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Avellino Basket vs Brindisi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.4
ItalySerie A2Round 20· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Brindisi
10 Jan 2027
AVEL v BRI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
AVEL59
BRI82
01 May 2025
AVEL67
BRI82
19 Jan 2025
AVEL77
BRI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 73
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 73
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
21-19
27-18
16-13
15-20
22-25
22-22
22-16
16-13
34-23
17-26
16-14
15-19
12-19
24-14
19-13
13-21
154.7Avg total
80.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Season at home (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Season away (5)74.072.0146.0+2.080%
Last 10 (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Last 5 (5)78.476.2154.6+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.582.0153.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.678.7155.2-2.156%
vs Weaker (12)83.674.0157.6+9.692%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 70
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
84-81
84
81
+3
35avg 70
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
96-78
96
78
+18
92avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 70
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
L
63-70
63
70
-7
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
85avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
18-19
31-16
28-18
19-25
27-20
24-22
18-20
12-23
17-18
20-18
15-13
11-21
27-19
24-18
17-23
15-10
24-18
15-18
16-13
8-21
23-20
15-9
29-23
13-22
22-19
19-18
20-14
20-27
17-18
18-20
21-20
29-21
152.6Avg total
78.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.274.4152.6+3.870%
Season at home (5)82.677.8160.4+4.880%
Season away (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)78.274.4152.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)78.474.2152.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.977.4154.3-0.439%
vs Weaker (11)79.975.1155.0+4.873%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
Avellino BasketBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
45.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.083.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.580.5-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.983.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.142.480.5-4.231%-
vs Weaker (12)45.137.882.8+7.375%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
Serie A2
78.2Avg total
42.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.878.3+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.835.678.4+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)38.240.178.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.178.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.838.278.9+2.661%-
vs Weaker (11)40.037.477.4+2.645%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.414.4
54.5%
51.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
71.0%13.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
71.0%13.0
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWWWLWWWWW
Brindisi
WWWLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+2.9
Net rating
-1.8
102.4
Offensive rating
93.5
99.5
Defensive rating
95.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
34.1%
66.5%
Assist %
56.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 93.5Defence99.5 · 95.3Shooting53.3% · 53.3%3-point %34.8% · 34.1%Ball care10.9% · 13.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino Basket wins
4
Brindisi wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASassari68-67
11/11/26HUrania Milano93-85 OT
08/11/26ACaserta82-76
01/11/26HPesaro79-70
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCento85-79
11/11/26ALibertas Livorno81-78
07/11/26HForli80-74
31/10/26AMestre63-70
25/10/26HAvellino Basket83-70
21/10/26ASebastiani Rieti63-70
17/10/26HBasket Torino81-85
11/10/26AMontecatini96-78
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game80.887.674.0
Allowed / game73.975.872.0
Point differential+6.9+11.8+2.0
Avg total154.7163.4146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game78.282.673.8
Allowed / game74.477.871.0
Point differential+3.8+4.8+2.8
Avg total152.6160.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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