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Austin Peay vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 55-66
29-38 26-28
Position#262
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#76
Record9-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game63.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Austin Peay v Morehead State
29 Nov 2023
AUST50
MORE61
08 Jan 2022
AUST55
MORE66
27 Feb 2020
AUST67
MORE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#87
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A17/11
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A26/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Milligan
#549
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H05/12
NCAA
North Florida
#293
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A11/12
NCAA
South Florida
#332
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A15/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
35-36
38-46
49-35
36-34
33-33
26-34
25-34
50-36
48-19
40-45
44-46
16-22
35-38
23-37
28-40
34-33
28-32
31-42
48-56
141.9Avg total
69.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.473.2142.7-3.833%
Season at home (3)82.066.3148.3+15.767%
Season away (9)65.275.6140.8-10.322%
Last 10 (10)69.272.7141.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)65.478.2143.6-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.173.1137.3-9.029%
vs Similar (10)72.376.9149.2-4.610%
vs Weaker (12)76.566.6143.1+9.967%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#171
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
80-52
80
52
+28
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
18-37
36-23
39-28
34-25
36-37
27-24
32-27
33-28
38-38
41-39
34-43
19-47
44-39
34-22
53-25
42-23
38-29
23-26
40-24
130.2Avg total
68.9Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.063.6133.6+6.464%
Season at home (7)73.756.0129.7+17.7100%
Season away (7)66.371.3137.6-5.029%
Last 10 (10)68.961.3130.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)73.663.4137.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.774.0144.7-3.350%
vs Similar (8)68.569.1137.6-0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.857.7130.5+15.193%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
Austin PeayMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#87
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A17/11
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A30/11
NCAA
Milligan
#549
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H05/12
NCAA
North Florida
#293
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/12
NCAA
South Florida
#332
L
16-22
16
22
-6
A15/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
31.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.667.3+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.230.568.7+7.792%-
Last 30 away (18)32.434.066.4-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)31.935.867.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.864.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.734.965.6-4.143%-
vs Similar (10)33.034.567.5-1.540%-
vs Weaker (12)38.029.467.4+8.692%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#171
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UMKC
#120
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
60.3Avg total
31.7Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.430.763.1+1.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.526.858.3+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.667.9-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)31.728.660.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.463.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.738.268.8-7.533%-
vs Similar (8)29.831.561.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.327.561.7+6.893%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Austin Peay wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
06/02/21Morehead State v Austin Peay75-74 OT
28/02/20Austin Peay v Morehead State67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State79-98
31/12/21HUT Martin62-65
18/12/21AVanderbilt51-77
15/12/21ASouth Florida51-60
11/12/21ANorth Florida84-91
05/12/21HMilligan98-55
30/11/21ATCU51-68
26/11/21AHoward69-67
20/11/21ADayton87-81
17/11/21AIPFW60-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/21HEastern Illinois63-50
22/12/21AIUPUI80-52
18/12/21HAlice Loyd87-47
16/12/21AXavier63-86
11/12/21AEast Tennessee St75-82
07/12/21HPresbyterian71-66
02/12/21HGeorgia Southern59-51
28/11/21HUMKC70-62
27/11/21AArkansas State75-51
21/11/21AMississippi St.46-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1239
Win %33%67%22%
Points / game69.482.065.2
Allowed / game73.266.375.6
Point differential-3.8+15.7-10.3
Avg total142.7148.3140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%100%29%
Points / game70.073.766.3
Allowed / game63.656.071.3
Point differential+6.4+17.7-5.0
Avg total133.6129.7137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Gulf Coast1511473%78.370.5+7.7
2 Jacksonville128467%68.954.2+14.8
3 Eastern Kentucky158753%83.971.5+12.4
4 North Alabama147750%73.663.0+10.6
5 Lipscomb168850%75.479.1-3.6
6 Bellarmine146843%69.667.7+1.9
7 Stetson146843%69.167.5+1.6
8 Austin Peay124833%69.473.2-3.8
9 North Florida1441029%69.372.9-3.6
10 Central Arkansas1441029%70.481.1-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State149564%70.063.6+6.4
2 Western Illinois1610662%80.475.2+5.1
3 Tennessee State146843%78.673.2+5.4
4 Siu Edwardsville146843%69.166.5+2.6
5 UALR146843%70.972.6-1.8
6 UT Martin156940%72.274.3-2.1
7 Southeast Missouri State1761135%74.482.1-7.6
8 Tennessee Tech1331023%73.272.5+0.8
9 Eastern Illinois1421214%56.770.1-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay292655
Morehead State382866
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