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Illinois State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-77
25-41 40-36
Position#269
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.0
Illinois State
USA
vs
Murray State 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois State v Murray State
18 Feb 2026
ILLI78
MURR61
03 Dec 2023
ILLI76
MURR72
15 Feb 2023
ILLI75
MURR76
16 Nov 2021
ILLI65
MURR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#50
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
80-55
80
55
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A05/03
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
31-38
34-42
28-30
40-26
40-29
24-34
25-25
35-32
53-39
25-34
31-36
37-30
33-40
29-30
31-35
23-32
45-31
44-32
35-47
144.1Avg total
71.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)68.063.0131.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)98.0103.0201.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)71.572.6144.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.278.4145.7-11.217%
vs Similar (15)66.668.7135.3-2.133%
vs Weaker (3)122.091.0213.0+31.067%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
86-57
86
57
+29
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
38-30
46-23
38-32
46-30
40-27
29-31
30-37
46-21
43-41
30-43
44-44
31-34
30-37
31-29
26-28
55-45
54-32
29-26
49-33
144.9Avg total
78.5Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.566.4144.9+12.160%
Last 5 (5)77.472.4149.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)71.472.6144.0-1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.164.5142.6+13.762%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
Illinois StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#50
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/03
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.167.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.934.769.6+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)30.935.466.3-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.865.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.663.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.137.467.5-7.317%-
vs Similar (15)30.532.863.3-2.340%-
vs Weaker (3)54.337.391.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H14/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
38.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.968.6+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.229.971.1+11.381%-
Last 30 away (14)33.932.065.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.269.7+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.470.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)33.232.565.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.729.668.2+9.176%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Murray State v Illinois State76-65
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/21AEastern Michigan98-103 OT
10/11/21HNC Wilmington68-63
05/03/21ANorthern Iowa60-65
27/02/21HNorthern Iowa87-94 OT
27/02/21HNorthern Iowa56-70
19/02/21ABradley88-71
14/02/21ASouthern Illinois49-59
13/02/21ASouthern Illinois80-55
07/02/21HMissouri State62-72
06/02/21HMissouri State67-74
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21HBellarmine78-59
10/11/21HCumberland University (TN)109-77
05/03/21AJacksonville State65-68 OT
28/02/21ATennessee Tech61-71
26/02/21AJacksonville State74-87
21/02/21HSiu Edwardsville89-62
19/02/21HEastern Illinois59-68
15/02/21ASiu Edwardsville86-57
14/02/21HUT Martin84-55
12/02/21HSoutheast Missouri State80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.068.098.0
Allowed / game83.063.0103.0
Point differential+0.0+5.0-5.0
Avg total166.0131.0201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.593.5-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+25.5+25.5-
Avg total161.5161.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake220100%93.055.5+37.5
2 Murray State220100%93.568.0+25.5
3 Belmont32167%85.374.7+10.7
4 Indiana State32167%79.372.7+6.7
5 Southern Illinois21150%69.562.0+7.5
6 Illinois State21150%83.083.0+0.0
7 Illinois (Chi.)21150%64.067.0-3.0
8 Evansville42250%53.861.0-7.2
9 Northern Iowa31233%70.063.7+6.3
10 Valparaiso2020%65.571.5-6.0
11 Bradley2020%64.578.5-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State254065
Murray State413677
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