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Australia vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 80-64
22-14 20-26 22-9 16-15
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#28
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2023
Meetings · Australia v Japan
29 Aug 2023
AUST109
JAPA89
21 Jul 2022
AUST99
JAPA85
27 Feb 2022
AUST80
JAPA64
27 Nov 2017
AUST82
JAPA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A15/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
98-108
98
108
-10
H20/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
115-52
115
52
+63
H23/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
81-52
81
52
+29
A20/02
Asia Cup
Nigeria
#22
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H25/07
Olympic Games
Italy
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A28/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/07
Olympic Games
Argentina
#19
W
97-59
97
59
+38
H03/08
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A07/08
Olympic Games
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H25/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
14-10
16-21
13-25
31-27
15-25
27-30
25-26
18-12
33-16
36-13
28-11
23-12
10-11
22-20
26-9
23-23
20-17
15-12
26-15
25-25
19-20
21-17
21-21
18-22
26-18
22-19
23-17
18-22
21-11
21-15
37-11
20-19
33-26
25-22
29-26
28-11
20-11
22-30
28-9
163.2Avg total
91.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.061.0159.0+37.0100%
Season at home (1)98.061.0159.0+37.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.471.8163.2+19.680%
Last 5 (5)95.474.4169.8+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)100.789.0189.7+11.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.967.2155.1+20.781%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
96-57
96
57
+39
A24/02
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H16/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H18/06
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A19/06
Asia Cup
Spain
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H26/07
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
81-116
81
116
-35
A29/07
Olympic Games
Argentina
#19
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A01/08
Olympic Games
China
#20
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A27/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
73-106
73
106
-33
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
14-17
24-6
34-22
12-20
8-12
15-18
22-16
25-16
27-22
28-10
18-13
29-21
16-20
24-24
15-25
14-18
14-30
28-21
21-19
23-29
18-24
23-27
17-36
16-26
22-20
15-19
24-32
11-27
18-18
11-19
23-15
10-29
19-24
21-31
23-22
15-21
18-18
16-14
27-18
161.3Avg total
78.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.785.3156.0-14.733%
Season at home (1)73.0106.0179.0-33.00%
Season away (2)69.575.0144.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.283.1161.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)74.093.8167.8-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.995.9171.8-20.012%
vs Similar (9)74.381.3155.7-7.033%
vs Weaker (13)86.267.6153.8+18.577%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +8.6+8.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +8.6+8.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
AustraliaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A15/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H20/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H23/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A20/02
Asia Cup
Nigeria
#22
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/07
Olympic Games
Italy
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A28/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/07
Olympic Games
Argentina
#19
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H03/08
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A07/08
Olympic Games
Chinese Taipei
#81
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H25/02
World Cup
78.0Avg total
43.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.433.375.8+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.732.174.8+10.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.134.676.7+7.573%-
Last 10 (10)43.134.978.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.082.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)52.342.094.3+10.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.332.473.7+9.081%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/02
Asia Cup
China
#4
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H16/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/06
Asia Cup
China
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/06
Asia Cup
Spain
#9
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H26/07
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/07
