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Auburn vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 83-73
41-35 42-38
Position#188
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game74.6
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#128
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Auburn v NC State
03 Dec 2025
AUBU83
NC S73
19 Dec 2019
AUBU79
NC S73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H30/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H05/04
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H12/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
112-66
112
66
+46
H20/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-102
72
102
-30
H26/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
37-40
46-38
27-41
38-37
43-44
39-22
56-35
40-22
53-40
35-39
37-34
55-24
57-42
37-37
47-36
31-59
41-43
30-39
55-35
159.1Avg total
85.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.574.6163.1+13.975%
Season at home (7)89.174.9164.0+14.371%
Season away (1)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.174.0159.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)85.077.6162.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.383.0159.3-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.767.6143.3+8.157%
vs Weaker (20)85.872.8158.7+13.090%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
114-66
114
66
+48
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
110-64
110
64
+46
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
32-46
34-30
37-33
41-31
29-41
54-26
60-40
41-33
53-37
47-37
63-27
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
34-28
47-42
37-47
60-55
161.6Avg total
85.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.676.6170.1+17.071%
Season at home (5)95.472.8168.2+22.680%
Season away (2)89.086.0175.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)85.875.8161.6+10.060%
Last 5 (5)89.480.0169.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.874.2138.0-10.512%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.276.1150.3-1.938%
vs Weaker (6)86.563.8150.3+22.783%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +5.3+5.3
AuburnNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/04
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H12/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H16/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
55-24
55
24
+31
H20/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H26/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H27/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.970.5+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (22)37.232.770.0+4.573%-
Last 30 away (8)38.933.272.1+5.675%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.172.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.045.777.7-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.929.465.3+6.486%-
vs Weaker (20)39.132.171.3+7.080%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.968.9+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.131.967.9+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)33.836.570.2-2.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.373.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.474.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.936.265.1-7.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.234.568.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)45.529.074.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Auburn wins
0
NC State wins
DateGameScore
20/12/19Auburn v NC State79-73
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)85-74
26/11/25HMichigan72-102
25/11/25AOregon84-73
20/11/25HJackson State112-66
16/11/25HHouston72-73
12/11/25HWofford93-62
07/11/25HMerrimack Warriors95-57
04/11/25HBethune-Cookman95-90 OT
05/04/25HFlorida73-79
30/03/25HMichigan State70-64
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25ATexas97-102
25/11/25ABoise State81-70
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
13/11/25HNC Greensboro110-64
08/11/25HUAB94-70
04/11/25HN. Carolina Central114-66
08/03/25AMiami (FL)70-72
06/03/25HPittsburgh71-63
01/03/25AGeorgia Tech62-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%71%100%
Points / game88.589.184.0
Allowed / game74.674.973.0
Point differential+13.9+14.3+11.0
Avg total163.1164.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%14%0%
NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game93.695.489.0
Allowed / game76.672.886.0
Point differential+17.0+22.6+3.0
Avg total170.1168.2175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt880100%97.973.5+24.4
2 LSU880100%92.268.4+23.9
3 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
4 Missouri98189%90.469.0+21.4
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Texas86275%90.971.9+19.0
8 Arkansas86275%88.272.6+15.6
9 Auburn86275%88.574.6+13.9
10 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
11 Alabama86275%94.982.2+12.6
12 Kentucky85362%86.663.6+23.0
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 South Carolina85362%81.072.0+9.0
15 Ole Miss85362%77.568.6+8.9
16 Mississippi St.74357%82.079.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke990100%89.159.6+29.6
2 SMU Mustangs880100%92.074.0+18.0
3 Louisville87188%94.666.2+28.4
4 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
5 California87188%83.869.9+13.9
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)97278%85.365.4+19.9
8 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
9 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
10 Virginia86275%83.472.4+11.0
11 NC State75271%93.676.6+17.0
12 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
13 Notre Dame96367%75.467.7+7.8
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Georgia Tech85362%71.567.5+4.0
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College94544%70.367.0+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn414283
NC State353873
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