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Austin Peay vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 59-66
35-37 24-29
Position#171
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#42
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Austin Peay v Tarleton
16 Jan 2027
AUST v TARL
upcoming
20 Nov 2023
AUST59
TARL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#155
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A10/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H17/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
28-42
30-38
39-38
22-33
34-27
45-35
28-36
20-36
31-40
37-62
34-27
42-37
48-35
15-42
30-25
39-21
40-31
27-38
36-33
135.8Avg total
65.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.265.5134.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)84.562.0146.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)54.069.0123.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)65.470.4135.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)69.670.2139.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)63.574.1137.5-10.614%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.869.0134.8-3.225%
vs Weaker (3)89.056.7145.7+32.3100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-45
0-0
46-20
0-0
64-25
–
–
–
–
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
0-0
19-43
0-0
31-37
0-0
44-38
0-0
38-27
0-0
49-32
0-0
44-20
0-0
33-46
0-0
30-40
135.6Avg total
71.5Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.8142.8+1.250%
Season at home (1)93.052.0145.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)65.077.0142.0-12.033%
Last 10 (10)71.564.1135.6+7.450%
Last 5 (5)71.671.0142.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)65.472.6137.9-7.238%
vs Weaker (9)77.654.3131.9+23.289%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.1+5.1
Austin PeayTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#155
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H17/02
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#146
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A23/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A25/02
NCAA
Life University
#409
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
30.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.266.1-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.030.864.8+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)29.438.267.6-8.936%-
Last 10 (10)30.637.067.6-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.040.072.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.335.465.6-5.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)28.236.865.0-8.525%-
vs Weaker (3)44.721.766.3+23.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
36.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.830.864.6+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.727.064.7+10.786%-
Last 30 away (15)30.234.364.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (9)36.234.770.9+1.667%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.931.763.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.127.567.6+12.688%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austin Peay wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AUTEP63-71
15/11/23HFisk79-52
11/11/23AGeorge Mason45-67
07/11/23HLife University90-72
25/02/23AFlorida Gulf Coast71-89
23/02/23AStetson51-76
18/02/23HNorth Florida73-71
17/02/23HJacksonville56-60
11/02/23ACentral Arkansas69-76
10/02/23ANorth Alabama57-70
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
26/02/23AUTRGV95-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.284.554.0
Allowed / game65.562.069.0
Point differential+3.8+22.5-15.0
Avg total134.8146.5123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game72.093.065.0
Allowed / game70.852.077.0
Point differential+1.2+41.0-12.0
Avg total142.8145.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama43175%72.866.8+6.0
2 Eastern Kentucky32167%105.075.7+29.3
3 North Florida64267%77.770.8+6.8
4 Lipscomb53260%88.876.2+12.6
5 Stetson42250%74.267.8+6.5
6 Austin Peay42250%69.265.5+3.8
7 Jacksonville42250%77.575.0+2.5
8 Queens Royals52340%67.275.4-8.2
9 Central Arkansas41325%72.267.2+5.0
10 Bellarmine41325%70.278.2-8.0
11 Florida Gulf Coast61517%71.576.2-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist54180%70.061.8+8.2
2 Abilene Christian53260%67.667.6+0.0
3 Utah Valley State53260%66.669.4-2.8
4 Tarleton42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Utah Tech42250%74.875.0-0.2
6 UT Arlington42250%76.579.5-3.0
7 Southern Utah31233%88.079.7+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay352459
Tarleton372966
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