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Austria W vs Italy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 49-71
11-16 15-22 5-16 18-17
Position#18
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.1
Austria W
vs
Italy W 🏆
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Sport Arena Wien
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austria W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands W
#25
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H10/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A09/02
European Championship Women
Norway W
#36
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H15/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#27
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A18/11
European Championship Women
Norway W
#36
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A11/03
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A14/03
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#27
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H17/03
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H11/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
10-11
6-17
18-20
17-28
10-15
8-16
10-17
11-26
8-13
19-16
19-10
13-10
13-13
19-18
18-7
16-14
20-23
24-20
25-24
23-12
30-19
19-27
25-20
23-13
24-19
17-8
17-14
20-14
16-21
20-19
15-29
20-20
28-20
18-13
13-13
15-19
19-20
17-26
15-16
140.6Avg total
70.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.470.1147.6+7.371%
Season at home (4)73.269.0142.2+4.275%
Season away (3)83.071.7154.7+11.367%
Last 10 (10)70.170.5140.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.872.4151.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.173.2128.3-18.19%
vs Similar (2)78.082.0160.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (4)80.061.5141.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#22
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A10/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H06/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H19/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H21/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A29/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#17
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H11/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
8-10
7-9
10-14
23-21
15-17
22-6
19-16
27-23
12-18
15-13
15-20
19-18
20-12
17-13
14-18
22-17
23-5
16-26
16-18
18-14
16-9
12-19
19-9
20-17
11-18
19-15
18-18
20-17
13-23
10-17
21-9
23-22
19-14
11-9
16-9
19-12
13-18
22-17
13-15
130.5Avg total
68.1Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.062.0129.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)67.062.0129.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.162.4130.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)68.261.4129.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.768.8139.5+1.850%
vs Similar (2)71.058.5129.5+12.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)73.559.3132.8+14.377%
This opponent (Austria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
Austria WItaly W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Austria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands W
#25
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A09/02
European Championship Women
Norway W
#36
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H15/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#27
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A18/11
European Championship Women
Norway W
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A11/03
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/03
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#27
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H17/03
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/11
European Championship Women
71.4Avg total
35.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)32.236.568.7-4.429%-
Last 30 at home (9)34.437.872.2-3.322%-
Last 30 away (8)29.635.164.8-5.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.571.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.479.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.438.565.8-11.10%-
vs Similar (2)36.036.072.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)43.531.575.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#22
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A10/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H06/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A18/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H19/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H21/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H27/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#17
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/11
European Championship Women
68.9Avg total
36.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.330.868.1+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.428.866.1+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)37.233.570.8+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.868.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.867.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.236.874.0+0.350%-
vs Similar (2)39.522.562.0+17.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.130.067.1+7.273%-
This opponent (Austria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Austria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Austria W: 52.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.812.2
34.9%
-24.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.3
25.7%
-19.0
🏀 Free throws11.89.0
76.1%
-9.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy W: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.1
43.9%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.1
33.6%
-21.3
🏀 Free throws15.110.1
66.9%
-10.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Austria W
LWLWWWWLLL
Italy W
WWLWWWWLWL
#18
League position
#3
-29.0
Net rating
+10.7
73.4
Offensive rating
96.9
102.4
Defensive rating
86.1
36.4%
Effective FG%
46.1%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
21.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.7%
3-point %
33.6%
73.0%
Assist %
71.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Austria W   ■ Italy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austria W wins
0
Italy W wins
No previous meetings.
Austria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLatvia W66-81
17/03/26HSwitzerland W79-66
14/03/26AGreat Britain W71-83
11/03/26ANorway W81-54
18/11/25ASwitzerland W97-78
15/11/25HGreat Britain W85-81
12/11/25HNorway W63-48
09/02/25ACroatia W57-65
06/02/25HSpain W45-76
10/11/24HNetherlands W57-73
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSlovenia W67-62
29/06/25AFrance W69-54
27/06/25HBelgium W64-66
24/06/25HTurkey W76-74 OT
21/06/25HLithuania W65-51
19/06/25HSlovenia W77-66
18/06/25ASerbia W70-61
09/02/25ACzech Republic W69-74
06/02/25HGermany W79-60
10/11/24AGreece W45-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austria W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game77.473.283.0
Allowed / game70.169.071.7
Point differential+7.3+4.2+11.3
Avg total147.6142.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total129.0129.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%104.057.0+47.0
2 Poland W770100%78.152.1+26.0
3 Serbia W660100%82.865.0+17.8
4 Turkey W110100%79.062.0+17.0
5 Hungary W110100%70.064.0+6.0
6 Italy W110100%67.062.0+5.0
7 Spain W110100%73.071.0+2.0
8 Bulgaria W76186%92.160.0+32.1
9 Latvia W76186%79.963.4+16.4
10 Israel W76186%84.670.6+14.0
11 Great Britain W86275%78.471.0+7.4
12 Austria W75271%77.470.1+7.3
13 Belgium W32167%86.074.3+11.7
14 Lithuania W32167%78.070.0+8.0
15 Finland W32167%78.082.3-4.3
16 Croatia W85362%80.273.0+7.2
17 Montenegro W74357%76.662.9+13.7
18 Slovakia W74357%70.159.9+10.3
19 Greece W74357%88.378.4+9.9
20 Slovenia W74357%76.671.0+5.6
21 Ukraine W84450%72.066.4+5.6
22 Germany W21150%76.070.5+5.5
23 Netherlands W84450%79.178.0+1.1
24 Luxembourg W73443%67.366.1+1.1
25 Portugal W52340%69.668.4+1.2
26 Denmark W83538%83.279.6+3.6
27 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
28 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
29 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
30 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
32 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
33 Czech Republic W2020%70.077.5-7.5
34 Sweden W3030%73.388.7-15.3
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Austria W111551849
Italy W1622161771
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