.266.4+7.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.430.165.6+5.371%-
Last 10 (10)36.330.967.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.463.8+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.928.164.0+7.873%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#151
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Brescia
#527
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H09/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#53
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Rider
#248
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Mercer
#198
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A24/11
NCAA
Bryan
#600
W
42-16
42
16
+26
H27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H02/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.532.263.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.129.063.1+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)28.535.964.4-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.466.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.463.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.634.163.7-4.529%-
vs Similar (2)33.540.073.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (5)33.226.459.6+6.880%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/21HCampbellsville98-61
24/11/21HJames Madison74-62
23/11/21ALong Beach State80-43
22/11/21HEast Tennessee St58-66
17/11/21AIllinois State77-65
14/11/21HBellarmine78-59
10/11/21HCumberland University (TN)109-77
05/03/21AJacksonville State65-68 OT
28/02/21ATennessee Tech61-71
26/02/21AJacksonville State74-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21HUT Martin73-61
27/11/21HBryan96-48
24/11/21AMercer82-58
23/11/21ARider60-54
20/11/21AStephen F. Austin74-87
17/11/21HWinthrop76-65
13/11/21HBethune-Cookman71-51
09/11/21HBrescia98-59
11/03/21ANorth Texas56-76
05/03/21AFlorida Atlantic54-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game82.083.478.5
Allowed / game61.965.054.0
Point differential+20.1+18.4+24.5
Avg total143.9148.4132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game78.882.872.0
Allowed / game60.456.866.3
Point differential+18.4+26.0+5.7
Avg total139.1139.6138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State76186%82.061.9+20.1
2 Belmont96367%78.671.9+6.7
3 Drake74357%75.165.4+9.7
4 Southern Illinois74357%61.960.4+1.4
5 Bradley94544%70.466.1+4.3
6 Indiana State94544%73.874.9-1.1
7 Illinois State94544%79.781.9-2.2
8 Valparaiso83538%71.269.6+1.6
9 Evansville114736%60.764.9-4.2
10 Northern Iowa62433%74.872.5+2.3
11 Illinois (Chi.)72529%70.171.0-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Middle Tenn. St.87188%78.860.4+18.4
2 Louisiana Tech86275%81.273.1+8.1
3 New Mexico State86275%76.671.8+4.9
4 Delaware96367%75.172.0+3.1
5 Western Kentucky85362%79.167.4+11.8
6 Liberty74357%64.455.0+9.4
7 UTEP74357%70.461.1+9.3
8 Missouri State84450%78.970.5+8.4
9 Jacksonville State63350%71.266.5+4.7
10 Sam Houston St.83538%72.866.2+6.5
11 Kennesaw State83538%76.870.5+6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State444993
Middle Tenn. St.404787
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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