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Australia vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-89
17-25 25-21 26-25 22-18
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game63.5
Australia 🏆
vs
China
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeAsia CupAsia Cup - Final· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Australia v China
17 Aug 2025
AUST90
CHIN89
30 Jun 2022
AUST76
CHIN69
17 Aug 2017
AUST97
CHIN71
02 Aug 2012
AUST81
CHIN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 96
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 96
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 96
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 96
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 96
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 96
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 96
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 96
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
92-48
92
48
+44
95avg 96
H16/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
29-12
19-16
21-22
15-10
27-20
24-9
29-8
12-11
163.1Avg total
100.4Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)99.063.5162.5+35.5100%
Season at home (6)96.860.3157.2+36.5100%
Season away (5)101.667.2168.8+34.4100%
Last 10 (10)100.462.7163.1+37.7100%
Last 5 (5)95.266.2161.4+29.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.162.6152.7+27.689%
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
101-53
101
53
+48
105avg 92
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 92
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
100-58
100
58
+42
102avg 92
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 92
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 92
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
100-69
100
69
+31
100avg 92
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
86avg 92
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 92
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 92
H16/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
21-17
24-10
27-15
29-11
18-14
25-15
28-14
19-9
19-12
31-21
19-12
31-13
19-16
25-17
22-23
20-22
30-22
23-21
27-22
13-23
29-14
24-17
22-17
25-21
24-14
23-24
18-12
25-18
25-24
21-11
18-20
15-16
28-19
14-21
26-26
30-18
161.4Avg total
90.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.067.8157.8+22.291%
Season at home (7)91.667.3158.9+24.3100%
Season away (4)87.268.8156.0+18.575%
Last 10 (10)90.471.0161.4+19.490%
Last 5 (5)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.693.1155.7-30.614%
vs Similar (3)82.393.0175.3-10.733%
vs Weaker (20)88.066.8154.8+21.390%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +10.3+10.3Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +10.8+10.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +10.3+10.3Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +10.8+10.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
AustraliaChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/08
Asia Cup
83.2Avg total
51.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.431.979.3+15.490%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.131.778.8+15.488%-
Last 30 away (13)47.732.279.9+15.592%-
Last 10 (10)51.032.283.2+18.8100%-
Last 5 (5)50.233.884.0+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.732.079.7+15.789%-
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
Guam
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A24/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H05/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A07/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H14/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/08
Asia Cup
82.3Avg total
46.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.378.8+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.179.8+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.477.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)46.735.682.3+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)48.237.485.6+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.647.079.6-14.40%-
vs Similar (3)40.745.386.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (20)44.932.677.5+12.285%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.325.9
58.5%
49.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
32.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
70.1%14.8
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.4
55.3%
49.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.9
39.1%
32.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
70.1%15.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
China
WWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+46.9
Net rating
+26.8
124.8
Offensive rating
120.4
78.0
Defensive rating
93.6
57.0%
Effective FG%
56.6%
39.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
39.1%
65.0%
Assist %
61.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence124.8 · 120.4Defence78.0 · 93.6Shooting57.0% · 56.6%3-point %36.5% · 39.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds39.5% · 37.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Australia   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Australia wins
2
China wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22China v Australia48-71
30/06/22Australia v China76-69
17/08/17Australia v China97-71
12/08/16China v Australia68-93
28/06/13China v Australia59-64
02/08/12Australia v China81-61
10/07/12China v Australia70-51
07/07/12China v Australia67-44
03/08/11China v Australia62-69
28/07/10China v Australia63-64
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HIran92-48
13/08/25HPhilippines84-60
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HNew Zealand98-84
14/08/25HSouth Korea79-71
09/08/25HJordan90-68
07/08/25AIndia100-69
05/08/25HSaudi Arabia93-88
23/02/25AGuam86-78
20/02/25HJapan100-58
24/11/24AMongolia90-52
21/11/24HGuam101-53
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.096.8101.6
Allowed / game63.560.367.2
Point differential+35.5+36.5+34.4
Avg total162.5157.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %91%100%75%
Points / game90.091.687.2
Allowed / game67.867.368.8
Point differential+22.2+24.3+18.5
Avg total157.8158.9156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia11110100%99.063.5+35.5
2 China1110191%90.067.8+22.2
3 Iran1210283%74.659.2+15.4
4 New Zealand129375%90.475.1+15.3
5 Lebanon118373%88.880.1+8.7
6 Japan107370%82.076.7+5.3
7 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
8 South Korea117464%84.980.6+4.3
9 Chinese Taipei138562%85.379.8+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia106460%76.573.0+3.5
11 Philippines116555%84.977.8+7.1
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam178947%71.180.4-9.3
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia1725262290
China2521251889
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