Sassari faces Avellino Basket in Serie A2 on 15 November 2026, with the model favouring Sassari at 56% versus 44% for Avellino; the projected score is 78-77 and the total is 154.9. Sassari has gone 5-4 in all games this season, scoring 77.2 points per game and allowing 76.4, while Avellino is 8-1, 82.2 points per game and 74.7 allowed. At home Sassari is 3-2, 82.0 points per game and 79.4 allowed, and in the last five they have won two and lost three, including a 96-87 home win over Pesaro, a 67-70 away loss to Cividale, and a 95-75 home win over Caserta. Avellino's road record is 3-1, 75.5 points per game and 73.2 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, with recent victories over Urania Milano, Caserta, and Pesaro. The spread is -1.0 with a 55% chance of Sassari covering, and the over on 152.0 has a 56% probability; the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The matchup will test Sassari's home advantage against Avellino's strong season form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 77.2 | 76.4 | 153.7 | +0.8 | 56% |
| Season at home (5) | 82.0 | 79.4 | 161.4 | +2.6 | 60% |
| Season away (4) | 71.2 | 72.8 | 144.0 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.6 | 78.0 | 154.6 | -1.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.2 | 79.0 | 156.2 | -1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 79.1 | 88.6 | 167.8 | -9.5 | 21% |
| vs Similar (12) | 86.6 | 84.3 | 170.9 | +2.2 | 42% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 70.8 | 74.5 | 145.2 | -3.8 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 82.2 | 74.7 | 156.9 | +7.6 | 89% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.6 | 75.8 | 163.4 | +11.8 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 75.5 | 73.2 | 148.8 | +2.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.1 | 76.5 | 156.6 | +3.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.8 | 77.6 | 159.4 | +4.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 71.5 | 82.0 | 153.5 | -10.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (17) | 77.5 | 78.4 | 155.9 | -0.8 | 59% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 85.0 | 74.6 | 159.6 | +10.4 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 42.3 | 82.2 | -2.4 | 47% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.9 | 42.9 | 83.9 | -2.0 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.8 | 41.7 | 80.5 | -2.9 | 47% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 41.2 | 79.1 | -3.3 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 39.4 | 75.8 | -3.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 39.0 | 44.5 | 83.5 | -5.5 | 29% | 64% |
| vs Similar (12) | 42.4 | 41.7 | 84.1 | +0.8 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 35.2 | 36.5 | 71.8 | -1.2 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 76.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 40.9 | 82.3 | +0.4 | 47% | 73% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.2 | 38.9 | 83.2 | +5.3 | 62% | 81% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.1 | 43.2 | 81.3 | -5.1 | 29% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.2 | 40.1 | 84.3 | +4.1 | 60% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 43.2 | 88.2 | +1.8 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 39.5 | 46.0 | 85.5 | -6.5 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (17) | 38.6 | 42.1 | 80.8 | -3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 45.9 | 38.2 | 84.1 | +7.7 | 73% | 82% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassari over 71.5 | 73.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Sassari over 70.5 | 76.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Lost |
| Sassari +7.5 | 77.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Sassari +8.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Sassari +6.5 | 74.2% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Sassari +5.5 | 71.1% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 72.4% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Over 145.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Avellino Basket +9.5 | 76.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Avellino Basket over 70.5 | 72.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Avellino Basket under 82.5 | 71.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Avellino Basket +8.5 | 73.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Avellino Basket +7.5 | 70.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.4 | 16.0 | 51.2% | 32.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.2 | 8.7 | 34.5% | 26.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.8 | 12.6 | 71.0% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 26.4 | 14.4 | 51.2% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 9.8 | 34.5% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 13.4 | 71.0% | 13.4 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Pesaro | 96-87 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Cividale | 67-70 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Caserta | 95-75 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Ruvo Di Puglia | 61-79 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Rimini | 67-84 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Cento | 80-70 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Mestre | 87-74 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Montecatini | 72-81 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Urania Milano | 70-68 |
| 10/05/26 | A | Brescia | 71-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Urania Milano | 93-85 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Caserta | 82-76 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Pesaro | 79-70 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Brindisi | 70-83 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Montecatini | 85-74 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Cividale | 77-62 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Forli | 94-81 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Rimini | 73-72 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Vigevano | 87-69 |
| 17/05/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 61-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 56% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | WWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.2 | 82.0 | 71.2 |
| Allowed / game | 76.4 | 79.4 | 72.8 |
| Point differential | +0.8 | +2.6 | -1.5 |
| Avg total | 153.7 | 161.4 | 144.0 |
| Over 154.75 | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 89% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWLW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 82.2 | 87.6 | 75.5 |
| Allowed / game | 74.7 | 75.8 | 73.2 |
| Point differential | +7.6 | +11.8 | +2.2 |
| Avg total | 156.9 | 163.4 | 148.8 |
| Over 154.75 | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 81.2 | 69.7 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 82.2 | 74.7 | +7.6 |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 79.4 | 74.3 | +5.1 | |
| 4 | Sebastiani Rieti | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 74.8 | 72.1 | +2.7 |
| 5 | Rimini | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 80.4 | 71.8 | +8.7 |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 77.4 | 73.9 | +3.6 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 72.9 | 72.0 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 77.6 | 69.1 | +8.5 | |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 82.3 | 77.6 | +4.8 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 81.0 | 79.9 | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.2 | 76.4 | +0.8 | |
| 12 | Cividale | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 71.8 | 74.1 | -2.3 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 75.0 | 76.4 | -1.4 | |
| 14 | Vigevano | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 76.3 | 81.8 | -5.4 |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 78.1 | 82.6 | -4.5 | |
| 16 | JuVi Cremona | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 75.3 | 77.9 | -2.6 |
| 17 | Cento | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 72.8 | 82.2 | -9.4 |
| 18 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 74.0 | 80.9 | -6.9 |
| 19 | Montecatini | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 68.1 | 82.3 | -14.2 |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 74.6 | 82.7 | -8.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 67 | |
| Avellino Basket | 12 | 24 | 19 | 13 | 68 |
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