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Avellino Basket vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-74
25-25 24-20 24-15 19-14
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#19
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game81.5
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 69
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
45avg 69
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 69
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
87avg 69
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
96avg 69
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
64-73
64
73
-9
58avg 69
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 69
H03/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
61avg 69
A06/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 69
H10/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 69
A13/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-18
19-21
20-12
13-14
19-17
12-22
17-14
22-21
12-17
22-22
21-22
24-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
22-23
24-24
23-10
23-26
14-14
18-20
17-17
15-22
17-22
16-14
15-22
15-18
15-18
14-23
24-14
18-28
17-12
18-15
34-15
15-26
21-25
19-17
19-16
19-22
151.6Avg total
75.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.276.4151.6-1.240%
Season at home (5)71.472.8144.2-1.440%
Season away (5)79.080.0159.0-1.040%
Last 10 (10)75.276.4151.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)72.076.0148.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)73.573.7147.2-0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.581.5170.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 65
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 65
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 65
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 65
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 65
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 65
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 65
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 65
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 65
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 65
H13/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
16-21
20-23
14-21
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
155.8Avg total
74.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.081.5156.5-6.536%
Season at home (6)77.279.3156.5-2.250%
Season away (5)72.484.2156.6-11.820%
Last 10 (10)74.781.1155.8-6.440%
Last 5 (5)75.277.4152.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.279.5152.8-6.233%
vs Similar (18)77.879.0156.8-1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
Avellino BasketNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A13/11
Serie A2
73.6Avg total
36.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)36.137.573.6-1.430%-
Last 30 at home (5)34.833.668.4+1.260%-
Last 30 away (5)37.441.478.8-4.00%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.573.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.038.569.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (6)35.235.270.3+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
73.9Avg total
35.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.977.3-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.777.5+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.142.177.1-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.973.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.270.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.238.973.1-4.833%-
vs Similar (18)39.640.580.1-0.956%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.4
50.0%
50.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.8%
34.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.115.6
81.7%
74.4%15.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.9
55.6%
50.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.7
38.3%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
74.4%12.1
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWLLLWWLLW
Nardo
LLLWWWLWLL
#11
League position
#19
-1.4
Net rating
-9.1
104.7
Offensive rating
107.2
106.1
Defensive rating
116.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
38.3%
54.5%
Assist %
37.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 107.2Defence106.1 · 116.4Shooting47.1% · 56.4%3-point %27.8% · 38.3%Ball care17.0% · 21.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
0
Nardo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ARimini78-80
10/11/24HLibertas Livorno84-68
06/11/24ACantu71-83
03/11/24HUdine63-76
20/10/24HForli64-73
16/10/24AAssigeco Piacenza92-83
12/10/24HVigevano85-80
06/10/24APesaro77-82
02/10/24HSebastiani Rieti61-67
29/09/24ABrindisi77-72
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97
02/10/24AUdine67-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game75.271.479.0
Allowed / game76.472.880.0
Point differential-1.2-1.4-1.0
Avg total151.6144.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game75.077.272.4
Allowed / game81.579.384.2
Point differential-6.5-2.2-11.8
Avg total156.5156.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1110191%83.876.6+7.2
2 Cividale1210283%78.874.8+4.0
3 Udine118373%82.372.8+9.5
4 Cantu118373%79.572.0+7.5
5 Urania Milano118373%79.472.6+6.7
6 Verona117464%79.974.2+5.7
7 Sebastiani Rieti117464%72.471.1+1.3
8 Forli116555%76.172.8+3.3
9 Orzinuovi115645%81.082.9-1.9
10 Basket Torino115645%73.676.1-2.5
11 Avellino Basket104640%75.276.4-1.2
12 JuVi Cremona114736%79.781.4-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno114736%74.176.9-2.8
14 Vigevano114736%76.980.0-3.1
15 Fortitudo Bologna114736%73.777.0-3.3
16 Cento114736%72.477.5-5.1
17 Nardo114736%75.081.5-6.5
18 Brindisi113827%72.175.6-3.5
19 Pesaro113827%71.079.6-8.6
20 Assigeco Piacenza112918%75.881.2-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2524241992
Nardo2520151474
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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