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Australia vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 11:10
Final 109-89
25-17 32-18 30-35 22-19
Position#5
Record12-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game58.1
vs
Position#28
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Australia v Japan
29 Aug 2023
AUST109
JAPA89
21 Jul 2022
AUST99
JAPA85
27 Feb 2022
AUST80
JAPA64
27 Nov 2017
AUST82
JAPA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H23/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A24/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
104-50
104
50
+54
A25/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
98-68
98
68
+30
H29/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
97-50
97
50
+47
A11/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A14/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-18
17-17
19-22
22-10
16-18
19-15
18-30
27-10
26-18
26-13
25-9
27-15
14-15
24-28
33-10
39-8
19-17
20-12
19-13
–
–
–
–
25-19
27-5
7-19
24-8
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
141.8Avg total
82.0Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.858.1141.9+25.686%
Season at home (7)87.964.4152.3+23.486%
Season away (7)79.751.9131.6+27.986%
Last 10 (10)82.059.8141.8+22.280%
Last 5 (5)72.256.2128.4+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.763.5148.2+21.281%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#7
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
18-18
27-29
25-18
22-33
12-16
20-26
31-24
27-25
5-19
15-21
21-14
14-13
13-14
22-10
24-11
24-10
26-23
13-24
24-17
16-14
29-13
28-19
8-15
22-16
30-13
23-16
21-16
32-19
19-16
22-22
22-15
11-23
20-30
16-16
16-12
22-15
14-31
27-27
35-15
159.2Avg total
84.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.074.8151.8+2.257%
Season at home (7)82.374.6156.9+7.771%
Season away (7)71.775.0146.7-3.343%
Last 10 (10)84.874.4159.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)86.672.6159.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.795.9166.6-25.10%
vs Similar (9)75.487.9163.3-12.411%
vs Weaker (14)88.865.6154.4+23.286%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +7.0+7.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +7.0+7.0
AustraliaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H23/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#1
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/07
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A25/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
58-25
58
25
+33
A11/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
79.3Avg total
47.3Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.332.676.9+11.890%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.433.778.1+10.788%-
Last 30 away (13)44.331.275.5+13.292%-
Last 10 (9)47.332.079.3+15.389%-
Last 5 (5)49.033.082.0+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.132.276.3+11.988%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/08
World Cup
78.5Avg total
40.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.979.4-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.339.276.5-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.542.481.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.778.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.449.182.6-15.70%-
vs Similar (9)33.645.178.7-11.611%-
vs Weaker (14)44.134.178.2+10.164%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Australia wins
1
Japan wins
DateGameScore
21/07/22Australia v Japan99-85
01/07/22Japan v Australia52-98
27/02/22Australia v Japan80-64
29/06/18Japan v Australia79-78
27/11/17Australia v Japan82-58
08/08/17Japan v Australia68-84
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
23/02/23HBahrain83-51
14/11/22AIran0-20
11/11/22AKazakhstan97-50
29/08/22HIran98-68
25/08/22ABahrain104-50
24/07/22ALebanon75-73
23/07/22HNew Zealand85-76
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/23HFinland98-88
25/08/23AGermany63-81
26/02/23HBahrain95-72
23/02/23HIran96-61
14/11/22AKazakhstan81-61
11/11/22ABahrain87-74
30/08/22HKazakhstan73-48
25/08/22AIran68-79
21/07/22AAustralia85-99
19/07/22HPhilippines102-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL86%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game83.887.979.7
Allowed / game58.164.451.9
Point differential+25.6+23.4+27.9
Avg total141.9152.3131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%71%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game77.082.371.7
Allowed / game74.874.675.0
Point differential+2.2+7.7-3.3
Avg total151.8156.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1817194%85.671.2+14.4
3 Canada1413193%99.668.5+31.1
4 Germany1513287%81.871.6+10.2
5 Australia1412286%83.858.1+25.6
6 Spain1412286%84.868.1+16.6
7 South Sudan1412286%80.667.4+13.2
8 New Zealand119282%92.870.5+22.3
9 Dominican Republic1512380%82.372.8+9.5
10 Lithuania1411379%79.470.4+9.0
11 Ivory Coast1411379%74.268.1+6.1
12 Puerto Rico129375%82.279.7+2.5
13 France1511473%80.666.9+13.7
14 Angola1511473%73.563.5+10.1
15 Montenegro1813572%77.971.2+6.8
16 China1410471%77.970.4+7.5
17 Serbia1410471%83.676.4+7.2
18 Italy139469%86.383.2+3.1
19 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
20 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
21 Greece128467%78.775.2+3.5
22 Slovenia149564%84.479.3+5.1
23 Lebanon159660%86.579.5+7.1
24 Egypt159660%74.868.0+6.8
25 Finland159660%80.982.1-1.2
26 Brazil127558%87.272.6+14.7
27 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
28 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
29 Venezuela148657%77.670.5+7.1
30 Jordan148657%78.975.3+3.6
31 Japan148657%77.074.8+2.2
32 Georgia148657%79.878.4+1.4
33 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
34 Cape Verde137654%71.871.1+0.8
35 Mexico137654%80.481.4-1.0
36 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
37 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
38 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
39 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
40 Philippines126650%79.477.9+1.5
41 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
45 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
46 Iran146843%70.371.1-0.8
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia25323022109
Japan1718351989
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