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Auburn vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 88-74
41-34 47-40
Position#188
Record15-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.9
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#230
Record15-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Auburn v LSU
03 Mar 2026
AUBU88
LSU74
13 Jan 2024
AUBU93
LSU78
29 Dec 2021
AUBU70
LSU55
08 Feb 2020
AUBU91
LSU90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
33-39
34-42
54-40
31-41
38-36
41-37
51-59
31-42
45-42
32-38
43-50
33-49
52-42
35-39
40-35
42-51
37-40
37-38
42-47
162.9Avg total
79.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.379.9163.2+3.452%
Season at home (18)87.277.3164.4+9.967%
Season away (11)77.184.2161.3-7.127%
Last 10 (10)79.483.5162.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)78.685.8164.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.385.2163.6-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.875.8160.7+9.062%
vs Weaker (5)89.477.4166.8+12.080%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
44-52
21-44
45-36
36-35
42-43
37-42
34-41
27-42
35-49
29-35
34-38
33-48
52-40
40-43
43-47
41-42
41-40
33-41
34-42
163.5Avg total
77.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.377.3158.7+4.052%
Season at home (17)83.776.3160.0+7.459%
Season away (12)78.078.8156.8-0.842%
Last 10 (10)77.685.9163.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)80.886.6167.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.683.3151.9-14.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.775.6164.3+13.177%
vs Weaker (7)83.174.0157.1+9.171%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.4-2.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.4-2.4
AuburnLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/03
NCAA
76.4Avg total
35.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.175.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.935.175.1+4.863%-
Last 30 away (11)35.140.575.6-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.576.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.078.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.841.276.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.234.574.7+5.862%-
vs Weaker (5)38.634.272.8+4.460%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
33.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.138.878.8+1.359%-
Last 30 away (13)34.537.271.7-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)33.440.573.9-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.877.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.841.373.1-9.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.235.577.8+6.769%-
vs Weaker (7)37.638.175.7-0.671%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Auburn wins
1
LSU wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25LSU v Auburn74-87
13/01/24Auburn v LSU93-78
19/01/23LSU v Auburn49-67
30/12/21Auburn v LSU70-55
20/02/21LSU v Auburn104-80
08/02/20Auburn v LSU91-90 OT
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HOle Miss79-85
25/02/26AOklahoma79-91
22/02/26HKentucky75-74
19/02/26AMississippi St.85-91
15/02/26AArkansas75-88
11/02/26HVanderbilt76-84
07/02/26HAlabama92-96
01/02/26ATennessee69-77
29/01/26HTexas88-82
24/01/26AFlorida76-67
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HOklahoma67-83
26/02/26AOle Miss106-99 OT
21/02/26HAlabama83-90
18/02/26ATexas85-88
14/02/26ATennessee63-73
11/02/26HArkansas62-91
07/02/26HGeorgia71-83
31/01/26ASouth Carolina92-87 OT
29/01/26HMississippi St.66-80
24/01/26AArkansas81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %52%67%27%
Points / game83.387.277.1
Allowed / game79.977.384.2
Point differential+3.4+9.9-7.1
Avg total163.2164.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %7%6%9%
LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLLLLL59%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %52%59%42%
Points / game81.383.778.0
Allowed / game77.376.378.8
Point differential+4.0+7.4-0.8
Avg total158.7160.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3024680%87.871.5+16.3
2 Vanderbilt3023777%87.074.9+12.1
3 Alabama3022873%92.083.6+8.4
4 Arkansas2921872%89.879.7+10.1
5 Georgia3021970%90.078.7+11.3
6 Tennessee3021970%80.068.9+11.1
7 Texas A&M30201067%88.379.1+9.3
8 Missouri30201067%79.874.8+4.9
9 Kentucky30191163%81.473.4+8.0
10 Texas29181162%84.375.5+8.8
11 Oklahoma30161453%82.677.2+5.3
12 LSU29151452%81.377.3+4.0
13 Auburn29151452%83.379.9+3.4
14 Mississippi St.30141647%78.180.7-2.6
15 Ole Miss30121840%75.876.3-0.6
16 South Carolina30121840%75.376.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn414788
LSU344074
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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