Olympic Games
Argentina
#19
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/08
Olympic Games
China
#20
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#81
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/02
World Cup
77.7Avg total
35.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.777.9-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.437.773.1-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.482.1-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.477.7-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.047.281.2-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.445.583.9-7.125%-
vs Similar (9)35.942.278.1-6.333%-
vs Weaker (13)39.734.374.0+5.469%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Australia wins
1
Japan wins
DateGameScore
29/06/18Japan v Australia79-78
27/11/17Australia v Japan82-58
08/08/17Japan v Australia68-84
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/22HChinese Taipei98-61
07/08/21ASlovenia107-93
03/08/21HArgentina97-59
31/07/21HGermany89-76
28/07/21AItaly86-83
25/07/21HNigeria84-67
20/02/21ANew Zealand81-52
23/02/20HHong Kong115-52
20/02/20HNew Zealand98-108
15/09/19AFrance59-67
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22AChinese Taipei76-71
28/11/21HChina73-106
27/11/21AChina63-79
01/08/21AArgentina77-97
29/07/21ASlovenia81-116
26/07/21HSpain77-88
19/06/21AChina84-90
18/06/21HChinese Taipei98-61
16/06/21HChina57-66
24/02/20AChinese Taipei96-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+37.0+37.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Japan
World Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game70.773.069.5
Allowed / game85.3106.075.0
Point differential-14.7-33.0-5.5
Avg total156.0179.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand110100%101.046.0+55.0
2 Australia110100%98.061.0+37.0
3 Canada330100%104.376.3+28.0
4 Venezuela440100%79.053.8+25.2
5 China220100%92.568.0+24.5
6 Philippines110100%88.064.0+24.0
7 Spain330100%90.366.7+23.7
8 Brazil330100%81.058.0+23.0
9 France330100%81.759.0+22.7
10 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
11 Ivory Coast330100%76.363.0+13.3
12 South Sudan220100%70.060.0+10.0
13 Lithuania330100%80.370.7+9.7
14 Kazakhstan330100%79.371.3+8.0
15 D.R. Congo220100%64.056.5+7.5
16 Mexico220100%86.079.0+7.0
17 Latvia76186%87.174.9+12.3
18 Montenegro76186%79.470.4+9.0
19 Argentina43175%74.559.8+14.8
20 Sweden75271%87.170.4+16.7
21 Iceland139469%84.479.5+4.8
22 Lebanon32167%89.758.7+31.0
23 Dominican Republic32167%88.768.7+20.0
24 Iran32167%83.767.7+16.0
25 Angola32167%69.754.7+15.0
26 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
27 Saudi Arabia32167%76.066.0+10.0
28 Belgium32167%73.764.0+9.7
29 Nigeria32167%79.372.7+6.7
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina32167%86.381.0+5.3
31 Israel32167%71.767.0+4.7
32 Mali32167%70.065.3+4.7
33 Jordan32167%68.765.3+3.3
34 Serbia32167%81.778.7+3.0
35 Finland32167%75.073.0+2.0
36 Germany32167%69.768.3+1.3
37 Greece32167%72.772.0+0.7
38 Uruguay32167%77.076.3+0.7
39 Georgia32167%80.080.7-0.7
40 Estonia32167%71.072.0-1.0
41 Slovenia32167%82.083.0-1.0
42 Portugal138562%73.071.6+1.4
43 Egypt21150%81.063.0+18.0
44 Senegal21150%66.059.5+6.5
45 Cameroon21150%54.050.0+4.0
46 Puerto Rico21150%77.575.0+2.5
47 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
48 Tunisia21150%59.561.5-2.0
49 Great Britain21150%72.576.5-4.0
50 Slovakia135838%70.873.9-3.2
51 Turkey31233%75.074.3+0.7
52 Cape Verde31233%70.370.7-0.3
53 Ukraine31233%78.379.0-0.7
54 Syria31233%75.076.3-1.3
55 Italy31233%86.090.7-4.7
56 Bulgaria31233%74.381.3-7.0
57 Guinea31233%68.075.3-7.3
58 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
59 Uganda31233%70.781.7-11.0
60 Hungary31233%67.378.7-11.3
61 Chile31233%66.078.0-12.0
62 Japan31233%70.785.3-14.7
63 Bahamas31233%78.7100.7-22.0
64 North Macedonia72529%66.675.1-8.6
65 Panama41325%62.068.0-6.0
66 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
67 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
68 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
69 Croatia3030%69.774.3-4.7
70 Netherlands3030%73.078.0-5.0
71 Poland3030%67.072.0-5.0
72 Czech Republic3030%75.383.3-8.0
73 Cuba2020%66.075.5-9.5
74 Colombia3030%73.385.0-11.7
75 Rwanda2020%50.562.5-12.0
76 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
77 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
78 Central African Republic3030%61.082.0-21.0
79 Chinese Taipei2020%66.087.0-21.0
80 Bahrain3030%64.787.3-22.7
81 United States Virgin Islands3030%65.091.0-26.0
82 Kenya2020%53.585.5-32.0
83 Paraguay4040%54.288.2-34.0
84 India2020%55.094.5-39.5
85 Indonesia3030%56.0100.3-44.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia2220221680
Japan142691564
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