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Avellino Basket vs Rimini Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game72.5
ItalySerie A2Round 22· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Rimini
20 Jan 2027
AVEL v RIMI
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
AVEL87
RIMI78
30 Mar 2025
AVEL70
RIMI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 73
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 73
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
21-19
27-18
16-13
15-20
22-25
22-22
22-16
16-13
34-23
17-26
16-14
15-19
12-19
24-14
19-13
13-21
154.7Avg total
80.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Season at home (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Season away (5)74.072.0146.0+2.080%
Last 10 (10)80.873.9154.7+6.990%
Last 5 (5)78.476.2154.6+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.582.0153.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.678.7155.2-2.156%
vs Weaker (12)83.674.0157.6+9.692%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Montecatini
#20
W
84-59
84
59
+25
79avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
21avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
62avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
99avg 76
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
97avg 76
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
96-73
96
73
+23
96avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
20-16
26-23
29-17
16-20
22-20
28-16
16-14
18-17
32-25
28-14
10-14
26-20
24-16
25-12
17-22
19-21
23-24
14-18
22-12
17-14
24-21
21-15
12-21
13-24
19-19
23-16
21-12
25-32
153.7Avg total
81.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.272.5153.7+8.770%
Season at home (5)84.673.8158.4+10.880%
Season away (5)77.871.2149.0+6.660%
Last 10 (10)81.272.5153.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)83.074.4157.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.781.1162.8+0.744%
vs Weaker (12)86.275.5161.7+10.783%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Avellino BasketRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
45.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.083.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.580.5-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.983.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.142.480.5-4.231%-
vs Weaker (12)45.137.882.8+7.375%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montecatini
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/11
Serie A2
80.3Avg total
44.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.084.9+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.587.0+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.582.8+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.080.3+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.082.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.941.884.7+1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)45.439.885.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.414.4
54.5%
51.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
71.0%13.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
71.0%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWWWLWWWWW
Rimini
WLWWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+6.2
102.4
Offensive rating
101.1
99.5
Defensive rating
94.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
10.9%
Turnover %
9.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.8%
3-point %
37.0%
66.5%
Assist %
51.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 101.1Defence99.5 · 94.9Shooting53.3% · 52.3%3-point %34.8% · 37.0%Ball care10.9% · 9.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino Basket wins
2
Rimini wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASassari68-67
11/11/26HUrania Milano93-85 OT
08/11/26ACaserta82-76
01/11/26HPesaro79-70
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCividale88-79
11/11/26AForli70-81
08/11/26HVigevano76-68
30/10/26AUrania Milano85-71
25/10/26HSebastiani Rieti96-73
21/10/26ASassari84-67
18/10/26HMestre91-76
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game80.887.674.0
Allowed / game73.975.872.0
Point differential+6.9+11.8+2.0
Avg total154.7163.4146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game81.284.677.8
Allowed / game72.573.871.2
Point differential+8.7+10.8+6.6
Avg total153.7158.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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