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Tarleton vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 84-87
41-39 43-48
Position#42
Record23-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game68.1
Tarleton
USA
vs
UT Arlington 🏆
USA
Position#136
Record19-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v UT Arlington
05 Mar 2026
TARL60
UT A65
04 Jan 2025
TARL77
UT A74
15 Mar 2024
TARL84
UT A87
04 Jan 2024
TARL78
UT A76
29 Dec 2022
TARL70
UT A63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
42-32
23-38
49-23
38-31
44-46
28-33
52-45
22-35
55-39
35-32
47-33
49-30
36-44
39-37
49-46
40-30
20-33
39-32
30-34
147.5Avg total
77.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.268.1141.3+5.174%
Season at home (15)76.363.7139.9+12.680%
Season away (16)70.372.3142.6-2.069%
Last 10 (10)77.070.5147.5+6.590%
Last 5 (5)76.870.2147.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.071.0128.0-14.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.270.3142.5+1.980%
vs Weaker (15)76.667.5144.1+9.180%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-63 OT
71
63
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
35-40
29-27
32-34
33-28
45-52
42-26
47-44
37-39
53-46
34-34
55-44
50-21
32-41
38-29
40-36
37-29
34-28
48-27
61-51
152.2Avg total
82.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.772.5149.1+4.259%
Season at home (17)81.069.6150.6+11.482%
Season away (15)71.775.7147.5-4.033%
Last 10 (10)82.070.2152.2+11.880%
Last 5 (5)85.868.0153.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.581.5148.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.072.7146.7+1.347%
vs Weaker (11)82.569.8152.3+12.691%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
TarletonUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H23/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.569.4+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.132.070.1+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.635.168.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.067.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.272.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.336.762.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.834.270.0+1.670%-
vs Weaker (15)36.633.069.6+3.667%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H24/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H15/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
37.6Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.969.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.930.567.4+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)35.235.370.5-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)37.628.466.0+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.428.069.4+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.239.576.8-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.531.665.1+1.953%-
vs Weaker (11)39.132.371.4+6.873%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tarleton wins
0
UT Arlington wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24UT Arlington v Tarleton78-80
05/01/24Tarleton v UT Arlington78-76
06/02/23UT Arlington v Tarleton64-69
30/12/22Tarleton v UT Arlington70-63
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HSeattle69-66
08/03/24HUtah Valley State60-63
03/03/24ASouthern Utah88-83
01/03/24AUtah Tech85-74
24/02/24HCalifornia Baptist82-65
23/02/24HGrand Canyon77-74
16/02/24AUT Arlington80-78
10/02/24ASeattle82-77
09/02/24AUtah Valley State72-61
03/02/24HStephen F. Austin75-64
UT Arlingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HStephen F. Austin109-78
08/03/24HCalifornia Baptist71-57
02/03/24AUtah Valley State78-65
01/03/24ASeattle82-62
24/02/24HUtah Tech89-78
23/02/24HSouthern Utah90-85
18/02/24AUTRGV89-70
16/02/24HTarleton78-80
10/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-63 OT
09/02/24ACalifornia Baptist63-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %74%80%69%
Points / game73.276.370.3
Allowed / game68.163.772.3
Point differential+5.1+12.6-2.0
Avg total141.3139.9142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)57% (7)100% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %59%82%33%
Points / game76.781.071.7
Allowed / game72.569.675.7
Point differential+4.2+11.4-4.0
Avg total149.1150.6147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton3123874%73.268.1+5.1
2 UT Arlington32191359%76.772.5+4.2
3 Utah Valley State32161650%68.768.6+0.1
4 California Baptist33161748%67.366.6+0.8
5 Abilene Christian32151747%72.573.5-1.0
6 Utah Tech31112035%70.877.1-6.3
7 Southern Utah31102132%75.077.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton414384
UT Arlington394887
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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