Auburn faces SE Louisiana on 4 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Auburn the clear favourite, rating them 83% to win largely because of their dominant 81-70 projected score and the 81 points per game they are expected to score. Auburn's last five games include a 79-61 home win over Mississippi St., a 62-72 loss to Tennessee away, and a 84-96 defeat to Alabama away, while SE Louisiana's last five feature a lone 82-78 away win over New Orleans, a 60-68 loss to Nicholls State away and a 68-73 loss at home to Texas A&M-CC. In their only prior meeting, Auburn beat SE Louisiana 86-71 on 10 November 2023, giving Auburn a 1-0 edge in head-to-head. Pythia projects a 151.3-point total, with a 47% chance of the over on the 152.5 line, and a 3% probability of overtime. The model's 83% home-win probability underscores Auburn's advantage, while SE Louisiana's 17% chance reflects their recent struggles, and the game will end with Auburn's 81-70 victory.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Auburn winWon
82.6%fair 1.21
Best odds1.01
Implied94.8%
Edge-12.2pp
SE Louisiana winLost
17.4%fair 5.74
Best odds65.00
Implied5.2%
Edge+12.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Auburn total 89.5 · main lineActual: Auburn over 89.5
Over 89.5
19.6%
@ 1.88-30.4pp
Under 89.5
80.4%
@ 1.87+30.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Auburn total 93.5Actual: Auburn under 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.38
SE Louisiana total 57.5Actual: SE Louisiana over 57.5
Over 57.5
no forecast
@ 1.31
Under 57.5
no forecast
@ 3.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
2.92
SE Louisiana total 61.5 · main lineActual: SE Louisiana under 61.5
Over 61.5
80.5%
@ 1.91+30.7pp
Under 61.5
19.5%
@ 1.86-30.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Betano
1.80
SE Louisiana total 65.5Actual: SE Louisiana under 65.5
Over 65.5
67.8%
@ 2.40+28.7pp
Under 65.5
32.2%
@ 1.52-28.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Auburn -29.5Actual: Auburn -29.5
AUBU -29.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
SE L +29.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
AUBU
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.83
SE L
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.84
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
Bet365
1.62
Spread Auburn -26.5 · main lineActual: Auburn -26.5
AUBU -26.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
SE L +26.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
AUBU
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
SE L
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Spread Auburn -23.5Actual: Auburn -23.5
AUBU -23.5
13.1%
@ 1.57-46.4pp
SE L +23.5
86.9%
@ 2.35+46.4pp
Best 5 market prices
AUBU
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.54
SE L
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
AuburnSE Louisiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
SE Louisiana +19
77.8%
3.70
Bet365
3.70
-
-
-
-
+52.6pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +20
80.4%
3.30
Bet365
3.30
-
-
-
-
+52.3pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +21
82.7%
3.00
Bet365
3.00
-
-
-
-
+51.7pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +22
84.8%
2.70
Bet365
2.70
-
-
-
-
+50.5pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +16.5
70.0%
4.50
Bet365
4.50
-
-
-
-
+49.5pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +19.5
78.4%
3.17
Bet365
3.40
Betano
2.95
-
-
-
+49.2pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +23
86.7%
2.50
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
-
+49.2pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +20.5
80.8%
2.92
Bet365
3.10
Betano
2.75
-
-
-
+49.0pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +18.5
75.8%
3.45
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.15
-
-
-
+48.7pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +21.5
83.1%
2.63
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.52
-
-
-
+47.9pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +24
88.4%
2.25
Bet365
2.25
-
-
-
-
+47.3pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +22.5
85.1%
2.45
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
-
-
-
+47.2pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +23.5
86.9%
2.29
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.22
-
-
-
+46.4pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +24.5
88.6%
2.12
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.05
-
-
-
+45.1pp
Lost
SE Louisiana +25
89.9%
2.06
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Bet
2.00
-
-
-
+44.9pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 60.5
83.2%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.83
-
-
-
+32.8pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 61
82.7%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+32.7pp
Lost
Auburn under 87.5
74.4%
2.21
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.05
-
-
-
+32.7pp
Lost
Auburn under 90
82.6%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+32.3pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 64.5
71.3%
2.36
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.10
-
-
-
+32.0pp
Lost
Auburn under 86.5
71.0%
2.30
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.20
-
-
-
+31.1pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 61.5
80.5%
1.85
Betano
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
-
+30.7pp
Lost
Auburn under 90.5
83.0%
1.82
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
+30.6pp
Lost
Auburn under 89.5
80.4%
1.84
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
-
+30.4pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 62
80.0%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+30.0pp
Lost
Auburn under 89
79.8%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+29.8pp
Lost
Auburn under 88.5
77.5%
1.88
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
+27.7pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 62.5
77.7%
1.83
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
+27.4pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 63.5
74.6%
1.95
Betano
1.95
-
-
-
-
+27.3pp
Lost
SE Louisiana over 63
77.0%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
Auburn under 91.5
85.4%
1.53
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Auburn under 92.5
87.6%
1.48
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+25.8pp
Won
Under 177.5
94.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Under 160
71.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Over 126.5
93.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Under 176.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Under 172.5
90.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Under 160.5
71.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Over 127.5
92.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Under 162.5
75.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Under 171.5
89.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Over 131.5
88.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Under 167.5
83.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Over 132.5
87.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Under 161.5
73.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 166.5
82.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Over 141.5
72.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Over 136.5
81.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Over 137.5
79.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Over 142.5
70.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
Auburn over 69.5
87.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Auburn over 70.5
85.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Won
Auburn over 71.5
82.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Won
Auburn over 72.5
80.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.9pp
Won
Auburn (regulation)
80.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
SE Louisiana under 79.5
81.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.1pp
Won
Auburn win
82.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.2pp
Won
Auburn over 73.5
77.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.4pp
Won
Auburn over 74.5
74.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.1pp
Won
SE Louisiana under 77.5
76.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-15.4pp
Won
Auburn over 75.5
71.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-18.4pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.