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Avellino Basket vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 59-82
20-21 16-20 11-25 12-16
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.5
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Brindisi
10 Jan 2027
AVEL v BRI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
AVEL59
BRI82
01 May 2025
AVEL67
BRI82
19 Jan 2025
AVEL77
BRI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 75
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
76avg 75
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 75
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 75
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
88avg 75
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 75
H01/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 75
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 75
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 75
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
A08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
18-22
23-21
16-20
23-20
18-16
11-22
29-24
24-18
20-27
36-18
12-16
33-26
19-16
14-21
10-19
23-27
24-18
26-24
28-21
16-25
19-19
16-15
16-23
17-22
22-13
17-11
16-14
13-22
16-17
26-18
19-18
28-25
19-24
22-20
23-29
24-16
17-21
17-21
20-10
160.7Avg total
80.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.075.2154.2+3.850%
Season at home (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
Season away (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
Last 10 (10)80.380.4160.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)76.676.6153.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.393.3179.7-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.079.3160.4+1.765%
vs Weaker (4)76.578.8155.2-2.225%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 69
A04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
70avg 69
A11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-78
67
78
-11
63avg 69
A13/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
54avg 69
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 69
H18/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 69
A21/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
94-58
94
58
+36
88avg 69
A21/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
85-60
85
60
+25
90avg 69
H28/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
55avg 69
A05/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
14-21
26-18
25-22
18-17
16-33
28-20
22-18
21-16
21-21
18-24
7-17
13-16
11-19
18-8
17-14
14-16
10-15
16-16
26-7
16-28
20-16
22-13
16-24
19-15
22-6
23-24
30-13
27-17
26-13
17-14
15-16
13-15
11-7
31-26
7-19
26-20
20-23
19-10
12-20
145.9Avg total
75.8Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.564.5144.0+15.075%
Season at home (2)81.066.5147.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)78.062.5140.5+15.550%
Last 10 (10)75.870.1145.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)78.467.8146.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)74.774.2148.9+0.552%
vs Weaker (5)84.068.4152.4+15.680%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
Avellino BasketBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H01/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/10
Serie A2
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.181.2-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.540.078.5-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.442.183.5-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.745.792.3+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.340.880.1-1.548%-
vs Weaker (4)39.539.579.0+0.075%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H18/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A21/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H28/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A05/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/10
Serie A2
72.1Avg total
36.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.675.0-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.836.173.9+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)37.038.975.9-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.872.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.072.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.534.070.5+2.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.338.574.8-2.243%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.077.6+7.680%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.9
48.7%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.3
41.1%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
74.4%14.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.2
48.8%
50.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.9
36.4%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
74.4%14.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WLLWLWLWLL
Brindisi
WLWWLWWLLW
#6
League position
#9
-0.4
Net rating
+7.3
110.9
Offensive rating
103.0
111.3
Defensive rating
95.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.1%
3-point %
36.4%
50.7%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 103.0Defence111.3 · 95.6Shooting52.9% · 50.9%3-point %41.1% · 36.4%Ball care16.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino Basket wins
1
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
01/05/25Avellino Basket v Brindisi67-82
19/01/25Avellino Basket v Brindisi77-73
29/09/24Brindisi v Avellino Basket72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25AJuVi Cremona78-68
05/10/25AVerona92-98
28/09/25HUrania Milano74-75
24/09/25ASebastiani Rieti72-60
01/05/25HBrindisi67-82
27/04/25AJuVi Cremona101-90
19/04/25HCantu76-82
13/04/25HBasket Torino92-79
06/04/25AVerona81-82
30/03/25HRimini70-88
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HScafati77-73
05/10/25ALibertas Livorno62-67
28/09/25HJuVi Cremona85-60
21/09/25ARuvo Di Puglia94-58
21/05/25ARimini74-81
18/05/25HRimini66-54
16/05/25HRimini59-57
13/05/25ARimini67-78
11/05/25ARimini84-88
04/05/25AVerona90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game79.074.080.7
Allowed / game75.275.075.3
Point differential+3.8-1.0+5.3
Avg total154.2149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.581.078.0
Allowed / game64.566.562.5
Point differential+15.0+14.5+15.5
Avg total144.0147.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi43175%79.564.5+15.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna43175%91.282.8+8.5
3 Libertas Livorno43175%75.867.5+8.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.870.5+7.2
5 Verona43175%78.573.2+5.2
6 Mestre43175%79.877.0+2.8
7 Blu Basket Bergamo32167%89.385.0+4.3
8 Pesaro32167%79.076.3+2.7
9 Avellino Basket42250%79.075.2+3.8
10 Rimini42250%80.078.5+1.5
11 Basket Torino42250%77.576.5+1.0
12 Scafati42250%78.279.8-1.5
13 Cento42250%74.076.0-2.0
14 Pistoia42250%80.583.5-3.0
15 Cividale41325%75.278.8-3.5
16 Roseto41325%85.091.0-6.0
17 Urania Milano41325%84.591.0-6.5
18 Forli41325%73.081.0-8.0
19 JuVi Cremona41325%69.279.2-10.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia4040%68.286.2-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2016111259
Brindisi2120251682
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