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Missouri State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-68
34-37 44-31
Position#334
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#277
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
44-33
27-33
35-53
38-46
40-47
36-33
38-42
36-31
33-28
27-14
33-21
31-34
28-41
36-39
29-33
43-29
47-32
33-32
42-43
148.6Avg total
75.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.779.7168.3+9.067%
Season at home (2)100.583.5184.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)65.072.0137.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.073.6148.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.069.8146.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.077.9144.9-10.933%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.672.4145.0+0.144%
vs Weaker (4)78.869.5148.2+9.275%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#144
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-21
32-41
38-29
40-36
37-29
34-28
48-27
61-51
39-41
48-43
32-36
42-53
48-25
42-30
37-51
40-41
42-51
53-47
50-27
45-42
160.7Avg total
85.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.278.5167.8+10.850%
Season at home (3)87.372.0159.3+15.367%
Season away (1)95.098.0193.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.874.9160.7+10.970%
Last 5 (5)86.280.6166.8+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.782.7153.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.674.9151.6+1.750%
vs Weaker (10)82.968.3151.2+14.690%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
Missouri StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.467.4-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.433.366.7+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)32.635.468.1-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.267.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.663.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.837.867.6-8.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.833.667.4+0.162%-
vs Weaker (4)34.831.566.2+3.250%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#144
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
75.8Avg total
42.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.070.1+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.030.769.7+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.370.5-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.133.775.8+8.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.079.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.833.468.2+1.450%-
vs Weaker (10)40.131.371.4+8.870%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
UT Arlington wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HTulsa111-106 OT
12/11/24HMissouri Southern State90-61
04/11/24AButler65-72
08/03/24AIndiana State59-75
07/03/24AMurray State60-35
03/03/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-59
29/02/24AIllinois State74-75
24/02/24ABelmont78-93
22/02/24HBradley62-86
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HTexas College95-69
14/11/24AUSC95-98
09/11/24HLouisiana Tech77-92
04/11/24HNorth Texas-Dallas90-55
17/03/24AGrand Canyon74-89
16/03/24ATarleton87-84
15/03/24HStephen F. Austin109-78
08/03/24HCalifornia Baptist71-57
02/03/24AUtah Valley State78-65
01/03/24ASeattle82-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game88.7100.565.0
Allowed / game79.783.572.0
Point differential+9.0+17.0-7.0
Avg total168.3184.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game89.287.395.0
Allowed / game78.572.098.0
Point differential+10.8+15.3-3.0
Avg total167.8159.3193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech440100%87.565.0+22.5
2 New Mexico State330100%83.767.3+16.3
3 Liberty54180%74.459.2+15.2
4 Kennesaw State43175%93.268.8+24.5
5 Jacksonville State43175%80.560.2+20.2
6 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.864.5+16.2
7 UTEP32167%80.067.3+12.7
8 Missouri State32167%88.779.7+9.0
9 Western Kentucky42250%81.575.5+6.0
10 Delaware42250%75.576.2-0.8
11 Sam Houston St.42250%79.582.2-2.8
12 Florida International41325%81.271.8+9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah440100%90.567.5+23.0
2 Abilene Christian43175%84.067.0+17.0
3 California Baptist43175%82.577.2+5.2
4 Utah Valley State32167%84.064.7+19.3
5 UT Arlington42250%89.278.5+10.8
6 Utah Tech41325%69.875.0-5.2
7 Tarleton51420%61.084.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State344478
UT Arlington373168
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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