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Avellino Basket vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-82
33-26 19-16 14-21 10-19
Position#11
Record19-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record23-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Round 37· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 74
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 74
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 74
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
92avg 74
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 74
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
76avg 74
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 74
H13/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
19-22
13-17
25-19
18-24
25-15
22-25
16-21
15-29
19-26
10-20
22-8
16-22
20-9
23-15
20-27
25-15
17-27
16-24
20-13
20-16
19-19
9-15
19-17
24-27
14-21
25-21
22-17
13-25
18-22
23-21
16-20
23-20
18-16
11-22
29-24
24-18
20-27
36-18
12-16
163.3Avg total
81.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.479.9159.3-0.453%
Season at home (18)78.676.4155.0+2.261%
Season away (18)80.383.4163.7-3.144%
Last 10 (10)81.082.3163.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.285.4169.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.086.3161.3-11.30%
vs Similar (23)80.780.3160.9+0.461%
vs Weaker (4)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 70
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 70
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 70
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 70
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 70
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 70
H13/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
13-12
20-19
22-28
25-21
22-16
19-15
21-16
29-16
16-15
27-16
15-15
16-27
21-17
30-24
18-21
18-15
19-20
27-18
20-21
16-23
15-11
30-26
18-24
18-22
20-11
18-16
25-27
21-22
26-15
23-19
17-17
15-14
22-24
22-25
11-22
22-16
21-25
31-22
11-15
158.9Avg total
82.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.173.8151.9+4.464%
Season at home (18)80.569.6150.1+10.983%
Season away (18)75.777.9153.6-2.244%
Last 10 (10)82.376.6158.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)80.479.2159.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)78.179.5157.6-1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.671.2149.8+7.463%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
Avellino BasketCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/04
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
39.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.779.5-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.777.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.781.5-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.881.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.280.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.341.075.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (23)38.340.679.0-2.343%-
vs Weaker (4)44.541.085.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
Serie A2
75.8Avg total
39.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.575.8+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.133.876.9+9.294%-
Last 30 away (14)37.237.474.6-0.236%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.075.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.838.174.9-1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.434.076.4+8.479%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.719.9
46.6%
50.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.0
37.0%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.216.2
84.4%
74.4%16.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.8
53.3%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.5
39.2%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.4
72.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WLLLWLWLLW
Cantu
WLWWLWLWWW
#11
League position
#2
-1.5
Net rating
+7.6
110.9
Offensive rating
113.3
112.4
Defensive rating
105.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
39.2%
55.9%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 113.3Defence112.4 · 105.6Shooting49.6% · 55.6%3-point %37.0% · 39.2%Ball care13.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
1
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
06/11/24Cantu v Avellino Basket83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HBasket Torino92-79
06/04/25AVerona81-82
30/03/25HRimini70-88
26/03/25AForli85-86
22/03/25ASebastiani Rieti93-92 OT
15/03/25HCento78-79
09/03/25HFortitudo Bologna79-73
02/03/25ALibertas Livorno66-83
26/02/25HCividale81-85
15/02/25AUrania Milano85-76
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HPesaro85-78
06/04/25ABasket Torino70-85
02/04/25ANardo87-73
30/03/25HVerona81-76
23/03/25ABrindisi79-84
09/03/25HRimini84-74
02/03/25AUdine85-89
26/02/25HLibertas Livorno87-62
16/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza87-68
12/02/25HCividale78-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeLWLLW61%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game79.478.680.3
Allowed / game79.976.483.4
Point differential-0.4+2.2-3.1
Avg total159.3155.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%28%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%83%44%
Points / game78.180.575.7
Allowed / game73.869.677.9
Point differential+4.4+10.9-2.2
Avg total151.9150.1153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3628878%83.475.0+8.4
2 Rimini36251169%82.178.0+4.0
3 Cantu36231364%78.173.8+4.4
4 Forli36221461%77.775.6+2.1
5 Cividale37221559%80.478.8+1.6
6 Verona36211558%77.373.9+3.4
7 Sebastiani Rieti36211558%75.774.4+1.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna36201656%75.573.6+1.9
9 Urania Milano36201656%76.576.8-0.3
10 Pesaro36191753%82.080.3+1.7
11 Brindisi36191753%77.076.1+0.9
12 Basket Torino36191753%76.575.7+0.8
13 Avellino Basket36191753%79.479.9-0.4
14 Orzinuovi36162044%78.179.8-1.8
15 Cento37142338%73.577.5-4.0
16 JuVi Cremona36132336%81.283.2-2.0
17 Libertas Livorno36122433%75.577.7-2.2
18 Vigevano36112531%75.280.9-5.7
19 Nardo36102628%74.681.7-7.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3672919%76.382.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket3319141076
Cantu2616211982
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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