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Austria vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:20
Final 75-100
24-18 19-30 16-25 16-27
Position#30
Record5-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Raiffeisen Sportpark
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustria
Date
Competition
Hungary
#30
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
H19/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
L
58-81
58
81
-23
no box
A21/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 70
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
97-70
97
70
+27
97avg 70
A28/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 70
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 70
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
92-66
92
66
+26
81avg 70
H30/06
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
78-49
78
49
+29
82avg 70
H03/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 70
A25/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
55-91
55
91
-36
48avg 70
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-15
20-24
16-21
18-16
12-22
12-20
16-23
18-15
26-14
21-20
15-15
28-13
15-28
30-9
24-20
22-15
25-19
21-17
18-26
18-23
18-17
7-26
18-14
23-22
28-13
20-15
21-16
19-15
18-5
21-15
20-14
13-17
21-16
20-27
10-14
8-25
17-11
10-29
20-26
148.7Avg total
75.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.671.4148.0+5.262%
Season at home (4)76.267.5143.8+8.875%
Season away (4)77.075.2152.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)75.273.5148.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)70.072.0142.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.981.2150.1-12.310%
vs Similar (8)71.080.6151.6-9.625%
vs Weaker (10)82.168.0150.1+14.180%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 78
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-33
27-21
16-22
18-21
17-21
17-22
27-17
18-21
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
158.4Avg total
80.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)84.053.0137.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.078.4158.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.279.0161.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.483.2157.6-8.88%
vs Similar (8)79.181.0160.1-1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.564.2140.7+12.390%
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
AustriaCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#30
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H19/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A21/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/06
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H03/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/08
EuroBasket
72.2Avg total
38.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.537.474.0-0.954%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.936.772.6-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)37.138.175.3-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.672.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.869.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.041.473.4-9.430%-
vs Similar (8)38.939.478.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)39.231.971.1+7.380%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
75.1Avg total
36.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.774.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.933.972.8+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.739.275.9-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.840.476.2-4.725%-
vs Similar (8)39.240.980.1-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.928.967.8+10.090%-
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Austriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Austria: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.4
48.4%
50.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
36.1%
32.5%27.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
71.4%13.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.5
25.5%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
71.4%16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/2 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Austria
LLWWLWWWLL
Croatia
LWLWWLWWLL
#30
League position
#7
+7.1
Net rating
+24.6
102.3
Offensive rating
106.8
95.2
Defensive rating
82.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.1%
3-point %
25.5%
65.7%
Assist %
72.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 106.8Defence95.2 · 82.1Shooting50.8% · 50.4%3-point %36.1% · 25.5%Ball care21.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Austria   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austria wins
0
Croatia wins
No previous meetings.
Austrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/22HPoland55-91
25/08/22ASwitzerland64-74
03/07/22HCyprus78-49
30/06/22HIreland92-66
27/02/22ASwitzerland61-80
24/02/22ACyprus86-77
28/11/21AIreland97-70
25/11/21HSwitzerland80-64
21/02/21AHungary58-81
19/02/21HHungary81-83 OT
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69
03/07/22HFinland79-81
30/06/22ASlovenia69-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game76.676.277.0
Allowed / game71.467.575.2
Point differential+5.2+8.8+1.8
Avg total148.0143.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.084.072.0
Allowed / game61.053.069.0
Point differential+17.0+31.0+3.0
Avg total139.0137.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal330100%88.368.7+19.7
2 Croatia220100%78.061.0+17.0
3 North Macedonia330100%70.060.3+9.7
4 Romania75271%75.472.4+3.0
5 Poland32167%79.763.7+16.0
6 Bulgaria32167%83.371.7+11.7
7 Austria85362%76.671.4+5.2
8 Norway74357%76.174.0+2.1
9 Switzerland95456%70.670.7-0.1
10 Denmark73443%77.375.0+2.3
11 Slovakia31233%72.378.7-6.3
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus91811%64.179.6-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Austria2419161675
Croatia18302527100
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