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Australia vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 99-85
33-22 16-12 26-20 24-31
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeAsia CupAsia Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022
Meetings · Australia v Japan
29 Aug 2023
AUST109
JAPA89
21 Jul 2022
AUST99
JAPA85
27 Feb 2022
AUST80
JAPA64
27 Nov 2017
AUST82
JAPA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#3
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A07/08
Olympic Games
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H25/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H27/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
90-71
90
71
+19
A28/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H30/06
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
98-52
98
52
+46
A01/07
World Cup
China
#20
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A03/07
World Cup
Jordan
#5
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A12/07
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H14/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H16/07
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
33-26
25-22
29-26
28-11
20-11
22-30
28-9
22-14
20-26
22-9
16-15
29-25
27-21
17-10
17-15
17-15
26-19
14-21
19-14
22-13
25-4
21-10
30-25
16-18
14-11
15-16
26-3
27-12
25-14
8-19
18-15
15-18
24-7
17-15
20-12
11-16
23-8
23-18
21-11
147.5Avg total
85.2Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.762.8150.5+24.883%
Season at home (4)91.866.2158.0+25.575%
Season away (2)79.556.0135.5+23.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.262.3147.5+22.9100%
Last 5 (5)80.253.0133.2+27.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)100.789.0189.7+11.7100%
vs Weaker (27)86.066.4152.4+19.685%
This opponent (Japan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A27/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
73-106
73
106
-33
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A26/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
52-98
52
98
-46
H01/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H03/07
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#12
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H13/07
Asia Cup
Syria
#14
W
117-56
117
56
+61
A15/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H19/07
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
18-18
11-19
23-15
10-29
19-24
21-31
23-22
15-21
18-18
16-14
27-18
14-22
26-20
9-22
15-16
13-22
4-25
10-21
25-30
25-14
17-13
18-9
29-13
23-22
22-26
29-11
26-9
29-9
39-18
28-15
21-14
24-27
10-21
12-20
30-20
32-16
18-18
27-29
25-18
158.8Avg total
81.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.270.9162.1+20.462%
Season at home (4)89.269.0158.2+20.275%
Season away (4)93.272.8166.0+20.550%
Last 10 (10)81.277.6158.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)96.868.4165.2+28.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.499.5171.9-27.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.783.2156.9-9.622%
vs Weaker (13)90.763.4154.1+27.392%
This opponent (Australia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: +6.9+6.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: +6.9+6.9
AustraliaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A07/08
Olympic Games
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H25/02
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A28/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/06
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
47-17
47
17
+30
A01/07
World Cup
China
#20
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/07
World Cup
Jordan
#5
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A12/07
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#11
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H14/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/07
Asia Cup
75.2Avg total
44.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.433.375.7+9.287%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.032.274.2+9.894%-
Last 30 away (14)42.934.477.4+8.579%-
Last 10 (10)44.430.875.2+13.6100%-
Last 5 (5)40.424.264.6+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)52.342.094.3+10.3100%-
vs Weaker (27)41.332.373.6+9.085%-
This opponent (Japan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
17-47
17
47
-30
H01/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/07
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#12
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/07
Asia Cup
Syria
#14
W
68-27
68
27
+41
A15/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/07
Asia Cup
79.7Avg total
38.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.679.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.138.973.9-3.836%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.283.9-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.079.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)47.836.884.6+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.648.884.4-13.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.343.478.8-8.122%-
vs Weaker (13)42.833.776.5+9.169%-
This opponent (Australia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Australia wins
1
Japan wins
DateGameScore
01/07/22Japan v Australia52-98
27/02/22Australia v Japan80-64
29/06/18Japan v Australia79-78
27/11/17Australia v Japan82-58
08/08/17Japan v Australia68-84
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/22HIndonesia78-53
14/07/22HSaudi Arabia76-52
12/07/22AJordan78-60
03/07/22AChina71-48
01/07/22AJapan98-52
30/06/22HChina76-69
28/02/22AChinese Taipei90-71
27/02/22HJapan80-64
25/02/22HChinese Taipei98-61
07/08/21ASlovenia107-93
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/22HPhilippines102-81
17/07/22AIran76-88
15/07/22ASyria117-56
13/07/22HKazakhstan100-68
03/07/22HChinese Taipei89-49
01/07/22HAustralia52-98
27/02/22AAustralia64-80
26/02/22AChinese Taipei76-71
28/11/21HChina73-106
27/11/21AChina63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2022
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.791.879.5
Allowed / game62.866.256.0
Point differential+24.8+25.5+23.5
Avg total150.5158.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
Asia Cup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game91.289.293.2
Allowed / game70.969.072.8
Point differential+20.4+20.2+20.5
Avg total162.1158.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lebanon10100100%95.471.2+24.2
2 Jordan109190%81.471.5+9.9
3 Australia65183%87.762.8+24.8
4 Iran108280%82.464.5+17.9
5 South Korea97278%93.276.2+17.0
6 China97278%88.373.6+14.8
7 New Zealand75271%90.677.0+13.6
8 Philippines107370%86.275.4+10.8
9 Japan85362%91.270.9+20.4
10 Guam53260%92.683.8+8.8
11 Saudi Arabia115645%69.570.9-1.5
12 Kazakhstan94544%80.371.7+8.7
13 Bahrain94544%80.887.3-6.6
14 Syria104640%67.480.9-13.5
15 Indonesia103730%71.084.8-13.8
16 Chinese Taipei113827%83.487.7-4.4
17 India113827%68.589.5-21.0
18 Palestine82625%83.181.0+2.1
19 Qatar61517%59.576.5-17.0
20 Iraq6060%76.585.8-9.3
21 Thailand6060%69.095.8-26.8
22 Hong Kong3030%67.0110.0-43.0
23 Sri Lanka5050%53.6109.8-56.2
24 Malaysia1010%48.0152.0-104.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia3316262499
Japan2212203185
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