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Australia vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 91-58
16-6 22-18 27-10 26-24
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Australia 🏆
vs
China
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2024
Meetings · Australia v China
17 Aug 2025
AUST90
CHIN89
04 Jul 2024
AUST91
CHIN58
30 Jun 2022
AUST76
CHIN69
17 Aug 2017
AUST97
CHIN71
02 Aug 2012
AUST81
CHIN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
83-51
83
51
+32
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 99
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
111avg 99
A25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
25-19
27-5
7-19
24-8
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
150.8Avg total
84.1Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.166.7150.8+17.470%
Last 5 (5)96.077.2173.2+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker (27)86.163.9150.1+22.289%
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Angola
#19
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
89-50
89
50
+39
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-50
95
50
+45
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
82avg 63
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 63
A25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
21-18
24-14
14-17
16-16
24-23
11-34
24-23
20-19
24-9
21-12
24-10
23-12
19-15
28-26
19-16
22-10
23-2
23-21
27-17
20-12
30-17
16-15
18-26
19-17
29-13
14-20
14-27
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
153.1Avg total
84.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.568.6153.1+15.970%
Last 5 (5)82.869.0151.8+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.684.0147.6-20.414%
vs Similar (4)82.093.0175.0-11.025%
vs Weaker (19)85.665.3150.9+20.489%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
AustraliaChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#73
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
84.1Avg total
47.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.733.979.6+11.886%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.733.678.3+11.188%-
Last 30 away (12)47.134.281.3+12.883%-
Last 10 (9)47.037.184.1+9.967%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.886.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)45.633.779.2+11.985%-
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angola
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
76.3Avg total
43.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.177.5+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.133.076.1+10.169%-
Last 30 away (17)40.138.478.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.732.676.3+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.079.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.642.774.3-11.10%-
vs Similar (4)41.844.886.5-3.050%-
vs Weaker (19)44.931.876.7+13.284%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.028.0
59.6%
55.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
71.8%17.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.5
50.3%
55.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.0
24.4%
34.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.0
71.2%
71.8%13.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWLWLWWWL
China
LWWLWWWWLW
+44.9
Net rating
-7.7
123.0
Offensive rating
96.1
78.1
Defensive rating
103.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
45.7%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
44.0%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
24.4%
71.4%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 96.1Defence78.1 · 103.7Shooting54.2% · 45.7%3-point %29.2% · 24.4%Ball care15.6% · 20.8%Off. rebounds44.0% · 34.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Australia   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Australia wins
2
China wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22China v Australia48-71
30/06/22Australia v China76-69
17/08/17Australia v China97-71
12/08/16China v Australia68-93
28/06/13China v Australia59-64
02/08/12Australia v China81-61
10/07/12China v Australia70-51
07/07/12China v Australia67-44
03/08/11China v Australia62-69
28/07/10China v Australia63-64
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
23/02/23HBahrain83-51
14/11/22AIran0-20
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
04/10/23APhilippines76-77
03/10/23HSouth Korea84-70
30/09/23HHong Kong95-50
28/09/23AChinese Taipei89-69
26/09/23HMongolia89-50
02/09/23APhilippines75-96
31/08/23AAngola83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
China
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia1622272691
China618102458
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