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UTRGV vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 99-95 (OT)
38-40 45-43 16-12
Position#217
Record15-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.8
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#183
Record15-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UTRGV v Tarleton
20 Jan 2024
UTRG73
TARL77
25 Feb 2023
UTRG99
TARL95
29 Jan 2022
UTRG64
TARL79
06 Mar 2021
UTRG58
TARL69
05 Mar 2021
UTRG47
TARL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A26/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A19/02
NCAA
SAGU
#607
W
113-65
113
65
+48
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
44-51
34-34
30-24
27-30
38-37
36-24
32-41
17-32
41-32
31-37
41-45
34-43
43-33
–
–
51-24
62-41
42-51
39-37
133.2Avg total
68.4Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.674.8151.5+1.850%
Season at home (17)83.672.1155.7+11.665%
Season away (13)67.578.5145.9-11.031%
Last 10 (10)68.464.8133.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)72.662.2134.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.384.7154.0-15.410%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.869.9141.7+1.960%
vs Weaker (4)105.867.5173.2+38.2100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-33
29-44
50-28
24-44
45-21
36-41
24-36
41-32
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
32-32
28-33
27-34
32-30
35-20
42-38
134.3Avg total
67.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.367.2137.6+3.152%
Season at home (14)77.562.4139.9+15.179%
Season away (15)63.671.7135.3-8.127%
Last 10 (10)67.067.3134.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)66.666.0132.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.865.8130.6-1.020%
vs Similar ◀ (16)65.070.8135.8-5.838%
vs Weaker (8)79.161.9141.0+17.288%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -4.5-4.5
UTRGVTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A26/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H10/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/02
NCAA
SAGU
#607
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H24/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.535.571.0+0.041%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.832.970.7+4.953%-
Last 30 away (12)32.239.271.3-7.025%-
Last 10 (9)32.734.166.8-1.422%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.939.270.1-8.310%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.434.768.1-1.343%-
vs Weaker (4)51.029.080.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
33.2Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.662.8+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.627.263.9+9.479%-
Last 30 away (16)30.231.661.8-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)33.229.062.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.662.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.831.858.6-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.631.163.8+1.544%-
vs Weaker (8)36.425.962.2+10.588%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTRGV wins
4
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Tarleton v UTRGV65-68
25/02/22Tarleton v UTRGV75-62
30/01/22UTRGV v Tarleton64-79
07/03/21UTRGV v Tarleton58-69
06/03/21UTRGV v Tarleton47-65
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HUtah Tech81-88
21/02/23HSAGU113-65
19/02/23ANew Mexico State20-0
16/02/23AGrand Canyon77-76
12/02/23HStephen F. Austin72-82
10/02/23HUT Arlington58-64
04/02/23ATarleton68-65
02/02/23HSam Houston St.65-67
29/01/23HCalifornia Baptist64-58
26/01/23AStephen F. Austin66-83
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HUtah Valley State77-58
19/02/23HSam Houston St.59-64
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64
04/02/23HUTRGV65-68
29/01/23HGrand Canyon81-62
27/01/23HUtah Tech74-72
22/01/23ACalifornia Baptist48-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLLWL65%
AwayLLWWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%65%31%
Points / game76.683.667.5
Allowed / game74.872.178.5
Point differential+1.8+11.6-11.0
Avg total151.5155.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%41%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%79%27%
Points / game70.377.563.6
Allowed / game67.262.471.7
Point differential+3.1+15.1-8.1
Avg total137.6139.9135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2819968%77.068.2+8.8
2 Texas A&M-CC30201067%80.272.4+7.8
3 Northwestern St.30201067%74.672.3+2.3
4 SE Louisiana30171357%77.576.2+1.3
5 Nicholls State29151452%76.273.0+3.2
6 UTRGV30151550%76.674.8+1.8
7 TX A&M Commerce31131842%70.872.5-1.7
8 Incarnate Word30121840%71.073.6-2.6
9 New Orleans28101836%72.379.8-7.5
10 Houston Christian30102033%78.382.9-4.6
11 Lamar3092130%68.174.9-6.8
12 McNeese State3082227%68.475.4-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2922776%75.467.9+7.6
2 Southern Utah28181064%82.074.2+7.8
3 California Baptist29161355%68.162.0+6.0
4 Tarleton29151452%70.367.2+3.1
5 Abilene Christian29141548%74.368.7+5.6
6 Utah Tech29121741%75.473.8+1.6
7 UT Arlington29111838%66.767.2-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UTRGV38451699
Tarleton40431295
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