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Pesaro vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-77
21-22 17-12 22-22 22-21
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.0
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game69.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino Basket
21 Feb 2027
PES v AVEL
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
PES93
AVEL72
06 Oct 2024
PES82
AVEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 71
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 71
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 71
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 71
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 71
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
63avg 71
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 71
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 71
H02/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
22-26
21-23
23-19
25-18
20-27
24-15
11-35
24-14
12-16
33-11
30-28
11-23
16-26
24-22
13-17
14-15
169.7Avg total
82.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Season away (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.986.8169.7-3.950%
Last 5 (5)79.885.8165.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.389.2168.4-9.933%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.786.4171.1-1.740%
vs Weaker (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 57
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
61-67
61
67
-6
45avg 57
H02/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-18
19-21
20-12
13-14
19-17
12-22
17-14
138.5Avg total
69.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.069.5138.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)61.067.0128.0-6.00%
Season away (1)77.072.0149.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (2)69.069.5138.5-0.550%
Last 5 (2)69.069.5138.5-0.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)69.069.5138.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
PesaroAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/10
Serie A2
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.782.8-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.642.982.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.642.583.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.944.383.2-5.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)42.537.580.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/10
Serie A2
70.0Avg total
35.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)35.035.070.0+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (1)32.031.063.0+1.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
Last 10 (2)35.035.070.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (2)35.035.070.0+0.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.035.070.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.3
54.5%
50.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
74.4%13.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.0
41.8%
50.1%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.017.0
85.0%
74.4%17.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWLWWLLW
Avellino Basket
LW
#9
League position
#11
-10.7
Net rating
+0.8
110.2
Offensive rating
108.3
120.9
Defensive rating
107.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
42.3%
61.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
28.6%
49.5%
Assist %
38.6%
50%
Form (last 10/2)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.3Defence120.9 · 107.5Shooting53.4% · 42.3%3-point %34.6% · 28.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/2)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24HVigevano67-80
29/09/24ANardo86-78
05/05/24AVenezia79-91
28/04/24HCremona91-86
20/04/24ATortona76-94
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24HSebastiani Rieti61-67
29/09/24ABrindisi77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game76.567.086.0
Allowed / game79.080.078.0
Point differential-2.5-13.0+8.0
Avg total155.5147.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game69.061.077.0
Allowed / game69.567.072.0
Point differential-0.5-6.0+5.0
Avg total138.5128.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JuVi Cremona330100%91.778.3+13.3
2 Urania Milano330100%85.774.0+11.7
3 Rimini220100%87.079.0+8.0
4 Orzinuovi110100%77.076.0+1.0
5 Sebastiani Rieti32167%71.769.0+2.7
6 Basket Torino21150%83.076.0+7.0
7 Udine21150%83.076.0+7.0
8 Forli21150%72.068.0+4.0
9 Vigevano21150%76.573.0+3.5
10 Cantu21150%75.072.5+2.5
11 Verona21150%83.582.5+1.0
12 Avellino Basket21150%69.069.5-0.5
13 Cividale21150%83.584.0-0.5
14 Cento21150%71.073.5-2.5
15 Pesaro21150%76.579.0-2.5
16 Brindisi1010%72.077.0-5.0
17 Assigeco Piacenza3030%77.385.0-7.7
18 Fortitudo Bologna1010%78.094.0-16.0
19 Libertas Livorno2020%64.080.5-16.5
20 Nardo3030%72.392.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2117222282
Avellino Basket2212222177
← all games of the day
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