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Avellino Basket vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-73
14-14 18-20 17-17 15-22
Position#11
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game70.8
ItalySerie A2Round 6· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2024-25
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Forli
11 Oct 2026
AVEL94
FORL81
14 Dec 2025
AVEL90
FORL79
20 Oct 2024
AVEL64
FORL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 72
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
45avg 72
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 72
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
87avg 72
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
96avg 72
A16/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-18
19-21
20-12
13-14
19-17
12-22
17-14
22-21
12-17
22-22
21-22
24-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
22-23
24-24
23-10
23-26
155.2Avg total
78.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.476.8155.2+1.660%
Season at home (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Season away (3)82.079.0161.0+3.067%
Last 10 (5)78.476.8155.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.476.8155.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.773.7145.3-2.033%
vs Weaker (2)88.581.5170.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 68
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 68
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
49-72
49
72
-23
31avg 68
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 68
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 68
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
73avg 68
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
84avg 68
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 68
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
71-50
71
50
+21
62avg 68
H16/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
10-20
13-19
15-9
11-24
18-24
23-24
16-24
19-19
11-19
23-23
19-22
15-21
17-20
17-16
10-14
25-27
21-13
18-13
20-18
16-15
21-17
19-23
16-21
16-11
9-20
19-25
19-18
16-19
18-9
20-15
11-14
22-12
147.2Avg total
72.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.070.8144.8+3.260%
Season at home (3)79.365.0144.3+14.3100%
Season away (2)66.079.5145.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)72.574.7147.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)74.070.8144.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.772.7145.4+0.153%
vs Weaker (15)80.172.3152.5+7.887%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Avellino BasketForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/10
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (2)37.035.572.5+1.5100%-
Last 30 away (3)39.341.380.7-2.00%-
Last 10 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.736.070.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (2)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H16/10
Serie A2
73.6Avg total
35.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.8+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.934.172.9+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.779.1-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.873.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.270.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.737.272.9-1.540%-
vs Weaker (15)41.637.178.7+4.567%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.4
50.3%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.618.0
83.3%
74.4%18.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.1
49.1%
50.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.2
29.3%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
74.4%15.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWLLW
Forli
WLWWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#6
+2.3
Net rating
-3.8
110.7
Offensive rating
104.9
108.4
Defensive rating
108.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
29.3%
54.6%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 5/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 104.9Defence108.4 · 108.7Shooting50.0% · 47.0%3-point %33.0% · 29.3%Ball care17.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 5/10)60% · 40%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24AAssigeco Piacenza92-83
12/10/24HVigevano85-80
06/10/24APesaro77-82
02/10/24HSebastiani Rieti61-67
29/09/24ABrindisi77-72
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HPesaro71-50
13/10/24ABrindisi63-82
06/10/24HVerona92-86 OT
02/10/24HCento75-59
29/09/24ACividale69-77
24/05/24ATrieste68-85
21/05/24HTrieste76-91
19/05/24HTrieste49-72
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.473.082.0
Allowed / game76.873.579.0
Point differential+1.6-0.5+3.0
Avg total155.2146.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game74.079.366.0
Allowed / game70.865.079.5
Point differential+3.2+14.3-13.5
Avg total144.8144.3145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini550100%86.076.2+9.8
2 Cantu54180%75.469.4+6.0
3 Sebastiani Rieti54180%74.470.6+3.8
4 Udine53260%82.070.8+11.2
5 Urania Milano53260%79.875.4+4.4
6 Forli53260%74.070.8+3.2
7 JuVi Cremona53260%81.478.6+2.8
8 Fortitudo Bologna53260%78.076.0+2.0
9 Avellino Basket53260%78.476.8+1.6
10 Cividale53260%78.678.6+0.0
11 Orzinuovi53260%81.283.8-2.6
12 Vigevano52340%76.675.0+1.6
13 Basket Torino52340%74.873.8+1.0
14 Verona52340%82.481.8+0.6
15 Libertas Livorno52340%70.874.2-3.4
16 Pesaro52340%73.078.4-5.4
17 Brindisi51420%68.475.2-6.8
18 Cento51420%72.481.4-9.0
19 Nardo51420%73.486.6-13.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza5050%79.286.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket1418171564
Forli1420172273
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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